Era of the New Majority (user search)
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April 30, 2024, 10:55:20 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Era of the New Majority (search mode)
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Author Topic: Era of the New Majority  (Read 223502 times)
badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« on: November 17, 2014, 09:54:14 PM »

Interesting.  Looking forward to more!

Thanks! By the way, how does one post maps?

https://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/evcalc.php

also: Advanced mapmaking for your timeline tutorial
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #1 on: November 25, 2014, 11:44:27 PM »

Keep going!!
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #2 on: December 05, 2014, 12:58:38 AM »

Arizona 2 is one of the closest districts in the country, can we have results for there too?
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #3 on: December 05, 2014, 04:23:36 PM »

Arizona 2 is one of the closest districts in the country, can we have results for there too?

McSally reelected.

:,(
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #4 on: December 07, 2014, 09:59:03 PM »

Great timeline, but I sure hope this doesn't happen Tongue.
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #5 on: December 13, 2014, 04:35:53 PM »

Wasn't Breyer going to resign
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #6 on: January 04, 2015, 08:59:06 PM »

Surprised Julian Castro didn't quit sooner to run in TX in 2018
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #7 on: January 18, 2015, 05:40:16 PM »

That's too bad about NE-2, but to be expected with Ashford. We need Festersen in that seat to hold it.
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #8 on: February 10, 2015, 12:18:54 AM »

NV-1: In a very Democratic district that is only growing more so, 38-year old State Senator Ruben Kihuen is elected as the next Congressman from this district.


Woo!!!!!
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #9 on: April 15, 2015, 05:57:58 PM »

Joe Biden died?! I'm quitting this tl
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #10 on: April 17, 2015, 03:58:24 PM »

Woo! No problem. Smiley I'll try to post a new map for every ten states or so if that's okay.
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #11 on: April 19, 2015, 11:44:48 AM »
« Edited: April 19, 2015, 11:50:29 AM by badgate »

KingSweden, I think the electoral count you've been using for Clinton's total is off by 2. The Map calculator is telling me that she's at 158. Perhaps you weren't counting the two Maine congressional districts' electoral votes?



Presidential


158-75

Senate



By my count Democrats are (+1) with the senate results.

70% shading = Incumbent reelected
50% shading = Result of an open seat (regardless of which party wins or held the seat before)
30% shading = Incumbent defeated
Green = Results pending upon runoff
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #12 on: April 23, 2015, 11:23:48 PM »

Does Clinton get over or under 50% in NE-2?
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #13 on: April 23, 2015, 11:58:59 PM »

Presidential



President Hillary Clinton - 231
Indiana Governor Mike Pence - 105

Senate



Democrats are (+2) in Senate results, with two seats headed to a runoff.
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #14 on: April 24, 2015, 12:51:39 AM »

Inb4 Clinton loses Colorado because we all know Coloradans hate her.

Maybe Pence will win CO by riding Senator Gardner's coattails.
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #15 on: April 25, 2015, 01:25:26 AM »

Presidential



President Hillary Clinton - 231
Indiana Governor Mike Pence - 105

Senate



Democrats are (+2) in Senate results, with two seats headed to a runoff.

Here are the most recent maps, to help us get back on track and because they were buried by the haters.
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #16 on: April 27, 2015, 07:27:28 PM »

Just curious, what Texas state senate seat did you have Republicans gaining in 2016 and losing in 2020?
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #17 on: April 27, 2015, 11:27:25 PM »

Just curious, what Texas state senate seat did you have Republicans gaining in 2016 and losing in 2020?

You know, I really haven't gotten too deep into which leg seats flip. Way too much detail, even for me. I figure maybe one of the long-timers up in '16 retires and Dems have a recruiting flop. SD 21 or 26 seem the most GOP-friendly out of any of the remaining D seats, just at a cursory glance, but I know little about Texas politics.

That's cool, I just wondered if you had gone that deep or not.
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #18 on: April 29, 2015, 08:01:20 PM »

Presidential



280-166

Senate



D+4
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #19 on: May 03, 2015, 11:21:13 AM »

Presidential



358-180

Senate


30% - Incumbent defeated
50% - Result of open election
70% - Incumbent reelected

D+4
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #20 on: July 07, 2015, 11:33:09 PM »

Here are maps I made of the results:


Senate



Governor



For both maps:

30% shading = incumbent defeated
50% shading = result of open seat
70% shading = incumbent reelected
Yellow = advancing to runoff
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #21 on: July 22, 2015, 09:42:48 PM »

Great Ohio update!

Querstion: when you do the Texas map, will you be able to provide close-ups of DFW, Houston, Austin, San Antonio, and El Paso? Basically all the metro areas where you need to zoom in to see the districts.
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #22 on: August 01, 2015, 01:30:48 PM »

Here's the Senate map:



It's looking like quite a Republican night, with the GOP having won four open seats and defeating two incumbent Democrats.
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #23 on: August 01, 2015, 01:39:54 PM »

Governor map:



We have on our hands a medium size Republican wave imo
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #24 on: August 17, 2015, 10:45:48 PM »

Wow! Amazing and very interesting DFW districts. excited for the update
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