The Future is Here!

[Maxwell]

Great timeline.

But one thing, either of the Castro brothers would never win a statewide election in Texas, especially during a midterm year. Even with Gohmert as the GOP. There's just too many "yellow-dog" Republicans there (literally people who would vote for a yellow dog before they would vote for a Democrat, the term was coined the other way around in the Solid South)

Yes, but I'm making two assumptions - 1. the growing hispanic population would finally turn out for Castro and 2. Gohmert is such a goober that he's worse than a yellow dog.

[Maxwell]

2018 Election Watch Pt.1 - McCaul defeats Gohmert



Texas Republican Run-Off
51.2% Congressman Michael McCaul
48.8% Congressman Louie Gohmert

Conservatives lose a rising star and Establishment Republicans gain a work horse and a safer hold with McCaul's defeat of Gohmert. McCaul went highly negative in the final stretch, barraging Gohmert with ads, and most polls showed Gohmert down double digits. However, Gohmert had something McCaul didn't - grassroots support. This caused the race to be called very late in the night. McCaul is highly favored against Julian Castro, gaining a primary bump (52-40). Nevertheless, Castro has proved himself to be an impressive fundraiser, more able to compete with self-funder McCaul than many expected.

2018 Election Watch Pt. 2 - Arkansas race tightens after budget scuffles



48% Hutchinson - 44% Hays

In a race many expected to be a walk for Republicans, Democratic Primary winner Patrick Henry Hays gets a major boost in the polls after continual budget scuffles between Governor Asa Hutchinson and his Republican legislature cause problems for schools and regular government operations. Hutchinson, after campaigning on competent government, has run into major problems working with the legislature, often butting heads with major Republican leaders who are more ideological. Hays, the benefactor of all this, has campaigned like all successful southern Democrats nowadays have - on guns, public education, and the failure of a major Republican. This will be a surprising one to watch.

Figures - National Revenues under expectation, Unemployment rising

After Budget Director Judd Gregg originally made it clear that corporate tax reform would have a net positive effect on the budget, it turns out that national revenues are under expectation by a significant amount. This adds to a return of an unemployment problem starting in December of 2017, that has only grown since May has started. Most economists don't think that the tax reform has anything to do with a return of higher unemployment rates, but the change has dealt a good deal of damage to confidence people have in the Romney administration. Judd Gregg has since resigned from office.

Sensing his Presidential ambitions slipping away if he doesn't do something quick, Senator Eric Garcetti (D-CA), the most noted progressive to support Romney's tax reform, has backed away from his support, saying in a recent press appearance "it was a lethal mistake made under false pretenses and I am deeply sorry". Garcetti also noted his strong opposition to the Ernst-Manchin Voting Rights package, calling it - "a slap in the face to minorities across this great nation".

Garcetti's most noted challenger, Senator Al Franken (D-MN), took some well-deserved swipes at the Democratic frontrunner, calling it "an obvious error by a man too willing to believe, rookie mistake!". Franken was noted for his staunch opposition to the bill in the congress, becoming the all-too-well-known member of the "No Caucus", democrats who filibuster the houses bills and slows down the process for President Romney. Franken was praised for his insight.

Conservatives took this opportunity to chastise the President on spending. Potential challenger, Senator Raul Labrador of Idaho, took a swipe at the President in a speech, demanding cuts to spending and saying the ever famous Republican line - "Washington doesn't have a revenue problem, it has a spending problem". Labrador's views, which trend conservative and libertarian, allowed him to throw out red meat to the conservative voters while at the same time amping up his policy credentials, giving him a good chance should Romney not run again.

Romney vetoes bipartisan anti-spying bill

In another sign of the President's inability to communicate with voters, he has vetoed the major anti-spying bill, leaving before he could give an explanation. Stranger still, he had planned a press conference, but didn't show up. When reached for a statement, Vice President Walker, seething from being iced from the administration, said "well he should've at least showed up!". That clip is being played over and over again, causing drama for the administration, and building up votes in the Senate and House for an override.

