Politico: 10 Maps That Explain the Next Election

[retromike22]

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/11/10-maps-that-explain-the-next-election-113002.html

Interesting stuff.

[Miles]

Mississippi, of all places, stood out to me. The 2013 census estimates already have it falling to just under 60% white. Looks like it genuinely could become a majority-black (or at least majority-coalition) state within the nest few decades.

[Adam Griffin]

Mississippi, of all places, stood out to me. The 2013 census estimates already have it falling to just under 60% white. Looks like it genuinely could become a majority-black (or at least majority-coalition) state within the nest few decades.

I had no idea Mississippi was "changing" that rapidly (I mean in terms of having a majority-minority child population). I thought that the racial makeup by age group was relatively even. Depending on the exact number, majority-minority status might be bestowed on MS in the next 10-20 years.

[eric82oslo]

Thanks for sharing a great article.

Four Republican states already stand out; Georgia, Arizona, Mississippi and Texas.

[Rockefeller GOP]

While this looks "bad" for Republicans, the party will adapt.  We've just seen this song and dance too many times over the last 100 years, yet some on this forum have this idea that ANY state - if it is becoming metropolitan and educated and diverse and whatever other adjectives liberals like to describe themselves as - will eventually become unwinnable for Republicans.  The GOP will find new voters, whether that's through successful minority outreach (keeping these states in play) or moderating on social issues and reasserting dominance in suburban areas (putting states like PA, CT or even IL someday back in play).

[politicus]

While this looks "bad" for Republicans, the party will adapt.  We've just seen this song and dance too many times over the last 100 years, yet some on this forum have this idea that ANY state - if it is becoming metropolitan and educated and diverse and whatever other adjectives liberals like to describe themselves as - will eventually become unwinnable for Republicans.  The GOP will find new voters, whether that's through successful minority outreach (keeping these states in play) or moderating on social issues and reasserting dominance in suburban areas (putting states like PA, CT or even IL someday back in play).

At least some moderation on economic issues would be needed as well, and since GOP donors are as right wing as they are this will be difficult.

[Brittain33]

Mississippi was majority African American until the 1930s.

[Simfan34]

Disturbing.

[Person Man]

While this looks "bad" for Republicans, the party will adapt.  We've just seen this song and dance too many times over the last 100 years, yet some on this forum have this idea that ANY state - if it is becoming metropolitan and educated and diverse and whatever other adjectives liberals like to describe themselves as - will eventually become unwinnable for Republicans.  The GOP will find new voters, whether that's through successful minority outreach (keeping these states in play) or moderating on social issues and reasserting dominance in suburban areas (putting states like PA, CT or even IL someday back in play).

And likewise, Democrats will do the same. As certain states become older, "harder to organize" for democrats and more dependent on what Mitt Romney calls "lavish gifts" from Republicans, they will push to the center on things such as fracking and become more libertarian-leaning to reach out to white voter.