2020: Who are the most vulnerable of the newly elected Senators?

[Maxwell]

Discuss. I think Thom Tillis has an very uphill battle, and if Ernst votes as conservative as many people think, she could face some trouble (though she could get the whole Grassley thing going)

[eric82oslo]

I agree. Definitely Tom Tillis is the least impressive/most vulnerable of the new senators, though I don't expect much from Sullivan or Perdue either. Mark Begich and Michelle Nunn could easily win back those seats in 2020.

[RogueBeaver]

Tillis just as a candidate, but depends on Dem & climate.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

This sort of long range prediction is a waste of time. Had you done this six years ago you'd have put Franken near the top of any 'vulnerable' list.

[GLPman]

It's way too early to tell, seeing as how none of the newly elected Senators have voting records in Congress yet, nor do we even know who their opponents will be in 2020...

[Free Bird]

It's way too early to tell, seeing as how none of the newly elected Senators have voting records in Congress yet, nor do we even know who their opponents will be in 2020...

[Consciously Unconscious]

Way too early to tell, but Tillis and Ernst could be vulnerable. 

[Maxwell]

This sort of long range prediction is a waste of time. Had you done this six years ago you'd have put Franken near the top of any 'vulnerable' list.

Sure. I get that. I just want to see 6 years from now how this all compares.

[Person Man]

Tillis Ernst Gardner. The others are in very conservative states but Perdue could potentially have trouble. I really want see if Gardner is really as moderate as he has said or if the socons will force his hand. In a way, Tillis is probably safer than Ernst or Gardner because people voted for him even if he was an ass sucker. Ernst will have to "put up or shut up" and Gardner might of made promises that he could not keep.

[Keystone Phil]

Yes, let's talk about this now just like we should have forecasted Blanche Lincoln's and Mark Pryor's landslide losses at the next election immediately after their landslide wins.

[Mr. Smith]

Tillis is the only one I'm certain of, given that even in this wave, it took a ridiculously low turnout to get through Hagan.

But turnout won't be on his side, and Charlotte and the Triangle will probably be big enough to shut-out the East end by that point.

Unless he turns out to be a good "moderate hero" that is.

[SWE]

Yes, let's talk about this now just like we should have forecasted Blanche Lincoln's and Mark Pryor's landslide losses at the next election immediately after their landslide wins.

Sessions will lose in 2020

[ElectionsGuy]

Ernst is probably the most. Tillis is at least in a purple-ish red state, and Gardner is a really good candidate. Cotton, Cassidy, (and probably Sullivan as well) can keep their seats for as long as they want.

[H. Ross Peron]

Tillis or Ernst depending on how crazy the latter is.

[5280]

It's way too early to tell, seeing as how none of the newly elected Senators have voting records in Congress yet, nor do we even know who their opponents will be in 2020...