AZ-Sen: McCain likely running

[Vega]

Laura Ingraham isn't going to beat McCain. Are there any vocal Tea Party State Senators or Representatives in AZ?

[5280]

Hayworth, but he lost against McCain. I'd have to do more research.

[KCDem]

Haha can't the old coot just go away?

[Vega]

Haha can't the old coot just go away?

We need him to run so that no credible Republicans run for an open seat, and a Tea Partier get's in costing Pubs the seat.

[5280]

AZ senate needs term limits.

[5280]

Potential candidates in 2016

Jan Brewer
Matt Salmon
David Schweikert

Others:

Ken Bennett
Christine Jones

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/04/15/Poll-64-percent-of-Arizona-Voters-Want-McCain-Gone-in-2016

[Ljube]

Come on guys, be serious!

Safe McCain.

[BaconBacon96]

Yeah is McCain unpopular now or something? Why would he lose a general election?

[Maxwell]

Yeah is McCain unpopular now or something? Why would he lose a general election?

Come on guys, be serious!

Safe McCain.

McCain is at 30% approval, heavily underwater amongst all parties (though his numbers among Democrats are higher than any Republican Senator at 30% should be)

[Vega]

McCain is like the reverse Lieberman.

[5280]

McCain is better off switching parties and running as a Democrat from this point on.  AZ needs new blood in the GOP senate, aka another Cory Gardner.

[KCDem]

McCain is better off switching parties and running as a Democrat from this point on.  AZ needs new blood in the GOP senate, aka another Cory Gardner.

Hahaha like he would win a Democratic primary

[Vega]

McCain is better off switching parties and running as a Democrat from this point on.  AZ needs new blood in the GOP senate, aka another Cory Gardner.

Hahaha like he would win a Democratic primary

The Democrats are used to taking bruised and battered Republicans. I actually think he might win a Dem primary.

[5280]

McCain is better off switching parties and running as a Democrat from this point on.  AZ needs new blood in the GOP senate, aka another Cory Gardner.

Hahaha like he would win a Democratic primary

Maybe not but he could switch to Democrat and win, McCain does have some left leaning policies that turn off the GOP that would usher in a primary challenger. Ben Nighthorse Campbell ran senator in 1992 as a Democrat and won 51% of the vote. He switched to Republican in 1995, then ran in 1996 and won 62% of the vote.  Such is a possibility, McCain could do it.

1992 Colorado senate election:

Campbell: 51%
Considine: 42%
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Colorado,_1992

1998 Colorado senate election:

Campbell: 62%
Lamm: 35%
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Colorado,_1998

[SPC]

McCain is better off switching parties and running as a Democrat from this point on.  AZ needs new blood in the GOP senate, aka another Cory Gardner.

Hahaha like he would win a Democratic primary

Maybe not but he could switch to Democrat and win, McCain does have some left leaning policies that turn off the GOP that would usher in a primary challenger. Ben Nighthorse Campbell ran senator in 1992 as a Democrat and won 51% of the vote. He switched to Republican in 1995, then ran in 1996 and won 62% of the vote.  Such is a possibility, McCain could do it.

1992 Colorado senate election:

Campbell: 51%
Considine: 42%
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Colorado,_1992

1998 Colorado senate election:

Campbell: 62%
Lamm: 35%
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Colorado,_1998

Campbell was not his former party's presidential nominee...

[5280]

McCain is better off switching parties and running as a Democrat from this point on.  AZ needs new blood in the GOP senate, aka another Cory Gardner.

Hahaha like he would win a Democratic primary

Maybe not but he could switch to Democrat and win, McCain does have some left leaning policies that turn off the GOP that would usher in a primary challenger. Ben Nighthorse Campbell ran senator in 1992 as a Democrat and won 51% of the vote. He switched to Republican in 1995, then ran in 1996 and won 62% of the vote.  Such is a possibility, McCain could do it.

