Places where Dems exceeded expectations
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Author Topic: Places where Dems exceeded expectations  (Read 518 times)
nclib
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« on: November 08, 2014, 07:37:06 PM »
I thought there was a thread on this, but I can't find it.

FL-2
FL-18
NE-2
UT-4 (though for the wrong reasons)
AK Senate?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2014, 07:42:07 PM »
FL-2 is particularly incredible considering it's an R+6 district. Gwen Graham certainly has a bright future. NE-2 is too, but Ashford is one of the oldest freshmen I've seen, and so he'll probably max out two or three terms, if he isn't already beaten in 2016.

I'd also add IL-17 and MA-06.
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Vega
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« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2014, 07:44:14 PM »
HI-01, I guess.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2014, 07:46:13 PM »
The Arizona house races. Connecticut Governor.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2014, 07:47:25 PM »

I can't imagine how that is possible even with the most depressing Talleyrand view of things. A D+18 district shouldn't be within 4, even with an incredibly strong candidate for the Republicans.
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Ebowed
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« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2014, 07:49:52 PM »
MN-08, WV-02
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Vega
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« Reply #6 on: November 08, 2014, 07:53:30 PM »
Quote from: IDS Emperor Maxwell on November 08, 2014, 07:47:25 PM

I can't imagine how that is possible even with the most depressing Talleyrand view of things. A D+18 district shouldn't be within 4, even with an incredibly strong candidate for the Republicans.

They exceeded expectations in the sense that all the horrible Hawaii polls were showing Djou up.

But yeah, Takai should have won by at least 5. I'll chuck him not being able to due to the lowest voter turnout Hawaii has ever had in a General Election.
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KCDem
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« Reply #7 on: November 08, 2014, 07:54:45 PM »
Easily FL-18. Also, MN-07.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #8 on: November 08, 2014, 08:11:31 PM »
Quote from: IDS Emperor Maxwell on November 08, 2014, 07:47:25 PM

I can't imagine how that is possible even with the most depressing Talleyrand view of things. A D+18 district shouldn't be within 4, even with an incredibly strong candidate for the Republicans.

Hawaii is one of those places where huge swings aren't irregular. Going from 54% Kerry to 71% Obama for instance.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #9 on: November 08, 2014, 08:20:27 PM »
FL-02 is definitely a good example, interesting to see how Graham does in 2016 with higher turnout but against a potty-trained opponent
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: November 08, 2014, 08:58:09 PM »
NH-Sen, NH-02
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2014, 10:27:34 PM »
NH, but I don't know if it's because of the state actually trending more permanently Dem or because of carpetbagging.  Leaning toward the former in light of CO and VA, but unsure.
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