How many parishes will Landrieu win in the runoff?

[ElectionsGuy]

She won 15 (assuming she loses Assumption). All Obama counties + Assumption + St. Bernard + Pointe Coupee + St. Landry + Bienville

[IceSpear]

I'll go with 14 parishes and Cassidy 56% to 44% for Landrieu in the runoff.

You may now accept your accolades. She actually won 15, but close enough, and it looks like you'll nail the margin as well.

[IceSpear]

She won 15 (assuming she loses Assumption). All Obama counties + Assumption + St. Bernard + Pointe Coupee + St. Landry + Bienville

I was going to say "that's a big Assumption" until you edited this.

[ElectionsGuy]

She won 15 (assuming she loses Assumption). All Obama counties + Assumption + St. Bernard + Pointe Coupee + St. Landry + Bienville

I was going to say "that's a big Assumption" until you edited this.

Cassidy had 51.5-48.5 with one precinct left to report. One minute after I made the post the last precinct came in to put Mary over the top.

[solarstorm]

my prediction: 14 parishes, at 46% or so.  There will be some depressed turnout among Democrats compared to November, but at the same time some those who voted for Maness will not show up for Cassidy.  the map looks like this:

That's actually a good prediction. (minus Morehouse, plus St. Laundry)
Also the margin is not that wrong.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Only Orleans, but she'll win it by much more than she did (# total votes) than in November. Combining this with other parishes across the state, I'm going to predict that Cassidy wins by roughly a 51-49 margin.

On the nose!

[nclib]

How does this compare to the general election results of Landrieu vs. Cassidy + Maness or all Dems vs. all Repubs?