Final House (likely to be) (CORRECTION) GOP 248 - Dems 187
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  Final House (likely to be) (CORRECTION) GOP 248 - Dems 187
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Author Topic: Final House (likely to be) (CORRECTION) GOP 248 - Dems 187  (Read 500 times)
The Vorlon
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« on: November 05, 2014, 12:03:52 PM »
« edited: November 05, 2014, 12:56:47 PM by The Vorlon »

The GOP leads 243/176 among the called races

The remaining 16 races are "likely" to break this way:

   Democrat   Republican      
Washington District 4   GOP LOCK
Arizona District 2           Likely GOP
California District 7            Likely GOP
California District 16         Likely GOP Dem
California District 52            Likely GOP Dem
Louisiana District 5            Likely GOP
Louisiana District 6           Likely GOP
Arizona District 1           Likely Dem   
California District 3           Likely Dem   
California District 9          Likely Dem   
California District 17           Dem Lock   
California District 31         Likely Dem   
California District 26           Likely Dem   
Maryland District 6          Likely Dem   
Nebraska District 2          Likely Dem   
New York District 25       Likely Dem   

For a final result of 250/185 248/187
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2014, 12:19:03 PM »

Bloodbath.
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Torie
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2014, 12:26:49 PM »
« Edited: November 05, 2014, 12:29:10 PM by Torie »

CA-16 and CA-52 are not likely Pub. In fact, CA-16 is almost certainly going Dem. There are a lot of Dem leaning late votes and provisionals to count, and the Dems invariably pick up a point or two, with the movement more in lower SES precincts, of which CA-16 has a bunch (i.e., mostly Hispanic areas).
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2014, 12:44:40 PM »

CA-16 and CA-52 are not likely Pub. In fact, CA-16 is almost certainly going Dem. There are a lot of Dem leaning late votes and provisionals to count, and the Dems invariably pick up a point or two, with the movement more in lower SES precincts, of which CA-16 has a bunch (i.e., mostly Hispanic areas).

Did not know that!

SEC STATE site was showing 100% reporting, but I guess that was incorrect...

OK... 248 to 187
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Torie
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2014, 12:47:25 PM »

Oh, the gay guy has a chance, just not a good one, in CA-52. There will be less Pub erosion there than in CA-16 (maybe quite a bit less, since it is a high SES CD), but then the margin is closer too, so there is less of a Pub buffer pad.
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