2016 NC: Hagan takes on Burr

[Mr. Smith]

What say you?

I know the NC Dems will probably look towards someone else instead, but c'mon Hagan pretty much lost solely on turn-out. Her campaign was actually pretty solid (what do you expect when the head got Jon Tester in Montana though when the state bolted against Obama) this time and she beat Elizabeth Dole by a huge margin the first time around.

Of course one could counter that '08 was a wave election and she had Obama's coattails then,and anti-coattails this time.

But 2016 will bring back the turn out, and Richard Burr's other victories had War on Terror coattails [along with John Edwards' stupidity] and the Tea Party wave.

So I have to wonder, what would happen?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Tossup. Most of the Senate losers lost badly or there's not really a set for them to run for soon, but Hagan could be back in the Senate in 2 years.

[moderatevoter]

Hagan had an A grade campaign, which seemed to stutter a little more towards the end. I am still surprised Tillis won.

I think this might be possible, if only because Hagan is essentially Generic D. That said, I think the NC Democrats would be better off running someone without a voting record to attack. The ideal nominee would be Anthony Foxx, but he's said he won't run against Burr, who supported his nomination. I'm not sure who else they could run. Maybe Janet Cowell?

[jd1433]

How about including the possible answer: "Burr by comfortable margin"

If you believe Burr will win and it wont be a nail biter there isn't really a good option from your list to pick.


I would guess Burr by 7. I just don't see him falling and I don't think 2016 will be a "wave election" in either's favor.

[RedSLC]

EDIT: Rant now posted here.

[IceSpear]

Toss up, probably decided by the national environment. This race would be basically the same as generic R vs. generic D.

[Devils30]

She could win. The voters who actually vote in presidential years probably will just think they're re-electing her. Burr is hardly a heavyweight, didn't even get 55% in 2010.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

You people are forgetting how negatively panned Hagan was in the very newspaper articles that endorsed her, endorsed her solely because Tillis was so terrible not because she was so great.

Hagan is just as much a coatail rider if not more and would lose to Burr. And Burr has a far better history with regards to campaigns then that of Tillis.

[Suburbia]

It would be a tossup and Burr could actually lose to Hagan.

[Brittain33]

Burr's popularity has historically been low for someone who reads as generic Republican. I haven't checked in the last few years.