2014 Senate results by CD
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  2014 Senate results by CD
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Author Topic: 2014 Senate results by CD  (Read 23536 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #25 on: November 11, 2014, 03:03:14 AM »

Inhofe vs. Silverstein
OK-01: Inhofe 66.40% (110,514), Silverstein 30.64% (50,996)
OK-02: Inhofe 67.34% (107,027), Silverstein 28.91% (45,943)
OK-03: Inhofe 75.73% (128,570), Silverstein 20.90% (35,486)
OK-04: Inhofe 68.67% (113,434), Silverstein 27.60% (45,596)
OK-05: Inhofe 62.00% (91,227), Silverstein 34.48% (50,730)
Either OK-04 or OK-05: Inhofe 55.80% (7,394), Silverstein 41.93% (5,556)

Lankford vs. Johnson
OK-01: Lankford 68.06% (113,071), Johnson 28.96% (48,118)
OK-02: Lankford 65.71% (103,875), Johnson 30.26% (47,826)
OK-03: Lankford 75.70% (128,688), Johnson 21.32% (36,240)
OK-04: Lankford 67.49% (111,587), Johnson 29.12% (48,138)
OK-05: Lankford 62.29% (92,199), Johnson 35.16% (52,046)
Either OK-04 or OK-05: Lankford 56.76% (7,582), Johnson 41.58% (5,555)

Fallin vs. Dorman
OK-01: Fallin 58.67% (97,995), Dorman 38.36% (64,068)
OK-02: Fallin 52.23% (84,994), Dorman 43.11% (68,835)
OK-03: Fallin 61.14% (104,231), Dorman 35.61% (60,711)
OK-04: Fallin 53.48% (88,811), Dorman 43.25% (71,820)
OK-05: Fallin 52.26% (77,466), Dorman 44.85% (66,483)
Either OK-04 or OK-05: Fallin 50.89% (6,801), Dorman 47.31% (6,322)
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Miles
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« Reply #26 on: November 11, 2014, 10:39:16 AM »

^Thanks!
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solarstorm
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« Reply #27 on: November 11, 2014, 11:50:30 AM »

Fallin vs. Dorman
OK-01: Fallin 58.67% (97,995), Dorman 38.36% (64,068)
OK-02: Fallin 52.23% (84,994), Dorman 43.11% (68,835)
OK-03: Fallin 61.14% (104,231), Dorman 35.61% (60,711)
OK-04: Fallin 53.48% (88,811), Dorman 43.25% (71,820)
OK-05: Fallin 52.26% (77,466), Dorman 44.85% (66,483)
Either OK-04 or OK-05: Fallin 50.89% (6,801), Dorman 47.31% (6,322)

It's pretty amazing that OK-02 isn't Dorman's best district.
It's even more amazing that Fallin's home district delivered the the smallest margin for her.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #28 on: November 11, 2014, 12:26:44 PM »

Fallin vs. Dorman
OK-01: Fallin 58.67% (97,995), Dorman 38.36% (64,068)
OK-02: Fallin 52.23% (84,994), Dorman 43.11% (68,835)
OK-03: Fallin 61.14% (104,231), Dorman 35.61% (60,711)
OK-04: Fallin 53.48% (88,811), Dorman 43.25% (71,820)
OK-05: Fallin 52.26% (77,466), Dorman 44.85% (66,483)
Either OK-04 or OK-05: Fallin 50.89% (6,801), Dorman 47.31% (6,322)

It's pretty amazing that OK-02 isn't Dorman's best district.
It's even more amazing that Fallin's home district delivered the the smallest margin for her.

Oklahoma was Obama's 3rd best county in 2012 and the only one that didn't rely on any Blue Dogs.  So CD-05 was bound to become the least conservative district sometime this decade.  In places like OKC and the fastest growing parts of West Texas, the influx of young people for the oil boom seems to actually be moving them to the left because the existing population was just so unanimously conservative.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #29 on: November 11, 2014, 01:23:28 PM »

Schatz vs. Cavasso
HI-01: Schatz 69.87% (124,400), Cavasso 28.19% (50,183)
HI-02: Schatz 69.67% (122,370), Cavasso 27.71% (47,800)

Ige vs. Aiona vs. Hannemann
HI-01: Ige 49.93% (92,202), Aiona 39.08% (72,159), Hannemann 9.77% (18,041)
HI-02: Ige 48.97% (88,863), Aiona 35.04% (63,583), Hannemann 13.71% (24,884)
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Brittain33
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« Reply #30 on: November 11, 2014, 02:21:35 PM »

Scott Brown seems to have faltered just past Concord.
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nclib
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« Reply #31 on: November 11, 2014, 10:48:27 PM »

Almost identical to the House map.
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Miles
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« Reply #32 on: November 14, 2014, 05:33:37 PM »

Braley actually won a CD...on the old map.

