Virginia

[Lief 🗽]

Democrats have figured out how to squeeze out a narrow winning coalition here. It's like Colorado. Republicans are better off going after states with a lot of swingy white working class voters (Iowa, Wisconsin, Maine, New Hampshire and obviously Ohio).

[Lief 🗽]

In the last 10 years, since 2004, of the top-tier races in Virginia (President, Senate, Governor), Republicans have won only twice. Democrats have won eight times. Doesn't look like a swing state to me. Of course it will be close, because it is a polarized state, but that doesn't mean it's a toss-up swing state.