Uncounted votes in Alaska increase by 17,500 (new total 41,500)

[JRP1994]

http://www.adn.com/article/20141107/uncounted-vote-totals-us-senate-race-remain-flux

[Lief 🗽]

pls alaska jesus, deliver us the ballots needed to re-elect begich by 17 votes

[KCDem]

pls alaska jesus, deliver us the votes ballots needed to re-elect begich by 17 votes

That would be magical but it won't get my hopes up.

[Vega]

I don't know how anyone could say that Begich should concede. That's alot of votes.

[Flake]

In order for Begich to win, he needs 60% of the outstanding vote, and if he ran a strong rural campaign as the news articles claim, it's certainly possible.

[cinyc]

In order for Begich to win, he needs 60% of the outstanding vote, and if he ran a strong rural campaign as the news articles claim, it's certainly possible.

At least in the first batch of untallied absentee and early votes (i.e not the 4,000 found today), few were from bush HDs 37-40, where Begich did best.  There were more ballots from one heavily Republican Kenai Peninsula HD 29 (1520) than all 4 pro-Begich bush HDs combined (1404).  Yes, there are a lot of potential votes in the two heavily Democratic Juneau-dominated HDs 33 & 34 (2217), but they are offset by absentees and early votes from the heavily Republican Mat-Su dominated HDs 9-12 (3179).  And so on.

The 13,000 provisional ballots weren't terribly different than the total statewide votes in 2008.  They were only 3 points more favorable to Begich than the overall vote and 6 points more favorable than the election day vote.  So I wouldn't expect much from them.  Begich needs to make up his deficit on the early and absentee votes.  The absentees reported so far have been won by Sullivan, though.