[Bigby]

What happened to Cruz in Texas anyway?

[Maxwell]

What happened to Cruz in Texas anyway?

Cruz ran for President in 2016, lost embarrassingly, and has faded into obscurity. Probably going to end up the head of some think tank, or as a controversial appointee for Supreme Court.

[badgate]

So he resigned from the Senate or chose not to go for reelection?

[Bigby]

What happened to Cruz in Texas anyway?

Cruz ran for President in 2016, lost embarrassingly, and has faded into obscurity. Probably going to end up the head of some think tank, or as a controversial appointee for Supreme Court.

Ah. I thought he gave the middle finger to the GOP for not caving into the Tea Party.

[Maxwell]

So he resigned from the Senate or chose not to go for reelection?

He's not running for re-election.

[MyRescueKittehRocks]

Stutzman in the senate would make me very happy. He's a class act.

[Maxwell]

Hot Hot Summer - Re-Districting, Voting Issues, West Virginia, Pot

Adding to the record temperatures in the summer of 2018 were issues involving re-districting and voting rights. Courts ruled Ohio and Michigan re-districting ruled to be unconstitutional, and an independent commission will be brought in to re-draw the state for 2022 elections. This news brings doom to the congressmen in a lot of at risk Republican districts in both states. If a wave wasn't already coming, this was a big sign of things to come.

In Congress, it looks like President Mitt Romney picked the wrong fight when it came to The Voting Reforms Act. From a 48-12 rating to a 32-59 rating, Senator Al Franken and Jeff Merkley moved the Democratic caucus significantly against the one provision that held Republicans on: Voter ID. The debate over the bill became vitrolic when protesters came to the White House front lawn with "Romney = Hitler" signs. The bill was defeated 52-47, with Joe Manchin voting for his bill, and Rand Paul, Dean Heller, Cory Gardner, and Chuck Grassley voting against it, with Orin Hatch not voting.

Afterward, news got bad for potential Democratic control of the Senate when Joe Manchin promptly resigned his seat from the Senate when the bill failed, calling it "An end to bipartisanship as we know it". In his place, the West Virginia Democratic Party has put Former Senator Carte Goodwin up as the nominee, who will certainly end up as an underdog to Former Olympic Gymnast Mary Lou Retton, but appears, at least potentially, to be competitive.

State referendums across the country are legalizing pot, even in states not typically known for pot legalization like Arizona, Kansas, Idaho, Montana, and Missouri. And for once, politicians are following the popularity of that policy. State Rep. Lydia Hernandez (D-AZ) is running as a supreme underdog to Governor Doug Ducey, has hitched her wagon to the popularity of pot legalization, as has Boise Mayor David Bieter (D-ID) and Former State Senator Paul Davis (D-KS). Even Republicans in previously legalized pot states have flipped. Former State Senator Mike Kopp (R-CO), a candidate for Governor, has flipped his position on pot and has gone to the left of his Democratic opponent.

[Maxwell]

Dem Wave Building, Ingraham defeats Flake, Goodwin closes the gap

 

Arizona Senate Poll - 51% Synema (D), 43% Ingraham (R)
Utah Senate Poll- 46% Owens (D), 44% Love (R)
West Virginia Senate Poll - 48% Retton (R), 45% Goodwin (D)
Idaho Governor Poll - 44% Wasden (R), 42% Bieter (D)
Arizona Governor Poll - 47% Ducey (R), 40% Hernandez (D)

Despite Democrats on the verge of losing two seats (Indiana and Missouri), it looks more and more like a Democratic wave that will wipe out Republicans in formerly stronghold districts and Governorships in strongly Republican states. The most notable races - a Tea Party victory in Arizona happens when talk radio host Laura Ingraham narrowly defeats Jeff Flake (44-43). Senator Flake was narrowly favored against Synema (48-45), but Ingraham causes this seat to go into incredibly hostile territory for Republicans. Some conservatives are even worried that Synema's victory will be so large that she carries with her State Rep. Lydia Hernandez, who is running against unpopular Governor Doug Ducey.