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nclib
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« Reply #33 on: November 14, 2014, 07:18:31 PM »

ME-1 Collins 184,449 (65.47%) Bellows 97,289 (34.53%)
ME-2 Collins 188,018 (71.46%) Bellows 75,092 (28.54%)
split  Collins 38,744 (69.17%) Bellows 17,272 (30.83%)
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Miles
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« Reply #34 on: November 22, 2014, 01:37:02 AM »
« Edited: November 22, 2014, 01:42:48 AM by Miles »

NC:




My only disclaimer: There are still some counties that have yet to tabulate all of their early vote by precinct. As usual, I used that same method that DRA does in estimating precinct-level results to account for those instances. Usually, the election site allocates all the county-level early votes by precinct, it just takes longer. I'll be checking for updates.

I also want to break the results down by the old lines; mostly to see how much more fair that map was compared to the current version.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #35 on: November 22, 2014, 10:02:51 AM »

I cannot describe just how ugly I find this map.
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memphis
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« Reply #36 on: November 22, 2014, 10:31:19 AM »

NC:




My only disclaimer: There are still some counties that have yet to tabulate all of their early vote by precinct. As usual, I used that same method that DRA does in estimating precinct-level results to account for those instances. Usually, the election site allocates all the county-level early votes by precinct, it just takes longer. I'll be checking for updates.

I also want to break the results down by the old lines; mostly to see how much more fair that map was compared to the current version.
Directed at NC and not at Miles Roll Eyes
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #37 on: November 22, 2014, 10:35:08 AM »

The second, seventh and fourth just make me sick. The first is probably even worse.
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #38 on: November 22, 2014, 11:30:45 AM »

Whoa, the gerrymandering is strong with this one.
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Miles
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« Reply #39 on: November 22, 2014, 11:45:24 AM »

^ What makes it really effective is that, even when Hagan won by almost 9%, she still didn't win any of the Republican districts. She lost most of them 45/50, instead of 40/55-ish this year.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #40 on: November 22, 2014, 05:21:52 PM »

NC has got to be the worst gerrymander in the entire country. I mean, the D's should get at least 4 districts.
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Miles
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« Reply #41 on: November 22, 2014, 07:41:24 PM »

The old NC districts:

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memphis
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« Reply #42 on: November 23, 2014, 12:43:36 AM »

NC has got to be the worst gerrymander in the entire country. I mean, the D's should get at least 4 districts.
Have you seen the OH map?
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Miles
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« Reply #43 on: November 23, 2014, 12:44:45 AM »

NC has got to be the worst gerrymander in the entire country. I mean, the D's should get at least 4 districts.
Have you seen the OH map?

3/13 = 23%
4/16 = 25%

Wink
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memphis
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« Reply #44 on: November 23, 2014, 09:00:08 AM »

NC has got to be the worst gerrymander in the entire country. I mean, the D's should get at least 4 districts.
Have you seen the OH map?

3/13 = 23%
4/16 = 25%

Wink
Relative to what overall statewide vote?
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #45 on: November 24, 2014, 12:32:19 PM »

Does anyone have any info on Illinois?
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #46 on: November 24, 2014, 12:45:42 PM »


If I were a citizen of any other country. I would now consider American politics a joke. Unfortunately I am stranded here, and I have to live with the sick jokes (like 'my' Congressional representative).
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muon2
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« Reply #47 on: November 24, 2014, 04:44:13 PM »

Does anyone have any info on Illinois?

The counties' deadline to officially send results to the state is tomorrow, and the State Board of Elections will meet on Sun to certify the results. However, that won't help this thread. The BoE will post the complete state results, but they won't break down a race other than by county. It's up to interested parties to reconstruct the precinct totals by some other delimiter such as CDs. When, you think about it, it's hard to justify staff time for a task that's basically of interest only to election junkies.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #48 on: November 26, 2014, 07:13:48 PM »


Is that suppose to settle my stomach. It is barely any better. Tongue
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #49 on: November 26, 2014, 07:19:02 PM »


Is that suppose to settle my stomach. It is barely any better. Tongue

Ive always thought that the 2nd district on this map looked like a big bird ready to fly away.  Raleigh is the head. 
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