HuffPost on Dem targets in 2016: IL, WI, LA, NH, FL, GA, NC, PA, AZ, OH, IA, KY (user search)
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  HuffPost on Dem targets in 2016: IL, WI, LA, NH, FL, GA, NC, PA, AZ, OH, IA, KY (search mode)
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Author Topic: HuffPost on Dem targets in 2016: IL, WI, LA, NH, FL, GA, NC, PA, AZ, OH, IA, KY  (Read 1088 times)
Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,833


« on: November 06, 2014, 08:11:55 PM »

IL - Very vulnerable, but Kirk is a good fit for the state.
WI - Very vulnerable.
LA - Unlikely to be vulnerable even if Vitter retires, unless an Akin-level candidate runs.
NH - This one likely depends on the national climate. Ayotte could fall in a Dem wave, but otherwise she holds on.
FL - Florida is a swing state, but Rubio is too well-liked unless there's a massive wave.
GA - Unlikely to be vulnerable unless there's a massive wave.
NC - Burr has done pretty well, but could be vulnerable in a wave.
PA - Much like NH, this one will depend heavily on climate.
AZ - Barring a shocking Giffords comeback, this one is unlikely.
OH - Would normally be pretty vulnerable, but Portman is pretty well-liked.
IA - All depends on Grassley. Vulnerable if he leaves, safe if he stays.
KY - Didn't we just see this story? KY is gone on the federal level.

Vulnerable Democrats include Michael Bennett in Colorado and Harry Reid in Nevada (or more likely, his party's nominee).

Unless there's a Dem wave in 2016 - and even with Hillary, I think that's unlikely given the political climate - I see the GOP losing Illinois and Wisconsin, and possibly Iowa, while picking up Nevada. Assuming a Senate of 53-47 or 54-46, they should keep control.
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,833


« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2014, 08:13:42 PM »

If Democrats are going to make a serious try at AZ-SEN in 2016, here's a very credible option:



Perhaps, but she'll no doubt be attacked for being a bisexual non-theist. Remember, that's like being a Muslim meth dealer to a lot of people.

Isn't she also one of the most liberal Democrats in the nation? That won't play state-wide in Arizona.
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,833


« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2014, 08:19:42 PM »

If Democrats are going to make a serious try at AZ-SEN in 2016, here's a very credible option:



Perhaps, but she'll no doubt be attacked for being a bisexual non-theist. Remember, that's like being a Muslim meth dealer to a lot of people.

Isn't she also one of the most liberal Democrats in the nation? That won't play state-wide in Arizona.

LOL
LOL
LOL some more

Progressive Punch has her as the most right-wing Democrat to win on Tuesday.

Ah, she seems to have moved rather sharply to the center since she was elected.

Her image issues will still likely cost her in a statewide race in Arizona. I see nothing to indicate Arizona isn't fool's gold for Dems in anything but a huge wave.
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