Will Shelley Moore-Capito continue to be more moderate than Jay Rockefeller?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 02:37:39 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Will Shelley Moore-Capito continue to be more moderate than Jay Rockefeller?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Will Shelley Moore-Capito be more moderate than Jay Rockefeller as a Senator?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 34

Author Topic: Will Shelley Moore-Capito continue to be more moderate than Jay Rockefeller?  (Read 1131 times)
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: December 06, 2014, 06:41:38 AM »

Of all the 2014 Senate races in which there was a party switch AND in which the newly-elected Senator was previously in the U.S. House (Capito, Cassidy, Cotton, Daines, Gardner), Shelley Moore-Capito is the only one who maintains a "moderate" DWNOMINATE score, and in fact, has a score closer to the center than Rockefeller did on the Liberal-Conservative Axis:

Rockefeller: -0.38
Moore-Capito: 0.26




Article

Now that she is in the U.S. Senate (and with the apparently imminent and irreversible shift of WV away from Democrats), will there be more pressure applied to her to take a shift to the right?
Logged
hopper
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,414
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: December 06, 2014, 03:27:39 PM »

She will be in 0.3 0.4 territory I think. She will still be more moderate than Cassidy. I don't see her making a hard move to the right.

Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: December 06, 2014, 03:30:03 PM »

I don't know, but she will be one of the most moderate Republicans in the Senate, along with Murkowski.
Logged
badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: December 06, 2014, 06:43:18 PM »

I don't have high hopes.
Logged
Boston Bread
New Canadaland
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,636
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: December 06, 2014, 06:48:34 PM »

The house has almost no moderates but the senate still has some. If that was here score in the house I'd be the minority here say it's more likely her next score will continue to be moderate.
Logged
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 54,118
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: December 06, 2014, 10:45:53 PM »

Yes. I don't see what she has to worry about at this point.

Plus WV is hardly a state that is against minimum wage, infrastructure, education, etc etc the things she is likely to be a moderate on. One are where she is not a moderate based on her house record is i... (didn't actually mention it. Tongue)

She should vote her state and remain connected to the voters (ie don't go Pat Roberts). She does that, she will get 65%-70% of the vote in 2020.
Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,817
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: December 06, 2014, 11:01:49 PM »

If she plans on serving more than one term, she won't be.

Moore Capito is alone among this classes GOP Senator-Elects in that she already was a moderate. She got lucky dodging a serious challenge this year, and as West Virginia moves further right, she'll need to as well, especially in regards to immigration and minimum wage, and she can't vote for anything Joe Manchin votes for as well.
Logged
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 54,118
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: December 07, 2014, 12:40:59 AM »

If she plans on serving more than one term, she won't be.

Moore Capito is alone among this classes GOP Senator-Elects in that she already was a moderate. She got lucky dodging a serious challenge this year, and as West Virginia moves further right, she'll need to as well, especially in regards to immigration and minimum wage, and she can't vote for anything Joe Manchin votes for as well.

I have a hard time seeing her losing a primary for voting for a minimum wage increase. Several PA Republicans in similar terrain have survived, even with a long standing Party apparatus attracting opposition from the base (Specter!!!). Many of the Reps have been quite fine indeed (Dent for instance who now has a gerrymandered seat by the way).

Remember also that any registration gains would be amongst Conservative Democrats use to the pro-Labor approach of Byrd and the boys.
Logged
Boston Bread
New Canadaland
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,636
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: December 07, 2014, 05:56:55 AM »

WV is not a place where the GOP tries to be pure. She was unscathed in the primary.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: December 07, 2014, 06:01:17 AM »

WV is not a place where the GOP tries to be pure. She was unscathed in the primary.

WV was traditionally Democrat. That's not true any more.
Logged
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,667
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: December 07, 2014, 11:14:31 AM »

She' moderate across the board and there is a reason why West Virginia is now almost as Republican as the Big Oil states out west despite being so moderate on the minimum wage and unions (which though have had a success or two now and again, will probably be extinct in one or two more political cycles).
Logged
Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,095
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.29, S: -5.04


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: December 07, 2014, 12:02:01 PM »

She will move to the right, but she won't be too far away from Susan Collins in the end.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.235 seconds with 14 queries.