In Utah, to the disbelief of many, Doug Owens, son of Former Congressman Wayne Owens, has pulled ahead in public polls against rising star Congresswoman Mia Love. Love below an early advantage by overspending early, and losing the confidence of many Republican moderates when she stood against the President on the Voting Reforms Act and said "President Romney will get a big kick in the rear from us conservatives!". Some reports say that Romney operatives have secretly cut off Mia Love and backed Owens in subtle ways, and Owens, who knows Romney is still very popular in the state, has praised the President as a moderate consensus builder, and "will work constructively with Republicans to get through Utah's interests".

Finally, Former Senator Carte Goodwin is closing the gap against Former Olympian Mary Lou Retton. Goodwin has touted his West Virginia heritage, his business savy, and his youth, being able to campaign all across the state in nearly every town. Retton, meanwhile, has almost taken the race for granted, rarely appearing at forums, debates, and even at campaign events. Her reasoning? her lack of knowledge of the issues! When asked a reason to vote for Mrs. Retton, Governor Morrissey gave a mumbling non-answer about the American dream. The most potent attack against Goodwin is his record - being the most liberal Senator during his time is certainly a hampering on his campaign, but besides that, the race has been tightening from the start, and may be an unexpected Democratic hold.

Secretary of Treasury Carly Fiorina resigns, more economic troubles

In October, shocking news came about when Treasury Secretary Carly Fiorina announced her resignation from the White House. Her work has been as a cheerleader for the Romney fiscal agenda, with many pundits calling her one of the most political Treasury Secretaries in history. Whoever is confirmed in her place may face a tough hearing. Fiorina is considered a future Presidential candidate, especially if President Romney retires.

Unemployment has reached 7%, as economic troubles continue to burden the American people. The deficit is expected to rise, largely due to the economic distress, but certainly not helped by the Romney tax reform, which brought in a net negative of revenue, instead of the revenue neutrality promised by Senator Portman and Secretary Fiorina. Democrats have lambasted the President's performance on this front, and have campaign hard on the economic improvement of the Obama administration. Looks like President Obama will be getting the last laugh after all.

George H.W. Bush and Jimmy Carter die on the same day



George H.W. Bush: June 12th, 1924 - October 28th, 2018 (94 Years Old)
Jimmy Cater: October 1st, 1924 - October 28th, 2018 (94 Years Old)

[Maxwell]

2018 - A Shellacking

Competitive Senate Races

Arizona
In what many consider a landmark defeat, Talk Radio Host Laura Ingraham defeats Senator Jeff Flake by over 5000 votes (44-43, with a third anti-immigrant perennial candidate taking the rest). Flake, enraged, refuses to endorse Ingraham, and instead, praises Congresswoman Krysten Sienma as a "bipartisan consensus-maker in Washington", in effect, endorsing her. Sinema's lead in the polls ends up being slightly over-estimated (partially due to her agnosticism), but nevertheless, she is elected in a historic victory.

Congresswoman Krysten Sienma (D) - 53%
Talk Radio Host Laura Ingraham (R) - 43%

D Pick-up!

Florida
In one potential Republican pick-up, Republicans nominate Adam Putnam to face aging Senator Bill Nelson. Nelson proves his frality over the campaign, and trails definitively against Putnam most of the campaign. However, Putnam calls Democratic voters "a bunch of ignorant racists who can't understand what's even on their ballot" two days before election day, and Nelson pulls ahead, in a testament to how big the wave was Putnam lead in the last poll 51-46.

Senator Bill Nelson (D) - 49%
Ag. Commissioner Adam Putnam (R) - 48%

Indiana
In the one bright spot for Republicans in the Senate, Senator Joe Donnelly's unpopularity proved too much to overcome when Indianapolis Mayor Greg Ballard defeated two Tea Party challengers in a primary. Ballard held a strong lead throughout the campaign, and the margin of the race was shocking, but Ballard clearly defeated accidental Senator Donnelly.

