Which Louisiana Democrat has a higher chance of winning?
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  Which Louisiana Democrat has a higher chance of winning?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Which Louisiana Democrat has a higher chance of winning?
#1
Jamie Mayo (LA-05)
#2
Edwin Edwards (LA-06)
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Author Topic: Which Louisiana Democrat has a higher chance of winning?  (Read 1480 times)
solarstorm
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« on: November 14, 2014, 03:48:41 PM »
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: November 14, 2014, 03:52:40 PM »
Edwin Edwards is about 3 times more likely to win, but luckily for Congressman-elect Garret Graves, 0 times any number is still 0.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2014, 04:01:28 PM »
Landrieu has a better chance of winning than both of them and that number is still a multiple of 0.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #3 on: November 14, 2014, 04:21:28 PM »
Edwin Edwards is a good and honest man, and he will work hard for the people of Louisiana. I trust the good people of the 6th district to do the right thing and send him to Congress.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: November 15, 2014, 04:15:46 PM »
Edwards because he's white.
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hopper
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« Reply #5 on: November 15, 2014, 05:39:59 PM »
Quote from: Lief on November 14, 2014, 04:21:28 PM
Edwin Edwards is a good and honest man, and he will work hard for the people of Louisiana. I trust the good people of the 6th district to do the right thing and send him to Congress.
I thought he had been in jail once or twice. Remember "The Crook" against 
"The Klansman" in the 1991 LA Governors Race Run-off?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: November 15, 2014, 05:41:32 PM »
There's no difference between 0% and 0%
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KCDem
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« Reply #7 on: November 15, 2014, 06:12:52 PM »

This is the correct answer.
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rbt48
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« Reply #8 on: November 16, 2014, 10:56:43 PM »
At age 87, I imagine that Edwards would be the oldest member of the House.  Interesting for a freshman.  I can't imagine rationale folks voting for an ex-con to be a member of a minority caucus in the House, but I suppose if it could happen anywhere, it would be in Louisiana. 

Well, perhaps Staten Island as well.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #9 on: November 17, 2014, 12:58:30 AM »
Considering we already have an ample majority and that he'd be the #1 target in 2016, I wouldn't mind seeing Edwards win. It would be amusing.
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Recalcuate
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« Reply #10 on: November 17, 2014, 08:05:55 PM »
Quote from: Lief on November 14, 2014, 04:21:28 PM
Edwin Edwards is a good and honest man, and he will work hard for the people of Louisiana. I trust the good people of the 6th district to do the right thing and send him to Congress.
I trust that was sarcasm directed at the ex-con former Governor from Louisiana.

Technically, LA-5 is the more "Democrat-leaning" district of the two at R+15 vs. R+21 in LA-6. Mayo is the mayor or Monroe, so you'd think he'd have the "better" chance.

However, in reality, both candidates should get destroyed. The six Republican candidates in LA-5 split about 70% of the result, while in LA-6 the eight Republican candidates split 64%  of the vote.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: December 06, 2014, 11:54:38 PM »
Edwards lost by 24 points, Mayo lost by 28 points. This despite the fact that Edwards was running in an R+19 district and Mayo's district was R+14. Racist Louisiana strikes again.
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solarstorm
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« Reply #12 on: December 07, 2014, 12:19:24 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on December 06, 2014, 11:54:38 PM
Edwards lost by 24 points, Mayo lost by 28 points. This despite the fact that Edwards was running in an R+19 district and Mayo's district was R+14. Racist Louisiana strikes again.

At the beginning of the ballot-counting it looked completely different.
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Vosem
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« Reply #13 on: December 07, 2014, 12:32:56 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on December 06, 2014, 11:54:38 PM
Edwards lost by 24 points, Mayo lost by 28 points. This despite the fact that Edwards was running in an R+19 district and Mayo's district was R+14. Racist Louisiana strikes again.

Edwards' length of "service" to Louisiana might also have played a role. I think I commented elsewhere that if he'd switched parties upon leaving prison, he'd be headed to the House right now. Whatever other Democrat would've ran would've gotten first/second place, and he'd be the top Republican.

If he'd switched and waited till 2015, he could've had a reasonable chance of returning to the Governor's Mansion (probably the office he really wants).
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #14 on: December 07, 2014, 12:35:54 AM »
Quote from: Vosem on December 07, 2014, 12:32:56 AM
Quote from: IceSpear on December 06, 2014, 11:54:38 PM
Edwards lost by 24 points, Mayo lost by 28 points. This despite the fact that Edwards was running in an R+19 district and Mayo's district was R+14. Racist Louisiana strikes again.

Edwards' length of "service" to Louisiana might also have played a role. I think I commented elsewhere that if he'd switched parties upon leaving prison, he'd be headed to the House right now. Whatever other Democrat would've ran would've gotten first/second place, and he'd be the top Republican.

If he'd switched and waited till 2015, he could've had a reasonable chance of returning to the Governor's Mansion (probably the office he really wants).
Nah, Vitter and Dardenne are superior to him, even if he pulled a Crist.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #15 on: December 07, 2014, 01:25:30 AM »
The people of LA-06 made a grave mistake today. They have made two enemies for life: the good former governor, and myself.
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