Predict the Final Number of Republican Seats In the House (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 07:38:52 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Predict the Final Number of Republican Seats In the House (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: How many seats will the Republicans end up with in the new Congress?
#1
246
 
#2
247
 
#3
248
 
#4
249
 
#5
250
 
#6
251
 
#7
252
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 38

Author Topic: Predict the Final Number of Republican Seats In the House  (Read 1655 times)
Recalcuate
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 444


« on: November 06, 2014, 12:57:46 AM »

With 14 seats outstanding, the Republicans have 243 seats in the House.

Three other seats are practical Republican locks. (LA-5 and LA-6 in runoff and R vs. R in WA-4). Predict the number of total seats that the Republicans will end up with in the new Congress.
Logged
Recalcuate
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 444


« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2014, 10:30:07 AM »

I think the Democrats win most of the uncalled races that have a D and an R. 247 or 248.

Of course people are free to think Costa is toast just like they did in 2010.

Is California like NY where they wait and then count the absentees/early vote?
Logged
Recalcuate
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 444


« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2014, 01:14:41 AM »
« Edited: November 08, 2014, 02:56:11 PM by Recalcuate »

Down to seven races undecided. It's 244-184 at this point.

The remaining races

Arizona 2 - Martha McSally (R) leads Ron Barber (D) by 509 votes, 105,687 to 105,178. Barber is the incumbent in this southeastern Arizona district, which includes part of Tucson. Pima County has approximately 18,171 possible ballots yet to count, while Cochise County has 1,161 provisional ballots. Pima trends Democrat while Cochise trends Republican.

California 7 - Doug Ose (R) leads incumbent Ami Berra (D) by 1.7% or roughly 2,200 votes. There are about 70,000 mail ballots yet to be processed as well as unknown number of provisional ballots. California's seventh Congressional District encompasses Elk Grove, Folsom, and Rancho Cordova in eastern Sacramento County.

California 16 - Johnny Tacherra (R) is up by roughly a point over incumbent Jim Costa (D) or 741 votes. There were 22,000 ballots left to be counted in Fresno County 4,000 in the district and 1,500 in Merced as of Friday in this Central Valley district.

California 26 - Incumbent Julia Brownley (D) leads challenger Jeff Gorell (R) by roughly a point. Gorell will have to make up roughly a 1,000 vote margin. About 38,000 mail ballots and 9,500 provisional ballots remain to be counted. The breakdown is as follows: 33,000 mail ballots and 9,500 provisionals from Ventura and 5,000 mail ballots from Los Angeles.

Louisiana 5 - Monroe mayor Jamie Mayo (D) faces Ralph Abraham (R) in the Dec. 6 runoff. Abraham, a doctor, defeated "Duck Dynasty" cousin Zach Dasher by one-percent for the second runoff spot. This northeast and central Louisiana district has a Cook PVI of R+14 and is expected to remain in Republican control.

Louisiana 6 - Garret Graves (R) faces off against former Louisiana Governor Edwin Edwards (D) in a Dec. 6 runoff in this southeast and central Louisiana district, which includes Baton Rouge. Edwards, 87, surprisingly emerged at the top of the 12-candidate field despite serving a 10-year prison sentence on federal racketeering charges. Graves is expected to cruise to easy victory in this R+19 district.

New York 25 - Long-term incumbent Louise Slaughter (D) holds a 651 vote margin over challenger Mark Assini (R) in this Rochester-area district. Approximately 2,100 absentee ballots were counted on Wednesday. Another 1,200-1,300 ballots remain outstanding as well as an unknown number of affidavit ballots.

Republican seat No. 250 is gone. Incumbent Scott Peters (D) cruised to a 51-49 victory over Carl DeMaio (R) in California 52. DeMaio lead on Election Day, but fell behind as the absentee ballots were counted.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.028 seconds with 14 queries.