Indianapolis Mayor Greg Ballard (R) - 52%
Senator Joe Donnelly (D) - 46%

R Pick-Up!

Missouri
In what most expected to be the second bright spot of the night for Republicans, Missouri Senator Claire McCaskill, a woman of considerable luck, saw her luck run out against Congresswoman Ann Wagner. Wagner, while considered to be too conservative for the state as a whole, proved to be a strong campaigner, and McCaskill, try as she might, couldn't compete. However, with most polls deadlocked, 2018 turned out to save McCaskill's bacon, as she won re-election narrowly.

Senator Claire McCaskill (D) - 50%
Congresswoman Ann Wagner (R) - 48%

North Dakota
Senator Heidi Heitkamp was very popular in North Dakota (56-32 Approval Rating), but Republicans saw an opportunity when she trailed Congressman Kevin Cramer in opening polls. Cramer, however, proved to be a bumbling nominee, uninspiring to Conservatives, and too conservative for the party moderates. This was a secret Democrat that President Romney backed behind closed doors, refusing to fly to North Dakota to campaign for Cramer. Heitkamp beat Cramer back by a surprising margin.

Senator Heidi Heitkamp (D) - 53%
Congressman Kevin Cramer (R) - 45%

Nevada
Senator Dean Heller racked up a moderate record along with his fellow Nevada Senator Mark Hutchison, and Heller was ranked "the most centrist Senator in the country" in 2017. Heller, however, faced a stellar challenge from Former Attorney General Catherine Mastos, who charged Heller was a "solider in the Romney army". Despite his record, Heller couldn't shake the label, and lost against Mastos.

Former Attorney General Catherine Mastos (D) - 49%
Senator Dean Heller (R) - 45%

D Pick-Up!

Pennsylvania
While Congressional races went decisively Democrat this year, the Pennsylvania Senate race almost defied the year. Lieutenant Governor Michael Stack faced off against Congressman Charlie Dent in an extremely nasty and negative Senate race. The retiring Senator Bob Casey had little faith in Stack, but saw Dent as a continuation of the Republican Senate, and campaigned strongly for Mr. Stack. Leads changed throughout the campaign, but the 2014 banner year managed to carry Stack to a victory. Dent has almost positively made sure he will run again in 2024.

Lt. Governor Michael Stack (D) - 51%
Congressman Charlie Dent (R) - 49%

Texas
The contentious primary non-withstanding, Mike McCaul came out of the primary with strong fundraising, strong backing from Governor Abbott and President Romney, and a seemingly insurmountable lead in the polls. In race that nobody had on their radars, San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro began slowly but surely chipping away at McCaul's lead. McCaul was not considered a strong campaigner, with most Texans finding him cold and distant, and while Castro wasn't as strong with the yellow dog Republicans, he found a voice with Republican moderates who saw McCaul's stance on immigration as too extreme, and with hispanics, who turned out in record numbers to vote for the first hispanic Senator of Texas. In the biggest upset of the night, McCaul was defeated by a little over 1000 votes.

Former San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro (D) - 49.5364%
Congressman Mike McCaul (R) - 49.5363%

D Pick-Up!

Utah
With his thunder slightly stolen, Doug Owens nevertheless shocked most observers with his campaign, running as strong or even stronger against Congresswoman Mia Love as he did against Senator Mike Lee in 2016. Mia Love, considered a rising star in the Republican Party, made plenty of fundamental errors throughout the campaign, while Owens went to nearly every little town in Utah and talked to voters about his independence. Owens was another Democrat secretly supported by President Mitt Romney, who cut off Love from public appearances. Owens, in return, said he would've voted for the Voting Reforms Act, and would work with Republicans to get things done for Utahans. The margin of which Owens won by was probably the most shocking thing.

Former Senate Candidate Doug Owens (D) - 53%
Congresswoman Mia Love (R) - 46%

D Pick Up!