1992 Colorado senate election:

Campbell: 51%
Considine: 42%
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Colorado,_1992

1998 Colorado senate election:

Campbell: 62%
Lamm: 35%
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Colorado,_1998

Campbell was not his former party's presidential nominee...

How does that affect McCain though?

[SPC]

McCain is better off switching parties and running as a Democrat from this point on.  AZ needs new blood in the GOP senate, aka another Cory Gardner.

Hahaha like he would win a Democratic primary

Maybe not but he could switch to Democrat and win, McCain does have some left leaning policies that turn off the GOP that would usher in a primary challenger. Ben Nighthorse Campbell ran senator in 1992 as a Democrat and won 51% of the vote. He switched to Republican in 1995, then ran in 1996 and won 62% of the vote.  Such is a possibility, McCain could do it.

1992 Colorado senate election:

Campbell: 51%
Considine: 42%
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Colorado,_1992

1998 Colorado senate election:

Campbell: 62%
Lamm: 35%
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Colorado,_1998

Campbell was not his former party's presidential nominee...

How does that affect McCain though?

I doubt McCain could win a primary as a Democrat. Specter lost his primary after a party switch, and he had a more liberal voting record than McCain has. His odds are marginally better if he sticks it out with the Republicans and goes scorched earth on whomever ends up his main challenger (or just threatens to do so to intimidate any serious competition, a la Lindsey Graham)

[Ljube]

I'm telling you, he'll run virtually unopposed.

[IceSpear]

Dems definitely have a chance at this seat with presidential turnout, whether McCain is the nominee or not. Hopefully we can find a strong candidate here.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

McCain would do far better in a Republican primary than a Democratic one.  We hate him even more than his own party

[Suburbia]

John, just go. You've served your country with honor. Now it's time to retire.

[LeBron]

U.S. Rep. Trent Franks who's considered a potential challenger made an Akin-esque comment last year regarding rape, and as a Tea Partier himself, it's a win-win both ways for AZ Democrats in whoever wins the primary: a very unpopular incumbent or a gaffe-prone Republican. Please God let Franks vs. McCain happen.

I would really love to see Giffords run considering she's expressed interest in returning to the public sector ever since the incident, but idk if she would be willing to run if McCain escapes the primary. Her main priority is passing gun control, and McCain voted in favor of Manchin-Toomey so running off of that might not bode well. But who knows? Maybe she can be tempted to run based off of the very good chance McCain does get primaried by the right.

Carmona would be pretty hard to convince as well. I don't think he runs, sadly but AZ Dems still have a strong bench. I could see Stanton or Sinema running, but Dems will ultimately find somebody good while the GOP is doomed either way with whoever they nominate.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

While we should not nominate sure losers, we also should not run incumbents who are guarranteed to get primared like Specter and Lugar. That invites trouble and the one doing the primarying will likely not be the second coming of Pat Toomey.

[KCDem]

U.S. Rep. Trent Franks who's considered a potential challenger made an Akin-esque comment last year regarding rape, and as a Tea Partier himself, it's a win-win both ways for AZ Democrats in whoever wins the primary: a very unpopular incumbent or a gaffe-prone Republican. Please God let Franks vs. McCain happen.

I would really love to see Giffords run considering she's expressed interest in returning to the public sector ever since the incident, but idk if she would be willing to run if McCain escapes the primary. Her main priority is passing gun control, and McCain voted in favor of Manchin-Toomey so running off of that might not bode well. But who knows? Maybe she can be tempted to run based off of the very good chance McCain does get primaried by the right.

Carmona would be pretty hard to convince as well. I don't think he runs, sadly but AZ Dems still have a strong bench. I could see Stanton or Sinema running, but Dems will ultimately find somebody good while the GOP is doomed either way with whoever they nominate.

I'm sure the GOP is "doomed", just like Ed Fitzgerald was going to beat Kasich in Ohio...

[tmthforu94]

I like McCain a lot, but I hope he retires so we can field someone better.

I would like to see Jan Brewer run, though she would likely only be a one termer.