Could [STATE] go [PARTY] in 2016?

[WyomingCowboy]

There has been talk of my home state going blue, which Ive been wanting to see happen since, forever. The only problem with this, is that I think it's highly unlikely. It' mostly really rural, with a total population of about 500,000. Cheyenne, my current residence, has only about 50,000 residents, which is small for a "big city". But people are saying that if Hillary ran, she could possibly sweep the state by a small margin?

Discuss

[IceSpear]

No.

And where is this "talk" coming from?

[H. Ross Peron]

[NewYorkExpress]

Sure, and the Chicago Cubs will win the World Series.

[WyomingCowboy]

@IceSpear

Polls in the newspaper Wyoming Tribune Eagle, which is a local newspaper for Cheyenne, found that 53% of Wyomingite's would vote for Hillary.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

It happens if DC goes Republican.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

@IceSpear

Polls in the newspaper Wyoming Tribune Eagle, which is a local newspaper for Cheyenne, found that 53% of Wyomingite's would vote for Hillary.

Please post a direct link.

[WyomingCowboy]

Funny enough, I don't think it has a website. I just get it every morning. Wyoming isn't really techy, and our internet is slow

[justfollowingtheelections]

I think it is possible with the right candidate, simply because Wyoming is so small.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I think it is possible with the right candidate, simply because Wyoming is so small.

I don't know about that. Even if the Democratic Presidential nominee was from King County TX, they'd almost certainly lose their home county.

[justfollowingtheelections]

I think it is possible with the right candidate, simply because Wyoming is so small.

I don't know about that. Even if the Democratic Presidential nominee was from King County TX, they'd almost certainly lose their home county.

Wyoming and other states in the area like the Dakotas or Montana are different than Texas or the South.  Democratic candidates have to deal with a lot of baggage there that they probably don't have to deal with in Wyoming.  I would say that while Wyoming is probably the most republican state, it's also a lot more elastic than Alabama or even Mississippi.

[ElectionsGuy]

Nope

[KCDem]

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[IceSpear]

@IceSpear

Polls in the newspaper Wyoming Tribune Eagle, which is a local newspaper for Cheyenne, found that 53% of Wyomingite's would vote for Hillary.

Take a picture and upload it for us. I want to see this.

[New_Conservative]

I have thought I've seen it all.

[Bojack Horseman]

I have thought I've seen it all.

The pigs still aren't flying and Rosie O'Donnell isn't a size zero.

[justfollowingtheelections]

I checked the newspaper website but I couldn't find anything.
http://www.wyomingnews.com/

[WyomingCowboy]

@IceSpear

I recycled it..

Who keeps newspapers once they have already read them.

[Anonymouse]

There has been talk of my home state going blue, which Ive been wanting to see happen since, forever. The only problem with this, is that I think it's highly unlikely. It' mostly really rural, with a total population of about 500,000. Cheyenne, my current residence, has only about 50,000 residents, which is small for a "big city". But people are saying that if Hillary ran, she could possibly sweep the state by a small margin?

Discuss

Take a trip up to Gillette and spend a day or two asking people if they (or anyone they know) would vote for Hillary Clinton.

[WyomingCowboy]

Guys, just for the record, this happened a few months ago. I only found this site today, so the newspaper article is long gone, probably recycled into a pencil or whatever they are reused for. And the polls might have changed, I really don't get a lot of election polls around here, usually just the final result of the real thing.

@blagohair.com

Wow! I never knew they even had a website. I'm gonna bookmark that.

[Mehmentum]

No Wyoming polls that I know of, but PPP did do an Idaho poll.  She was down anywhere between 11 and 19 points to various challengers.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/10/idaho-governors-race-close-but-otter-has-room-to-grow.html

[Ljube]

No Wyoming polls that I know of, but PPP did do an Idaho poll.  She was down anywhere between 11 and 19 points to various challengers.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/10/idaho-governors-race-close-but-otter-has-room-to-grow.html

Wyoming polls are never done because of this:

United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2012

John Barrasso  75.90%    +2.55%
Tim Chesnut    21.60%    -4.93%

[DS0816]

Re: Could Wyoming go Democrat in 2016?

Not in 2016.

But...


Imagine a Democratic presidential winner re-elected with carriage of 49 states.

The holdout would be Utah.

So it is…possible.

Long as that re-elected Democratic president wins about a 25-point margin in the U.S. Popular Vote (which, with 130 million votes cast, would be winning the U.S. Popular Vote by about 32.5 million raw votes).

By the way: Which Republican would help make this "possible"?

[New_Conservative]

Re: Could Wyoming go Democrat in 2016?

Imagine a Democratic presidential winner re-elected with carriage of 49 states.

The holdout would be Utah.

So it is…possible.

Long as that re-elected Democratic president wins about a 25-point margin in the U.S. Popular Vote (which, with 130 million votes cast, would be winning the U.S. Popular Vote by about 32.5 million raw votes.

By the way: Which Republican would help make this "possible"?

I think a northeastern Republican like Charlie Baker would draw disastrously in those interior western states.

[Mehmentum]

Re: Could Wyoming go Democrat in 2016?

By the way: Which Republican would help make this "possible"?

Imagine a scenario in which two Republicans, say Ted Cruz and Chris Christie, fight in a long drawn out primary battle.  Ted Cruz is in the lead, but then Christie pulls through with a deal with a dropped out candidate who had a handful of delegates.  That candidate becomes the vice president and Cruz is out for blood, vowing to take the fight to the general election.

Hillary easily dispatches challenges from Webb and Sanders, who each get roughly 15% of the vote in Iowa and New Hampshire before dropping out. 

Cruz v. Chistie v. Clinton is a blowout.  Cruz and Christie spend the debates ripping each other apart out of spite, while Clinton is free to espouse a populist message unhindered.

Nationwide Result:
Clinton: 56% (531 EVs)
Christie: 24% (0 EVs)
Cruz: 20% (6 EVs)

Wyoming:
Clinton: 35%
Cruz: 34%
Christie: 31%