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Author Topic: LA: Rasmussen: Cassidy+15  (Read 10368 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: November 20, 2014, 12:02:19 pm »
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New Poll: Louisiana Senator by Rasmussen on 2014-11-19

Summary: D: 41%, R: 56%, I: 0%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Eighty-seven percent (87%) of the state’s likely voters say they are certain to vote in the runoff, and Cassidy leads 57% to 41% among these voters.

In hopes of swaying voters in her energy-conscious state, Landrieu pushed hard this week for Senate passage of legislation approving the construction of the Keystone XL oil pipeline from Canada to Texas, but liberal senators in her own party defeated her. However, our survey, taken while the Senate was debating this action, doesn’t show that Landrieu was likely to benefit much from passage of the pipeline measure.

Seventy percent (70%) of Louisiana voters favor building the Keystone pipeline, compared to 58% of voters nationwide. In the Pelican State, this includes 52% who Strongly Favor it. Just 15% are somewhat or Strongly Opposed.

Among voters who Strongly Favor the Keystone pipeline, Cassidy leads Landrieu 78% to 20%. Landrieu leads 54% to 40% among those who somewhat favor it and is far ahead among the small group of voters opposed to the project.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters in Louisiana was conducted on November 16-19, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Not counting the race in Louisiana, Republicans now hold a 53 to 46 majority in the new Senate that will be seated in January. Half of voters nationally say the Republican takeover of Congress was a repudiation of President Obama’s party rather than an endorsement of the GOP. Democrats don’t disagree.

Landrieu, a member of the U.S. Senate since 1997, has the support of only 76% of Louisiana Democrats. Twenty-one percent (21%) of the state’s Democrats and 92% of Louisiana Republicans favor Cassidy. He also has a seven-point advantage among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties.

Cassidy leads nearly two-to-one among men, while the candidates run almost even among women voters. Landrieu is the choice of voters under 40, while the Republican is well ahead among those who are older.

When voters are asked which candidate they trust more in four major policy areas, Cassidy has double-digit leads in three of them – taxes (52% to 39%), government spending (52% to 38%) and government ethics and corruption (52% to 37%). He leads by nine points in voter trust in the area of social issues (50% to 41%).

Louisiana voters also remain more critical of Obamacare than voters are nationwide. Just 35% of voters in the state view the health care law favorably, while 60% have an unfavorable opinion of it. This includes 18% with a Very Favorable view and 50% with a Very Unfavorable one.

Landrieu earns 90% support among voters with a Very Favorable opinion of the law. Cassidy gets 90% of the vote from the much larger group with a Very Unfavorable view.

Cassidy is viewed favorably by 55% of all voters in the state and unfavorably by 43%. This includes 27% with a Very Favorable opinion of him and 28% with a Very Unfavorable one. For Landrieu, favorables are 43% and unfavorable 55%, including 29% with a Very Favorable view of the three-term senator and 42% with a Very Unfavorable view.

The state’s other U.S. senator, Republican David Vitter, is viewed favorably by 54% and unfavorably by 36%.

Only 40% of Louisiana voters approve of the job Obama is doing, while 58% disapprove. This includes 27% who Strongly Approve and 52% who Strongly Disapprove, giving the president a worse job approval rating in the state than he earns nationally.

But voters also continue to complain about the performance of GOP Governor Bobby Jindal. Forty-three percent (43%) approve of his job performance, but 54% do not. This includes 15% who Strongly Approve and 35% who Strongly Disapprove.
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marty
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« Reply #1 on: November 20, 2014, 12:52:40 pm »
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junk poll!
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Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: November 20, 2014, 01:01:36 pm »
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Finally, something halfway decent. Rasmussen isn't great, but they don't overestimate republicans by 15 points or anything close to that. I would still like to see legitimate polling though.

Landrieu had better have a major, major trap planned for Cassidy at the debate on December 1st if she wants a real shot at winning this.
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« Reply #3 on: November 20, 2014, 05:32:19 pm »
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Too close for comfort. This one might not be called until 8:02 on election night. Not good.
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« Reply #4 on: November 20, 2014, 05:34:19 pm »
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nah senator landru still haz a shot. winning ARK., texas, and massachussets is proof enf. 4 me.
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« Reply #5 on: November 20, 2014, 06:14:14 pm »
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Too close for comfort. This one might not be called until 8:02 on election night. Not good.
If the past is any indication, should this be close enough to not be called right at the closing of polls, it will take a lot longer than 2 minutes to call. The first precinct comes in quickly, but tends to be a really democratic one. The next precinct takes a good 30 minutes to come in, and tends to be much more republican than LA as a whole. Then it evens out over the rest of the night.
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« Reply #6 on: November 20, 2014, 06:23:47 pm »
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Too close for comfort. This one might not be called until 8:02 on election night. Not good.
If the past is any indication, should this be close enough to not be called right at the closing of polls, it will take a lot longer than 2 minutes to call. The first precinct comes in quickly, but tends to be a really democratic one. The next precinct takes a good 30 minutes to come in, and tends to be much more republican than LA as a whole. Then it evens out over the rest of the night.

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« Reply #7 on: November 20, 2014, 06:24:14 pm »
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Whats weird is Cassidy is not a good politician, he's pretty awkward. Yet they're going to dump their very skilled politician by double digits. I think if Jesus Christ had a D by his name, he wouldn't win in Louisiana this year.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: November 20, 2014, 06:26:31 pm »
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Bill Cassidy would have to scat sing every answer in the debate in order for Landrieu to win, and hell, she may even lose after that!
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« Reply #9 on: November 20, 2014, 06:40:53 pm »
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Landrieu is fairly terrible, but Cassidy looks like a child molester. It's disastrous that the people of Louisiana will send such a creep to the U.S. Senate.
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« Reply #10 on: November 20, 2014, 06:42:51 pm »
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Whats weird is Cassidy is not a good politician, he's pretty awkward.

