Craziest results of this election
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  Craziest results of this election
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Author Topic: Craziest results of this election  (Read 2870 times)
Nichlemn
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« on: November 05, 2014, 01:42:10 AM »
« edited: November 05, 2014, 01:48:58 AM by Nichlemn »

When was the last time an election had as many shockers? Like 2010 was a big Republican win, but there weren't any really crazy results where they way outperformed the polls and expectations.

NY-24: Maffei losing by 20 in a D+5 district???
MD-Gov: The Republican winning... by 6 points?
VA-Sen: Warner appears to barely scraped by, when the last polls had him up by 9 and previous polls had him up by double digits.
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Sol
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2014, 01:42:37 AM »

Delaney losing is also pretty shocking.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2014, 01:44:24 AM »

Delaney losing is also pretty shocking.

Delaney hasn't lost yet, I think.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2014, 01:44:36 AM »

Landrieu, Pryor, Grimes, Tennant are all good candidates who only marginally outperformed Obama. Nothing seems to work for red state democrats anymore.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2014, 01:46:14 AM »

The Dems will hold on to the Virginia Senate seat (close race!).

If you ignore the disparity in some states, regarding how close the elections should have been (according to poll data), and only look at who won and lost (Dem or Rep), then most websites had it about right. Everything that happened tonight was in the window of possibility.

With one exception ..... North Carolina. Most websites were leaning for this state to go to the Dems.
And if Alaska goes Democratic, then that will be the only other exception. (Most websites are leaning for this state to go to the Reps. We will soon find out.)
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jfern
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2014, 01:46:58 AM »

Landrieu, Pryor, Grimes, Tennant are all good candidates who only marginally outperformed Obama. Nothing seems to work for red state democrats anymore.

Maffei has shown that Blue Dogs can run quite a bit behind real Democrats. It's time to ditch the Blue Dog losers, bring back Howard Dean, and rebuild the party from the ground up.
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Sol
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2014, 01:47:41 AM »

Landrieu, Pryor, Grimes, Tennant are all good candidates who only marginally outperformed Obama. Nothing seems to work for red state democrats anymore.

Maffei has shown that Blue Dogs can run quite a bit behind real Democrats. It's time to ditch the Blue Dog losers, bring back Howard Dean, and rebuild the party from the ground up.

Exactly. We need a Democratic Tea Party.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2014, 01:48:03 AM »

Mark Warner, definitely. That was ridiculous.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2014, 01:48:30 AM »

The governorships are the most depressing part. Despite under performing in the senate, only one seat was lost that most did not predict. But in the governorships a year that was supposed to be a reset from 2010 turned into some more losses.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2014, 01:49:01 AM »

-Delaney (possibly) losing
-Hogan winning
-Costa (possibly) losing
-Neither Georgia race going to run-off
-Barrow losing
-Gillespimentum


If you had asked me a few months ago, Paul LePage, Rick Scott, and Michael Grimm all winning would also be a shock.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2014, 01:51:59 AM »

AR:

Cotton - 56.6
Pryor - 39.5

I can say with confidence, that Pryor got Blanched.

KS:

Roberts - 53.2
Orman - 42.6

Who would've predicted a 10.6% win??

NV-4:

Looks like Hardy will defeat Horsford. The district is D+3

TX-23:

Hurd defeating Gallego 50-48.

UT-4:

Love only defeating Owens 50-47!!

WV-3:

Rahall losing by 10 points

MD-6:

Bongino defeating Delaney 50-48? (not officially called yet)

NY-24:

Holy sh!t

MD-Gov:

A 62% Obama state voting Republican by 6. Yes, this should shock us all

IL-Gov:

Goodbye, Pat Quinn!!

KS-Gov:

Brownback surviving!!
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KCDem
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2014, 01:52:26 AM »

Mark Warner and Maffei's 20-point loss
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2014, 01:53:17 AM »

Delaney losing is also pretty shocking.