West Virginia
With the surprise resignation of Senator Joe Manchin, the seat was almost certainly thrown to the Republicans. Or so we thought. Olympian Mary Lou Retton was set to be the Republican nominee, and Democrats successfully sought out Former Senator Carte Goodwin as a sacrifical lamb. Goodwin, however, proved to be a successful nominee, touting his fair trade credentials, support for blue collar workers, and most important of all, his love for Former Senator Robert Byrd. Retton, however, proved to be a disaster, making few public appearances, and the few she made proved how little she knew about the issues. Goodwin pulled an upset and actually held the seat for the Democrats.

Former Senator Carte Goodwin (D) - 51%
Former Olympian Mary Lou Retton (R) - 49%

All Senate Races
AZ - 53% Sienma, 43% Ingraham
CA - 58% Chiang, 42% Nunes
CT - 61% Murphy, 38% Debicella
DE - 71% Carper, 28% Some Dude
FL - 49% Nelson, 48% Putnam
HI - 78% Hirono, 19% Some Dude
IN - 52% Ballard, 46% Donnelly
MA - 56% Warren, 41% Polito
MD - 62% Cardin, 36% Some Dude
ME - 55% King, 26% Poliquin, 14% Some Dude (D)
MN - 68% Klobuchar, 29% Abeler
MO - 50% McCaskill, 48% Wagner
MS - 58% Wicker, 41% Some Dude
MT - 55% Tester, 39% Zinke
ND - 53% Heitkamp, 45% Cramer
NE - 71% Fischer, 26% Some Dude
NJ - 60% Murphy, 36% Lonegan
NM - 66% Heinrich, 28% Some Dude
NV - 48% Masto, 46% Heller
NY - 68% Gillibrand, 26% some Dude
PA - 51% Stack, 49% Dent
RI - 68% Whitehouse, 26% Some Dude
TN - 72% Haslam, 27% Some Dude
TX - 50% Castro, 50% McCaul
UT - 53% Owens, 46% Love
VA - 56% Kaine, 42% Forbes
VT - 100% Sanders   
WA - 64% Cantwell, 32% Some dude
WI - 55% Baldwin, 43% Duffy
WV- 51% Goodwin, 49% Retton
WY - 100% Barasso   

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Another Adams/Jefferson incident, it seems.

[Maxwell]

Another Adams/Jefferson incident, it seems.

Indeed! Thanks for noticing.

Also, if you think the Senate results are brutal, wait for the Governors and Congressional results (rubs hands together).

[Person Man]

Another Adams/Jefferson incident, it seems.

Indeed! Thanks for noticing.

Also, if you think the Senate results are brutal, wait for the Governors and Congressional results (rubs hands together).

So Democrats took the senate?

[Maxwell]

Another Adams/Jefferson incident, it seems.

Indeed! Thanks for noticing.

Also, if you think the Senate results are brutal, wait for the Governors and Congressional results (rubs hands together).

So Democrats took the senate?

It was 51R-49D, and they just picked up three seats, so yes.

[The Other Castro]

Another Adams/Jefferson incident, it seems.

Bush's last words were "Carter lives"

[Maxwell]

2018 - A Shellacking

Competitive Gubernatorial Races

Alabama
Despite heavy opposition in the Republican Primary, Congressman Bradley Byrne, considered a moderate within Alabama Republican circles, edged out his challengers in the primary and looked like a safe bet in the general. Just in case one of his challengers made it out, though, Democrats ran Tuscaloosa Mayor Walter Maddox, considered the lonely hope of the Alabama Dems. Maddox trailed the polls in the teens, but performed very good in the debates, and despite his loss, his performance is impressive.

Congressman Bradley Byrne (R) - 52%
Tuscaloosa Mayor Walter Maddox (D) - 47%

Alaska
With Alaska oil interests deeply invested in Governor Bill Walker's loss, Anchorage Mayor Dan Sullivan ran a strong campaign against Walker's struggles with the Republican legislature and the weakening Alaska economy. Walker ran as a Democrat, narrowly beating an environmental advocate in the primary. The race became nasty and very narrow, but ultimately Sullivan beat Governor Walker.

