Will there be polls for the LA runoff?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 06:54:00 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Will there be polls for the LA runoff?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Will there be polls for the LA runoff?  (Read 1203 times)
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,947


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 09, 2014, 03:35:41 PM »

If so, when can we expect the first ones to come out?
Logged
KCDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,928


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 09, 2014, 03:37:15 PM »

No, because Landrieu is guaranteed to lose.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 09, 2014, 04:18:48 PM »

I think the pollsters need some time to recover from their shellacking.
Logged
Recalcuate
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 444


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 10, 2014, 09:30:59 AM »

If so, when can we expect the first ones to come out?

I don't think you need a poll to know that Republicans are going to win in a R+14 and R+19 district. Especially in the R+19 when the Pubbie is facing an ex-con former governor that got out of jail a few years ago.

However, with that said, I assume the Cassidy/Landrieu race will be polled at some point. If the sample size is big enough, you may see a breakdown for LA-5 and LA-6.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 10, 2014, 09:40:37 AM »

The exit poll said Cassidy+8 for the runoff (51-43):

http://www.cnn.com/election/2014/results/state/LA/senate#exit-polls

Of course, in reality it will be more like 58-42 or something.
Logged
solarstorm
solarstorm2012
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,637
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 10, 2014, 04:20:55 PM »

The exit poll said Cassidy+8 for the runoff (51-43):

http://www.cnn.com/election/2014/results/state/LA/senate#exit-polls

Of course, in reality it will be more like 58-42 or something.

If the margin is really only 8%, Mary oughtn't give up hope.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,685
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 10, 2014, 04:31:13 PM »

The exit poll said Cassidy+8 for the runoff (51-43):

http://www.cnn.com/election/2014/results/state/LA/senate#exit-polls

Of course, in reality it will be more like 58-42 or something.

If the margin is really only 8%, Mary oughtn't give up hope.
She's not last I checked. But most of that 6% undecided is probably bitter Maness voters, most of which will vote for Cassidy in the end, although a few may stay home. No matter what, they aren't voting for Landrieu.
Logged
solarstorm
solarstorm2012
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,637
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 10, 2014, 04:36:19 PM »

The exit poll said Cassidy+8 for the runoff (51-43):

http://www.cnn.com/election/2014/results/state/LA/senate#exit-polls

Of course, in reality it will be more like 58-42 or something.

If the margin is really only 8%, Mary oughtn't give up hope.
She's not last I checked. But most of that 6% undecided is probably bitter Maness voters, most of which will vote for Cassidy in the end, although a few may stay home. No matter what, they aren't voting for Landrieu.

Mary's only hope is them staying at home.
Maybe the House runoffs in CD5 and 6 will help her, too, with Maio turning up the black turn-out.
Logged
Recalcuate
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 444


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 10, 2014, 06:38:50 PM »

Mary's only hope is them staying at home.
Maybe the House runoffs in CD5 and 6 will help her, too, with Maio turning up the black turn-out.

Doubtful. Maio is going to get creamed in his Congressional race as is the former governor-turned-ex-con. These are very Republican districts, which will just pile on the likely Landrieu loss come Dec. 6. The turnout will favor Republicans, if anything, if LA-5 and LA-6 somehow become hot.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.037 seconds with 12 queries.