Isn't Delaney's district only about D+3? Roscoe Bartlett just sucked last time.
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Devils30
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« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2014, 01:54:21 AM »

Isn't it strange how it seems more D+3-5 seats flipped such as IA-1, NY-24, IL-10, ME-2, possibly NV-4 while Dems held or gained the even PVI or R+ narrow ones like FL-2, FL-18, MN-8 and possibly AZ-1,2.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2014, 01:54:36 AM »

Delaney is now ahead 50-49 with 97% in.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2014, 01:54:39 AM »

Also I can't believe how Americans can forgive the GOP's fumbles and poor governance but not that of the democrats. Turnout also wasn't better in 2014 so this is what became of the electorate.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2014, 01:56:27 AM »

Landrieu, Pryor, Grimes, Tennant are all good candidates who only marginally outperformed Obama. Nothing seems to work for red state democrats anymore.

Maffei has shown that Blue Dogs can run quite a bit behind real Democrats. It's time to ditch the Blue Dog losers, bring back Howard Dean, and rebuild the party from the ground up.

Exactly. We need a Democratic Tea Party.

This.

I'm willing to rejoin the Democrats if they let us clean up their party.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2014, 01:57:45 AM »

It turns out Tennant did worse than Obama! 62-34 vs 62-36. I concede race isn't the reason.
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2014, 02:01:37 AM »

Mark Warner, definitely. That was ridiculous.
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GMantis
Dessie Potter
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« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2014, 03:14:14 AM »

When was the last time an election had as many shockers? Like 2010 was a big Republican win, but there weren't any really crazy results where they way outperformed the polls and expectations.

NY-24: Maffei losing by 20 in a D+5 district???
MD-Gov: The Republican winning... by 6 points?
VA-Sen: Warner appears to barely scraped by, when the last polls had him up by 9 and previous polls had him up by double digits.
This poll predicted a much better results for Sarvis that actually happened; the polls which predicted a lower result for him gave a more accurate margin between Warner and Gillespie.
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Ljube
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« Reply #20 on: November 05, 2014, 04:39:58 AM »

Landrieu, Pryor, Grimes, Tennant are all good candidates who only marginally outperformed Obama. Nothing seems to work for red state democrats anymore.

Maffei has shown that Blue Dogs can run quite a bit behind real Democrats. It's time to ditch the Blue Dog losers, bring back Howard Dean, and rebuild the party from the ground up.

Exactly. We need a Democratic Tea Party.

This.

I'm willing to rejoin the Democrats if they let us clean up their party.

LOL! They don't need you! They take your vote for granted!
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morgieb
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« Reply #21 on: November 05, 2014, 06:03:49 AM »

Republicans winning Maryland and pushing Shumlin in Vermont under 50%. I mean, WTF?
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RR1997
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« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2014, 06:08:00 AM »
« Edited: November 05, 2014, 06:12:46 AM by RR1997 »

Governor: Republican victories in Maryland and Illinois. Shumlin, Foley, and Hickenlooper all ahead so far by very tiny margins (their leads could even vanish once all the votes come in). Scott victory in FL.

Senate: Virgina too close to call. NH closer than expected. GOP victory in NC.
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morgieb
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« Reply #23 on: November 05, 2014, 06:09:41 AM »

Also:

Maffei getting Blanched.
Warner winning by less than Obama (and probably Kaine) did.
NV-04, TX-23 and GA-12 flipping, and MD-06, Jim Costa's and Louise Slaughter's district being extremely narrow.
Tennant underperforming Obama.
Pryor getting Blanched.
Roberts winning rather easily, and Brownback hanging on. Congrats, Phil.
Perdue and Deal avoiding run-offs.
Rauner winning fairly comfortably - IIRC Quinn was restricted to Cook.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #24 on: November 05, 2014, 06:24:30 AM »

In New York's 25th, Louise Slaughter is only ahead by about 500 votes, or 50.2% of the vote.
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