Anchorage Mayor Dan Sullivan (R) - 49%
Governor Bill Walker (D) - 48%

R Pick Up!

Arizona
Doug Ducey's tax cuts caused a huge budget deficit in Arizona, causing several fiscal conservative organizations to sit out the election. Ducey's primary opponents, however, proved to be weak, and Ducey looked like he would sail to the general election. However, Lydia Hernandez proved to be a far stronger opponent than expected, rallying hispanic voters, riding the coat tails of the very popular marijuana referendum (which won 62-38), and being a general referendum on the Ducey administration. Despite polling behind all cycle, she beat Ducey with room to spare.

State Representative Lydia Hernandez (D) - 50%
Governor Doug Ducey (R) - 46%

D Pick Up!

Arkansas
Governor Asa Hutchinson faced a tough re-election battle against Former North Little Rock Mayor Patrick Hays, who attacked Hutchinson's inability to work with the legislature to get his priorities through. Hutchinson was narrowly saved by his late passage of serious education reforms that he spoke about in his 2014 election.

Governor Asa Hutchinson (R) - 50%
Former North Little Rock Mayor Patrick Hays (D) - 48%

California
Republicans had such a bad cycle that no Republican made the run-off in the California Gubernatorial election. It was a face off between two titans - Lieutnant Governor Gavin Newsom and Attorney General Kamala Harris. Newsom placed himself to the right of Harris - running as the business friendly, tax cutting, fiscal conservative candidate, while Harris ran on broadening education spending and protecting the enviorment. Harris won a narrow victory on the backs of minority.

Attorney General Kamala Harris (D) - 52%
Lt. Governor Gavin Newsom (D) - 48%

Colorado
Former State Senator Mike Kopp narrowly won the Republican primary, ended up facing Former Governor Bill Ritter. Ritter, a moderate Democrat, was cautious about supporting the already existing pot legalization law. Kopp, however, flip flopped, and supported the law, including giving plans for proper regulation for safety and lowering of pot taxation. Kopp managed to narrowly edge out the bad year Republicans were having and defeated Ritter as a referendum to Governor Hickenlooper.

Former State Senator Mike Kopp (R) - 49%
Former Governor Bill Ritter (D) - 46%

R Pick Up!

Connecticut
Getting a last laugh at Tom Foley, Minority Leader John McKinney ran a round the world campaign against Lt. Governor Nancy Wyman and managed to pull fellow down ballot statewide Republicans (Tim Herbst for Treasurer in particular, who won by 55-45).

Minority Leader John McKinney (R) - 52%
Lt. Governor Nancy Wyman - 43%

R Pick Up!

Florida
Congressman Patrick Murphy ran against the Rick Scott administration, and Republicans made a mistake by nominating Lieutenant Governor Carlos Lopez-Cantera, the embodiment of the failures of the second Scott administration. Murphy led by high single digits throughout the campaign, and managed to grow his lead thanks to the Senate race, becoming one of Florida's youngest Governors.

Congressman Patrick Murphy (D) - 55%
Lt. Governor Carlos Lopez-Cantera (R) - 42%

D Pick Up!

Georgia
State Representative Scott Holcomb started the campaign as a virtual unknown, but surprised observers when he not only matched gaffe heavy Congressman Jody Hice (who edged Public Superintendent Richard Woods 51-49 in the run-off), he surpassed him by a healthy margin in the primary election. However, in the run-off, things got closer, with Hice coming within striking distance of becoming Georgia’s next Governor. Holcomb, nevertheless, overcame the odds to become Georgia’s first Democratic Governor in 16 years.

State Representative Scott Holcomb (D) - 52%
Congressman Jody Hice (R) - 48%

D Pick Up!