He's a weird dude. Landrieu's ad "Whoa" was the funniest thing I'e seen all cycle.

But, of course, she's finished. A 2008-2014 swing map would show some brutal swings in Cajun country.

I think if Jesus Christ had a D by his name, he wouldn't win in Louisiana this year.

There's still Edwin Edwards, amirite!? (seriously though, as unlikely as it is, I really want him to win)
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« Reply #11 on: November 20, 2014, 06:59:23 pm »
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Whats weird is Cassidy is not a good politician, he's pretty awkward. Yet they're going to dump their very skilled politician by double digits. I think if Jesus Christ had a D by his name, he wouldn't win in Louisiana this year.

Hypothetical matchup for the 2014 Louisiana Senate race runoff: Jesus Christ (D) vs. Satan (R). Predict Satan's victory margin.
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« Reply #12 on: November 20, 2014, 09:26:01 pm »
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Whats weird is Cassidy is not a good politician, he's pretty awkward. Yet they're going to dump their very skilled politician by double digits. I think if Jesus Christ had a D by his name, he wouldn't win in Louisiana this year.

The same would be/was true in every Deep South/Appalachian state this cycle.
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« Reply #13 on: November 20, 2014, 09:30:38 pm »
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Whats weird is Cassidy is not a good politician, he's pretty awkward. Yet they're going to dump their very skilled politician by double digits. I think if Jesus Christ had a D by his name, he wouldn't win in Louisiana this year.

Hypothetical matchup for the 2014 Louisiana Senate race runoff: Jesus Christ (D) vs. Satan (R). Predict Satan's victory margin.

I really think Jesus Christ would win in that match-up.
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Ljube
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« Reply #14 on: November 20, 2014, 09:34:27 pm »
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But imagine Satan's ad: Jesus Christ, just another vote for Obama.

Jesus Christ supported handouts for moochers.
Jesus Christ is against the national security and for turning the other cheek to the enemy.
« Last Edit: November 20, 2014, 09:41:43 pm by Ljube »Logged
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« Reply #15 on: November 20, 2014, 10:21:13 pm »
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But imagine Satan's ad: Jesus Christ, just another vote for Obama.

Jesus Christ supported handouts for moochers.
Jesus Christ is against the national security and for turning the other cheek to the enemy.


It's not news that if Jesus were alive today, he would be a socialist.
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« Reply #16 on: November 21, 2014, 03:17:10 pm »
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It's just sad that the South's visceral hatred (and I mean that literally) for Barack Obama and everything they believe he represents is causing voters here to turn against smart, experienced and thoughtful public servants just because of the D next to their name.

Say what you want about Landrieu but I've always gotten the sense that she really cares about Louisiana and the people she represents. Her long career of service to the state should count for something but it seems that the voters' anger has blinded them to the things that really matter in politics. Oh well...
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Can't we all just get along?
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« Reply #17 on: November 22, 2014, 06:55:08 pm »
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Too close for comfort. This one might not be called until 8:02 on election night. Not good.
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Governor Misses: CO, KS, IL, FL, MD
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« Reply #18 on: November 22, 2014, 06:57:37 pm »
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Too close for comfort. This one might not be called until 8:02 on election night. Not good.
If the past is any indication, should this be close enough to not be called right at the closing of polls, it will take a lot longer than 2 minutes to call. The first precinct comes in quickly, but tends to be a really democratic one. The next precinct takes a good 30 minutes to come in, and tends to be much more republican than LA as a whole. Then it evens out over the rest of the night.

Me thinks the gentleman from Pennsylvania was making an attempt at humor. 8:02, 8:30 or 9:15, it shouldn't matter. This one seems like it is Likely R at this point.
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Governor Misses: CO, KS, IL, FL, MD
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« Reply #19 on: November 23, 2014, 10:28:42 am »
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Katrina protected her against the G O P, but since that is over, Keystone, her opponents bill have overshadowed what goodwill her or Mitch coming out Orleans have left.
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Rep. Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #20 on: November 23, 2014, 07:25:32 pm »
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Just as a note: RCP has moved this race to Likely R.
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« Reply #21 on: November 24, 2014, 11:47:24 am »
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Landrieu is fairly terrible, but Cassidy looks like a child molester. It's disastrous that the people of Louisiana will send such a creep to the U.S. Senate.

I really don't care for Cassidy or any of the politics he would bring including hypocrisy in his family values stances against what has occurred in his own family. However with all that said this characterization of his appearance is pretty low in nature and has no business in debate. We should all be better then this line of attack.
« Last Edit: November 24, 2014, 11:49:20 am by Liberalrocks »Logged

dmmidmi
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« Reply #22 on: November 24, 2014, 01:17:21 pm »
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LSU doesn't have any more home games left, so no kegstand opportunities there. However, the Saints have one more home game before the runoff election--tonight, against the Baltimore Ravens.

If Mary knew what was good for her, she'd get her ass down to Pat O'Brien's and start pounding Hurricanes with the commonfolk before the game.
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« Reply #23 on: November 24, 2014, 01:19:44 pm »
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Landrieu is fairly terrible, but Cassidy looks like a child molester. It's disastrous that the people of Louisiana will send such a creep to the U.S. Senate.

I really don't care for Cassidy or any of the politics he would bring including hypocrisy in his family values stances against what has occurred in his own family. However with all that said this characterization of his appearance is pretty low in nature and has no business in debate. We should all be better then this line of attack.

do you expect better from KCDem?
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« Reply #24 on: November 24, 2014, 01:28:05 pm »
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Mitch isn't going to win the 2015 Governor's election either...

Congratulations Senator/Governor Vitter... Too soon?
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