What happened in Arizona?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 05:34:11 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  What happened in Arizona?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: What happened in Arizona?  (Read 395 times)
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,637
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 07, 2014, 01:01:05 AM »

The wave totally missed the Arizona House races (except, oddly, for giving Grijalva a bit of a scare in AZ-3). Kirkpatrick and Sinema both improved compared to 2012 -- Sinema especially so -- and it looks like Barber may end up pulling this out with a margin about the same as in 2012. Upballot, AZ voted in a landslide for a Republican gubernatorial candidate who'd been damaged in a primary, and all Republican statewide candidates triumphed -- and I'm pretty sure, considering they mostly outperformed Romney, they won AZ-1 and AZ-2. How did Kirkpatrick and Barber (even if he loses) manage to swim against the tide? Why did Sinema do so much better?
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2014, 01:08:06 AM »

IIRC, the Republicans in AZ-1 and AZ-9 weren't exactly stellar candidates. I'm not sure about AZ-2. Maybe the Giffords ads had an effect?
Logged
publicunofficial
angryGreatness
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,010
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2014, 01:15:15 AM »

Part of it is poor GOP recruitment, moreso in AZ-09 and AZ-01 than AZ-02.

Also, Barber, Kirkpatrick, and Sinema have been shown to be competent politicians, making no mistakes in the past two years, raising good sums of money, and running great campaigns. All 3 of them look like statewide candidates.

Logged
user12345
wifikitten
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,135
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2014, 08:33:03 AM »

Sinema for Gov 2k18.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,531
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2014, 09:42:36 AM »

Now we know why the Republicans in AZ want to kill redistricting reform.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2014, 09:46:13 AM »

As I said before, I had a friend working on Kirkpatrick's campaign and, from his updates, they were really running a top-notch ground effort. Also, I think the Navajo cancelling elections helped Kirkpatrick; the Navajo polling places weren't the same as the regular polling locations. I'd imagine only having to vote at one location on Tuesday was easier than going to two.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.03 seconds with 11 queries.