Idaho
In terms of demographics, Idaho looks impossible to recover. But combine top notch recruiting with the pot loving Mayor of Boise David H. Bieter, who faced off against Attorney General Lawrence Wasden who, while a strong debater, couldn't escape the shadow of the unpopular Governor Butch Otter. Bieter rode the wave to a narrow victory, which also involved the Democratic Parties funding of perennial candidate Pro-Life whose votes almost certainly would've fled to Wasden.

Boise Mayor David H. Bieter (D) - 47%
Attorney General Lawrence Wasden (R) - 45%
Perennial Candidate Pro-Life (I) - 5%

D Pick Up!

Illinois
Bruce Rauner took a strongly conservative, reformist route, and despite many controversies and protests, he remained surprisingly popular, with approvals in the mid-50s. However, Democrats landed a top recruit when State Treasurer Michael Frerichs announced his campaign to succeed the Governor. Frerichs' goal was to lower Rauner's margins downstate, while Rauner, presuming downstate to be safe, campaigned heavily in Chicago, in attempts to receive endorsements from African American leaders. Rauner led in the polls until he said, literally, "Frerichs isn't black enough to represent this state!" at a fundraiser. The comments, made in late October, sunk him quickly, and Frerichs ended up with a narrow victory over the controversial GOP Governor.

State Treasurer Michael Frerichs (D) - 48%
Governor Bruce Rauner (R) - 47%

D Pick Up!

Iowa
Congressman David Young announced his first statewide campaign at a magic show, almost certain a bad sign of things to come. State Treasurer Michael Fitzgerald, heading up there in the years, won a contested Democratic primary, and it seemed like Iowa was getting bad and worse choices for Governor. Young initially held a lead, but his ads poisoned his name amongst the electorate, and combined with an unfavorable cycle, Young lost decisively to a man with a one term pledge.

State Treasurer Micahel Fitzgerald (D) - 51%
Congressman David Young (R) - 47%

D Pick Up!

TO BE CONTINUED...

[Maxwell]

2018 Gubernatorial Races

AL - 54% Byrne, 45% Maddox   
AK - 49% Sullivan, 48% Walker   
AZ - 50% Hernandez, 46% Ducey   
AR - 50% Hutchinson, 48% Hays   
CA - 52% Harris, 48% Newsom   
CO - 49% Kopp, 46% Ritter   
CT - 52% McKinney, 43% Wyman   
FL - 55% Murphy, 42% Lopez-Cantera   
GA - 52% Holcomb, 48% Hice   
HI - 72% Ige, 26% Some Dude   
ID - 47% Bieter, 46% Wasden   
IL - 48% Frerichs, 46% Rauner   
IA - 51% Fitzgerald, 47% Young   
KS - 48% Davis, 47% Kobach   
ME - 44% Alfond, 36% Katz, 14% Random Indy
MD - 53% Hogan, 45% Delaney   
MA - 62% Baker, 34% Bump   
MI - 56% Whitmer, 42% Calley   
MN - 46% Kelliher, 44% Emmer   
NE - 51% Ricketts, 47% Lathrop   
NV - 51% Miller, 42% Laxalt   
NH - 70% Hassan, 27% Some Dude   
NM - 61% Sanchez, 39% Weh   
NY - 46% Cuomo, 42% Gibson   
OH - 50% Taylor, 47% Schiavoni   
OK - 45% Dorman, 45% Lamb   
OR - 52% Rosenblum, 44% Thomsen   
PA - 52% Wolf, 47% Castor   
RI - 55% Raimondo, 39% Fung   
SC - 51% Smith, 47% McMaster   
SD - 62% Jackley, 36% Some Dude   
TN - 70% Corker, 24% Some Dude   
TX - 68% Abbott, 29% Some Dude   
VT - 60% Shumlin, 29% Some Dude   
WI - 52% Barca, 47% Kleefisch   
WY - 58% Cheney, 42% Gosar   

Governorships (As of 2018)

29 Democrats
20 Republicans
1 Independent

[Maxwell]

2018 - A Shellacking!

