Could [STATE] go [PARTY] in 2016?

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

No Wyoming polls that I know of, but PPP did do an Idaho poll.  She was down anywhere between 11 and 19 points to various challengers.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/10/idaho-governors-race-close-but-otter-has-room-to-grow.html

Wyoming polls are never done because of this:

United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2012

John Barrasso  75.90%    +2.55%
Tim Chesnut    21.60%    -4.93%

And more so this:

United States Special Senate Election in Wyoming, 2008:

John Barasso 73.4% +3.37
Nick Carter 26.5% -3.33

[Mehmentum]

By the way: Which Republican would help make this "possible"?

Imagine a scenario in which two Republicans, say Ted Cruz and Chris Christie, fight in a long drawn out primary battle.  Ted Cruz is in the lead, but then Christie pulls through with a deal with a dropped out candidate who had a handful of delegates (the establishment, frightened to death of a Cruz candidacy, expedites this behind the scenes).  That candidate becomes the vice president and Cruz is out for blood, vowing to take the fight to the general election.

Hillary easily dispatches challenges from Webb and Sanders, who each get roughly 15% of the vote in Iowa and New Hampshire before dropping out.  

Cruz v. Chistie v. Clinton is a blowout.  Cruz and Christie spend the debates ripping each other apart out of spite, while Clinton is free to espouse a populist message unhindered.

Nationwide Result:
Clinton: 56% (531 EVs)
Christie: 24% (0 EVs)
Cruz: 20% (6 EVs)

Wyoming:
Clinton: 35%
Cruz: 34%
Christie: 31%

[KCDem]

Nope:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=176770.0

[5280]

Wyoming voting Democrat is like Vermont voting Republican.  Maybe in an alternative universe.

[Vega]

Wyoming voting Democrat is like Vermont voting Republican.  Maybe in an alternative universe.

Not the best comparison.

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

Obviously not, but I would like to remind ourselves how "well" Clinton did in '92.

[Mr. Smith]

Nebraska, Oklahoma, and the Dakotas are far more likely to be the hold out than Utah.

And Minnesota is a more apt comparison since it's the lone non-Reagan state, that or Hawaii or DC.

[Free Bird]

I think we have been trolled

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Obviously not, but I would like to remind ourselves how "well" Clinton did in '92.

Which only happened because Ross Perot was on the ballot.

[IceSpear]

I think we have been trolled

Fake poll!

[Chunk Yogurt for President!]

But Hillary is going to win every state except Colorado!

[All Along The Watchtower]

lolno

[pbrower2a]

Re: Could Wyoming go Democrat in 2016?

Not in 2016.

But...


Imagine a Democratic presidential winner re-elected with carriage of 49 states.

The holdout would be Utah.

So it is…possible.

Long as that re-elected Democratic president wins about a 25-point margin in the U.S. Popular Vote (which, with 130 million votes cast, would be winning the U.S. Popular Vote by about 32.5 million raw votes).

By the way: Which Republican would help make this "possible"?

David DuKKKe.

[Boston Bread]

If democrats spent all their GOTV money on getting democrats to move to Wyoming, maybe. It'd be the free state movement in reverse.

[retromike22]

junk topic!

[BaconBacon96]

TROLL DETECTED

[dmmidmi]

Sure, and the Chicago Cubs will win the World Series.

With Joe Maddon and the possibility of signing Jon Lester, the odds of this happening are astronomically higher than Democrats winning Wyoming.

[Mr. Illini]

Could California go Republican in 2016?

[Mehmentum]

Could California go Republican in 2016?

The sad thing is, this is already a thread.
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=199962.0

[solarstorm]

It happens if DC goes Republican.

Well, Wyoming actually did vote Democrat since 1964, while D.C. never voted Republican.

[solarstorm]

Could California go Republican in 2016?

The sad thing is, this is already a thread.
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=199962.0

I think it would be an interesting scenario if a Democratic Wyoming governor and a Democratic senator from Mississippi ran against a Republican senator from New England and a Republican California governor.

[Mr. Illini]

Could California go Republican in 2016?

The sad thing is, this is already a thread.
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=199962.0

I think it would be an interesting scenario if a Democratic Wyoming governor and a Democratic senator from Mississippi ran against a Republican senator from New England and a Republican California governor.

If the Democrat was to the right of the Republican, those states could flip. If it was a center-left MS Dem against a center-right CA Pubbie, the states would not flip. It may have an impact in more purple-y states, but not in those.

[Maistre]

There has been some talk of the Green Mountain state going red, which I've been waiting to happen forever. I think there is little chance, but I have heard some talk that Vermont could go Republican in 2016 by a small margin if Chris Christie is the nominee? Vermont is overwhelmingly white and rural, both are favorably trending demographics for the Republican Party.

Discuss

[Mr. Illini]

Shush.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Unless the ticket is something bizarre like Christie/Bloomberg vs. Schweitzer/Heitkamp then no. (Try and think of a map for that!)

In fact with the energy boom I think the Mountain West is even further of reach for Democrats than ever.