Duckworth husband registers DuckworthforSenate.com

[henster]

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/224213-report-duckworth-interested-open-and-curious-about-senate-run

[morgieb]

Urgh. She just doesn't seem a very strong candidate in practice.

[free my dawg]

Eh. Not impressed with her 2012 performance.

[Panda Express]

Remember in 2006 when Duckworth lost a contested house race while Kirk won a contested house race? (in a dem wave year)

Or remember when Duckworth sucked against Walsh in 2012?

Duckworth sucks and could very easily lose to Kirk. They should call her Tammy Suckworth

[henster]

Giannoulous came within 2 points of Kirk in 2010 despite being corrupt as hell I'd say she has a very strong chance of beating him.

[Maxwell]

We'll see how this works out, but right now, I say Duckworth starts out as favored, but it certainly depends on the type of year it is, the type of campaign she runs, and how good/bad Mark Kirk is.

It is too early to call Mark Kirk the Mark Pryor of 2016.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Remember in 2006 when Duckworth lost a contested house race while Kirk won a contested house race? (in a dem wave year)

Or remember when Duckworth sucked against Walsh in 2012?

Duckworth sucks and could very easily lose to Kirk. They should call her Tammy Suckworth

Her margin this year was nothing to go around touting either (10 points against a mediocre opponent in a district Obama won by 16 in 2012).

Kirk should be praying for Duckworth to be his challenger.

[DrScholl]

Kirk's downfall will be Republicans believing that Duckworth will lose. Her congressional district is more ancestrally Republican downballot than presidential numbers suggests, yet she still wins it easily.

[Dixie Reborn]

Either way, I have this race at Leans Democrat, but we shall see how it turns out.

[Lief 🗽]

RATINGS CHANGE

IL-Sen: Toss-Up >>>> Likely R

[publicunofficial]

Worth mentioning that Duckworth is currently pregnant, and it's believed that is what the main thing stopping her from running is.

I think she steps aside for now.

[badgate]

I will point out that she built on her 2012 performance on 11/4.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I will point out that she built on her 2012 performance on 11/4.

Not by a statistically significant amount. Both races are 55-45 in terms of rounded percentages.

[windjammer]

RATINGS CHANGE

IL-Sen: Toss-Up >>>> Likely R

[Talleyrand]

Congratulations Senator Kirk.

[Vega]

Congratulations Senator Kirk.

[DrScholl]

Joe Walsh is hinting at a primary run, so Kirk might not even be the nominee.

[Vega]

Joe Walsh is hinting at a primary run, so Kirk might not even be the nominee.

He wouldn't win.

[Maxwell]

Dems here are far too pessimistic about Duckworth's chances, but yes, she's the weakest of the best three the Illinois Dems could've put up (Bustos, Madigan, Duckworth).

[Vega]

Worth mentioning that Duckworth is currently pregnant, and it's believed that is what the main thing stopping her from running is.

I think she steps aside for now.

Isn't she a little bit.... old?

[Vosem]

Worth mentioning that Duckworth is currently pregnant, and it's believed that is what the main thing stopping her from running is.

I think she steps aside for now.

Isn't she a little bit.... old?

She is 46.

I really don't think Duckworth is a particularly strong candidate, and I really don't think Madigan even has a Senate race on her radar. The three Democrats Kirk should be worried about are Bustos, Frerichs, and Simon, and in that order.

[DrScholl]

Joe Walsh is hinting at a primary run, so Kirk might not even be the nominee.

He wouldn't win.

He has a good chance, he'd galvanize conservatives downstate.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Worth mentioning that Duckworth is currently pregnant, and it's believed that is what the main thing stopping her from running is.

I think she steps aside for now.

Isn't she a little bit.... old?

She is 46.

I really don't think Duckworth is a particularly strong candidate, and I really don't think Madigan even has a Senate race on her radar. The three Democrats Kirk should be worried about are Bustos, Frerichs, and Simon, and in that order.

Simon would lose, he should worry about Quigley, Frerichs, and Bustos (in that order).  Any of those three would probably beat him, tough an opponent as he'll be.

[henster]

What makes Kirk so tough to beat? He barely won in 2010 and he's anonymous to the state, people on here seem to think he's the Chuck Grassley of Illinois. Kirk won't be able to use his military credentials against Duckworth effectively or his disability all of his strengths seem neutralized against her.

[IceSpear]

What makes Kirk so tough to beat? He barely won in 2010 and he's anonymous to the state, people on here seem to think he's the Chuck Grassley of Illinois. Kirk won't be able to use his military credentials against Duckworth effectively or his disability all of his strengths seem neutralized against her.

Yeah, people here seem to think Kirk won in 2010 as an above the fray moderate and now enjoys broad popularity across the entire political spectrum. In reality, he won as a clear "lesser of two evils" choice against the corrupt and slimy Giannoulias, was relentlessly pounded for lying about his military record, and is currently pretty much anonymous. And now he'll be running in a blue state with presidential year turnout. Unless 2016 is a wave and/or the Democratic candidate implodes, Kirk is going to lose. Duckworth's underperformance in 2012 was probably just because lots of people don't even know who the candidates are and just vote straight ticket. I mean, David "a good meal" Young just won by double digits against the much superior Staci Appel.