HuffPost on Dem targets in 2016: IL, WI, LA, NH, FL, GA, NC, PA, AZ, OH, IA, KY

[morgieb]

Why would they list LA and KY but not MO?

I guess because Paul has been so vocal and might run for President, and Vitter had a prostitution scandal not too long ago.

Blunt has been your rank and file Republican so far.

Prostitutes aren't the reason why HuffPost thinks that Louisiana is winnable. It's because Vitter will probably go for Governor, and therefore the seat may be open.

[Keystone Phil]

We talk about McCaskill being a goner in 2012 because of Missouri's rightward shift...and now people here want to talk about non-scandal plagued Blunt definitely being vulnerable? Oh, Atlas Forum.

[tpfkaw]

Arizona is safe R until McCain retires or croaks.

[morgieb]

We talk about McCaskill being a goner in 2012 because of Missouri's rightward shift...and now people here want to talk about non-scandal plagued Blunt definitely being vulnerable? Oh, Atlas Forum.

Isn't Blunt reasonably unpopular though? Nixon could run as well...

[Vega]

Arizona is safe R until McCain retires or croaks.

Not really. I only see a Democrat winning if McCain runs again and a Tea Partier get's the nomination.

Who could the Democrats run? They seem to have a pretty weak bench... *cue people posting current US House members*.

[Keystone Phil]

We talk about McCaskill being a goner in 2012 because of Missouri's rightward shift...and now people here want to talk about non-scandal plagued Blunt definitely being vulnerable? Oh, Atlas Forum.

Isn't Blunt reasonably unpopular though? Nixon could run as well...

Nixon is going to run and be a legitimate contender after the Ferguson fiasco? Really?

[free my dawg]

Arizona is safe R until McCain retires or croaks.

Not really. I only see a Democrat winning if McCain runs again and a Tea Partier get's the nomination.

Who could the Democrats run? They seem to have a pretty weak bench... *cue people posting current US House members*.

Ann Kirkpatrick is no slouch.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

If Democrats are going to make a serious try at AZ-SEN in 2016, here's a very credible option:

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

If Democrats are going to make a serious try at AZ-SEN in 2016, here's a very credible option:

Perhaps, but she'll no doubt be attacked for being a bisexual non-theist. Remember, that's like being a Muslim meth dealer to a lot of people.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

IL - Very vulnerable, but Kirk is a good fit for the state.
WI - Very vulnerable.
LA - Unlikely to be vulnerable even if Vitter retires, unless an Akin-level candidate runs.
NH - This one likely depends on the national climate. Ayotte could fall in a Dem wave, but otherwise she holds on.
FL - Florida is a swing state, but Rubio is too well-liked unless there's a massive wave.
GA - Unlikely to be vulnerable unless there's a massive wave.
NC - Burr has done pretty well, but could be vulnerable in a wave.
PA - Much like NH, this one will depend heavily on climate.
AZ - Barring a shocking Giffords comeback, this one is unlikely.
OH - Would normally be pretty vulnerable, but Portman is pretty well-liked.
IA - All depends on Grassley. Vulnerable if he leaves, safe if he stays.
KY - Didn't we just see this story? KY is gone on the federal level.

Vulnerable Democrats include Michael Bennett in Colorado and Harry Reid in Nevada (or more likely, his party's nominee).

Unless there's a Dem wave in 2016 - and even with Hillary, I think that's unlikely given the political climate - I see the GOP losing Illinois and Wisconsin, and possibly Iowa, while picking up Nevada. Assuming a Senate of 53-47 or 54-46, they should keep control.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

If Democrats are going to make a serious try at AZ-SEN in 2016, here's a very credible option:

Perhaps, but she'll no doubt be attacked for being a bisexual non-theist. Remember, that's like being a Muslim meth dealer to a lot of people.

Isn't she also one of the most liberal Democrats in the nation? That won't play state-wide in Arizona.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

If Democrats are going to make a serious try at AZ-SEN in 2016, here's a very credible option:

Perhaps, but she'll no doubt be attacked for being a bisexual non-theist. Remember, that's like being a Muslim meth dealer to a lot of people.

Isn't she also one of the most liberal Democrats in the nation? That won't play state-wide in Arizona.

LOL
LOL
LOL some more

Progressive Punch has her as the most right-wing Democrat to win on Tuesday.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

If Democrats are going to make a serious try at AZ-SEN in 2016, here's a very credible option:

Perhaps, but she'll no doubt be attacked for being a bisexual non-theist. Remember, that's like being a Muslim meth dealer to a lot of people.

Isn't she also one of the most liberal Democrats in the nation? That won't play state-wide in Arizona.

She also just won a basically even district by 12 points in a republican tidal wave election.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

If Democrats are going to make a serious try at AZ-SEN in 2016, here's a very credible option:

Perhaps, but she'll no doubt be attacked for being a bisexual non-theist. Remember, that's like being a Muslim meth dealer to a lot of people.

Isn't she also one of the most liberal Democrats in the nation? That won't play state-wide in Arizona.

LOL
LOL
LOL some more

Progressive Punch has her as the most right-wing Democrat to win on Tuesday.

Ah, she seems to have moved rather sharply to the center since she was elected.

Her image issues will still likely cost her in a statewide race in Arizona. I see nothing to indicate Arizona isn't fool's gold for Dems in anything but a huge wave.

[henster]

I don't see how Ayotte wins easily against someone like Hassan.

[morgieb]

We talk about McCaskill being a goner in 2012 because of Missouri's rightward shift...and now people here want to talk about non-scandal plagued Blunt definitely being vulnerable? Oh, Atlas Forum.

Isn't Blunt reasonably unpopular though? Nixon could run as well...

Nixon is going to run and be a legitimate contender after the Ferguson fiasco? Really?

Did not know/remember that. Cliffs?