NV Congressional Races 2016

[Maxwell]

Would Hardy run just to avoid another campaign against Horsford?

[Maxwell]

Is the state GOP really THIS incompetent? Christ.

It speaks volumes about the state DEMs in Nevada that this is the case.

[Maxwell]

If Sandoval does run, Reid will lose in a landslide. Most likely 60%-40%.

No. That would not be the case.

Yup. Everyone likes to assume that Sandoval would crush Reid but that's anything but the truth. Reid is ruthless and would tear Sandoval's reputation to shreds and bring down the full force of his machine, so even if Sandoval did win he'd no longer be insanely popular, and it would certainly be very close.

I say it would be like the 1988 race, where popular Governor Richard Bryan defeated incumbent Senator Chic Hecht by a mere 4 points despite Hecht being wildly unpopular.

[Maxwell]

Hutchinson has strong backing and support from state GOP, but he's not the best debater and tends to lean on the angry side. I feel like Reid would know how to push his buttons.

[Maxwell]

LOL Ross Miller at 5%. What a downfall.

[Maxwell]

Tarkanian running in CD3.

He'll lose again.

In the primary or the general? The district is more Republican than the state itself.

Tarkanian will probably lose the primary.

[Maxwell]

To be honest, republicans must carry Nevada at presidential level if they want to pick up this seat. So I m not particularly worried.

Not necessarily if Heck is the nominee.

Look at the 2012 election. Heller got basically the same % than Romney and he was considered as a good recruit, like Heck.

I will say that Heller had to follow-up John Ensign's scandolous career and also had to deal with the general history that appointed incumbents that run for their seats are DOA.

[Maxwell]

Republicans really flopped - Roberson probably would've had this seat sealed if he had won the nomination.