2014 Senate results by CD

[Vosem]

It was surprising to me that Brownback did worse in CD2 than CD3.

Lynn Jenkins did worse than Kevin Yoder, too. Jenkins was also usually rated as the most vulnerable member of the House delegation by prognosticators, which I noticed before the election:

From what I've heard, there's been a bit of buzz about Jenkins (though she's still definitely favored), but Huelskamp, Yoder, and Pompeo are all utterly safe.

Of course in the end with Brownback winning, and Roberts by double digits, every member of the House delegation was totally safe.

[Vosem]

So it appears that the VA gerrymander is going to be over at least for the 2nd congressional seat .

Obama won that district, as well.

[Vosem]

Fantastic diary, Miles!

[Vosem]

The only CD's to vote for a different party in the Senate than in the House:

Dem Senate/Rep House

KS-3 (Orman)
MI-4
MI-7
MI-8
MI-11
MN-2

Rep Senate/Dem House

IA-2
ME-1
NE-2

Incredible polarization. That's only 6.1% of total seats (not counting Ala.)

Now that the map is basically finished (Hawaii's results can be guessed at, and MA and NJ are up at Ace of Spades), this list can be finished as well. 239 congressional districts voted in the 2014 Senate elections (double-counting OK and SC) -- of those, 12 voted for opposite parties for the Senate and House (12/239 = 5.02%):

IA-02 (Ernst/Loebsack)
IL-08 (Durbin/Dold)
KS-03 (Orman/Yoder)
ME-01 (Collins/Pingree)
MI-04 (Peters/Moolenaar)
MI-07 (Peters/Walberg)
MI-08 (Peters/Bishop)
MI-11 (Peters/Trott)
MN-02 (Franken/Kline)
NE-02 (Sasse/Ashford)
NJ-05 (Booker/Garrett)
TX-28 (Cornyn/Cuellar)

The only Senate candidate to win more than one congressional district that voted for the opposite party was Gary Peters in Michigan, who carried 4 such districts. The phenomenon of voting for a Democrat to the Senate but a Republican to the House was twice as common as the reverse; 8 of these 12 are D-Sen/R-HoR, and only 4 are R-Sen/D-HoR. (This counts Orman as a D).

[Vosem]

Maybe the other thread is more appropriate for this, but will you continue figuring the general election gubernatorial results? Because those are far from finished and still very interesting (and many of them are much less obvious than the Senate results).