On top of record losses in the Governorships, Democrats pick up several state legislatures and the House (With around 228 members). Here are some notable house results. No doubt, some of them will end up being doomed one termers -

Alaska At-Large (D+1)
50.08% Lt. Governor Byron Mallot (D)
49.92% Congressman Don Young (R)

Arizona's 9th (R+1)
52% Mayor Vernon Parker (R)
48% Party Chairman Andrei Cherny (D)

Florida's 13th (D+1)
55% Attorney Jessica Ehrlich (D)
42% Congressman David Jolly (R)

Kansas' 3rd (D+1)
54% Businessman Greg Orman (D)
45% Wife Heather Kobach (R)

Montana At-Large (D+1)
48% Former State Rep. Amanda Curtis (D)
47% Senate Candidate Susan Cundiff (R)

New Jersey's 2nd (D+1)
66% U.S. Attorney Billy Hughes (D)
30% Some GOP Businessman (R)

North Carolina's 13th (D+1)
54% Former Congressman Brad Miller (D)
46% Congressman George Holding (R)

North Carolina's 7th (D+1)
48.05% State Senator Michael P. Walters (D)
48.03% Congressman David Rouzer (R)

North Dakota At-Large (D+1)
57% Former State Senator George Sinner (D)
38% Agricultural Commissioner Doug Goehring (R)

South Carolina's 7th (D+1)
49.5% Rock Hill Mayor Doug Echols (D)
48.9% Congressman Mick Mulvaney (R)

Wisconsin's th (D+1)
62% State Assemblyman Dan Kondl (D)
36% Congressman Glenn Grothman (R)

West Virginia's 2nd (R+1)
52% State Rep. Steve Harrison (R)
48% Congressman Nick Casey (D)

[Emperor Charles V]

Montana At-Large (D+1)
48% Former State Rep. Amanda Curtis (D)
47% Senate Candidate Susan Cundiff (R)

I highly doubt Montana would elect a revolutionary socialist as their sole congressman. But you know, anything can happen in a wave year.

Great timeline! Hopefully this election is a sign for the GOP to change it's platform, and perhaps move in a more libertarian direction. Kopp winning in Colorado amidst all the other D Pickups for example shows that embracing weed legalization is the way to go.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

This is Romney's 2010.

[tmthforu94]

Kansas' 3rd (D+1)
54% Businessman Greg Orman (D)
45% Wife Heather Kobach (R)

What happened to Yoder? And Heather running seems to be a bit of a stretch.

[Maxwell]

Kansas' 3rd (D+1)
54% Businessman Greg Orman (D)
45% Wife Heather Kobach (R)

What happened to Yoder? And Heather running seems to be a bit of a stretch.

I kind of add jokes in this thing periodically (see: Martha Coakley running against Ayotte), but yes, it is quite a stretch. To answer your question, Yoder retired, probably to run for Pat Roberts seat in 2020.

[tmthforu94]

Kansas' 3rd (D+1)
54% Businessman Greg Orman (D)
45% Wife Heather Kobach (R)

What happened to Yoder? And Heather running seems to be a bit of a stretch.

I kind of add jokes in this thing periodically (see: Martha Coakley running against Ayotte), but yes, it is quite a stretch. To answer your question, Yoder retired, probably to run for Pat Roberts seat in 2020.

Interesting. Well, as you suggested, this is far outside the realm of possibility, but I am really enjoying this timeline! Keep it up!

[Maxwell]

Montana At-Large (D+1)
48% Former State Rep. Amanda Curtis (D)
47% Senate Candidate Susan Cundiff (R)

I highly doubt Montana would elect a revolutionary socialist as their sole congressman. But you know, anything can happen in a wave year.

Great timeline! Hopefully this election is a sign for the GOP to change it's platform, and perhaps move in a more libertarian direction. Kopp winning in Colorado amidst all the other D Pickups for example shows that embracing weed legalization is the way to go.

That is a result that is... questionable. But still, I wanted to keep things interesting, and that includes some of the random GOP wins (Kopp, McKinney, Baker, Hogan) and some far out D wins. I'm not sure what to do next, other than a couple of for sures.