Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2017, 06:31:18 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
| | |-+  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
| | | |-+  LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: LA-Sen: Vox Populi: Cassidy Romping  (Read 6562 times)
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1933


View Profile
« on: November 19, 2014, 09:43:06 pm »
Ignore

Cassidy: 53
Landrieu: 42

http://www.poppolling.com/index.php?polls-news&a=view&article_id=45#.VG0XplfF_9s

The bottom is about to fall out...
Logged
Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13243
United States


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: November 19, 2014, 09:45:51 pm »
Ignore

This is closer than Gravis and Magellan. Interesting....

If only we could get a real pollster here....
Logged

ALL GA-6 RESIDENTS ARE DUTY AND HONOR BOUND TO VOTE FOR JON OSSOFF IN THE JUNE 20 RUNOFF!

---

There's no reason to be scared about the imminent defunding of Planned Parenthood. Many other options exist, and they are more ethical and more useful: http://tinyurl.com/lh9xlnk

---
'17 Gov. Ratings: https://tinyurl.com/h35xfkr (4/12: VA - Toss-Up to Lean D)
'18 House Rating: Lean R
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40704
Dominica


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: November 19, 2014, 09:48:35 pm »
Ignore

Vox Populi is the gold standard now. This looks about right.
Logged

fuck nazis
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20258
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #3 on: November 19, 2014, 10:08:52 pm »
Ignore

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?
Logged

Joshua
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1331
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

View Profile
« Reply #4 on: November 20, 2014, 12:49:46 am »
Ignore

I think it will either be:

Cassidy between 55 and 60
Landrieu between 40 and 45

OR

An exact tie where no one gets 50%+1, triggering another runoff.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42431
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

View Profile
« Reply #5 on: November 20, 2014, 02:17:24 am »
Ignore

New Poll: Louisiana Senator by Vox Populi Polling on 2014-11-17

Summary: D: 42%, R: 53%, I: 0%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15296
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: -7.30

View Profile
« Reply #6 on: November 20, 2014, 04:15:46 pm »
Ignore

I think it will either be:

Cassidy between 55 and 60
Landrieu between 40 and 45

OR

An exact tie where no one gets 50%+1, triggering another runoff.


Logged
krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6467


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: November 24, 2014, 09:48:54 pm »
Ignore

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20258
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #8 on: November 25, 2014, 01:29:12 am »
Ignore

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.
Logged

Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13243
United States


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: November 25, 2014, 02:59:00 am »
Ignore

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.
It didn't  say Allen weh would win, just said he would make it a 6 point race.
Logged

ALL GA-6 RESIDENTS ARE DUTY AND HONOR BOUND TO VOTE FOR JON OSSOFF IN THE JUNE 20 RUNOFF!

---

There's no reason to be scared about the imminent defunding of Planned Parenthood. Many other options exist, and they are more ethical and more useful: http://tinyurl.com/lh9xlnk

---
'17 Gov. Ratings: https://tinyurl.com/h35xfkr (4/12: VA - Toss-Up to Lean D)
'18 House Rating: Lean R
Sawx, King in the North
SawxDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7657
Zimbabwe


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: November 25, 2014, 03:01:20 am »
Ignore

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.
It didn't  say Allen weh would win, just said he would make it a 6 point race.
Yeah, IceSpear is thinking of Wehby.
Logged



#FREELEBRON

Quote from: Snowguy716
Sawx, pop a molly and you will fit in anywhere.  You are supergeil.

Sawx the womanizer :p.
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20258
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #11 on: November 25, 2014, 03:05:04 am »
Ignore

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.
It didn't  say Allen weh would win, just said he would make it a 6 point race.
Yeah, IceSpear is thinking of Wehby.

Oh yeah, you're right.

Well that just makes them look even worse. Wink
Logged

krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6467


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: November 25, 2014, 07:55:39 am »
Ignore

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.

They were about some races at least, where PPP was not. See the Virginia poll that I believe you derided.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42431
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

View Profile
« Reply #13 on: November 25, 2014, 08:13:22 am »
Ignore

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.

They were about some races at least, where PPP was not. See the Virginia poll that I believe you derided.

Folks:

NO multi-state pollster was really good in 2014.

Maybe it was the low turnout of 36-38% or something else, I don't know ...
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20258
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #14 on: November 25, 2014, 05:11:33 pm »
Ignore

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.

They were about some races at least, where PPP was not. See the Virginia poll that I believe you derided.

Their final NH, CO, AK, CT, and MA polls were good.
Logged

IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20258
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #15 on: November 25, 2014, 05:13:29 pm »
Ignore

Why are only right wing pollsters polling here?

Because pollsters like PPP don't want to embarrass themselves like they did in North Carolina where they trotted out about 20 junk polls. So, you're left with the pollsters who were right this cycle.

Vox Populi was right? I must've missed when Allen Weh, Scott Brown, and Walt Havenstein won.

They were about some races at least, where PPP was not. See the Virginia poll that I believe you derided.

Folks:

NO multi-state pollster was really good in 2014.

Maybe it was the low turnout of 36-38% or something else, I don't know ...

This is also true.
Logged

Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40704
Dominica


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: December 06, 2014, 11:36:23 pm »
Ignore

Told you guys Vox Populi was the new gold standard. They absolutely nailed it.
Logged

fuck nazis
Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13243
United States


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: December 06, 2014, 11:42:56 pm »
Ignore

Told you guys Vox Populi was the new gold standard. They absolutely nailed it.

If you assume undecideds broke 80% for Cassidy.....

Vox Populi was good in some races this year, bad in others. I'll stop treating them as complete junk as I did before Nov. 4, but they're no Marquette.
Logged

ALL GA-6 RESIDENTS ARE DUTY AND HONOR BOUND TO VOTE FOR JON OSSOFF IN THE JUNE 20 RUNOFF!

---

There's no reason to be scared about the imminent defunding of Planned Parenthood. Many other options exist, and they are more ethical and more useful: http://tinyurl.com/lh9xlnk

---
'17 Gov. Ratings: https://tinyurl.com/h35xfkr (4/12: VA - Toss-Up to Lean D)
'18 House Rating: Lean R
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40704
Dominica


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: December 07, 2014, 12:11:15 am »
Ignore

The final result was 56-44, or +12. So Vox was only 1% off.
Logged

fuck nazis
Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13243
United States


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: December 07, 2014, 12:13:59 am »
Ignore

The final result was 56-44, or +12. So Vox was only 1% off.
I was speaking in terms of actual percentages in the poll, not the margin.
Logged

ALL GA-6 RESIDENTS ARE DUTY AND HONOR BOUND TO VOTE FOR JON OSSOFF IN THE JUNE 20 RUNOFF!

---

There's no reason to be scared about the imminent defunding of Planned Parenthood. Many other options exist, and they are more ethical and more useful: http://tinyurl.com/lh9xlnk

---
'17 Gov. Ratings: https://tinyurl.com/h35xfkr (4/12: VA - Toss-Up to Lean D)
'18 House Rating: Lean R
krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6467


View Profile
« Reply #20 on: December 30, 2014, 10:50:46 pm »
Ignore

Great poll!
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines