Ayotte is probably toast, move along.
Heh? Unless one of the top Dem candidates run (basically Hassan/Lynch/Kuster), this one starts at Likely R.
So despite the Democratic party actually having a decent foot in the door with a bench, and some decent proven candidates down the ballot, this race is on par with Kentucky or Georgia if Kuster doesn't run.
Of course it isn't. Kentucky and Georgia are Safe R. Neither will be lost short of some unforeseeable Akin-style meltdown.
Well considering Isakson is probably running again (and either way is a huge step above Perdue or Deal) I wouldn't doubt that. If it's an open seat it's Likely R, especially considering the influx of sh*t candidates the GAGOP has.
Lean R is more reasonable, but to put a state as volatile as NH as Likely R is foolish, especially despite weak candidates. Trust me - I thought when Scott Brown declared Shaheen would win by at least 5 points, not 2.
