Uniform swings for 2014 elections
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  Uniform swings for 2014 elections
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Author Topic: Uniform swings for 2014 elections  (Read 2234 times)
Adam Griffin
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E: -7.35, S: -6.26

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« on: November 24, 2014, 03:40:19 AM »
« edited: November 24, 2014, 03:45:39 AM by Lowly Griff »

Since it was brought up in the previous thread about maximizing counties for losing candidates, I figured we could start a thread for making hypothetical maps of losing candidates winning instead (based off of 2014 election results and with uniform swings in each county).

Guidelines: give the losing candidate a 0.01% victory over the real-life winner by applying a uniform swing to each county (in GA/LA, apply a swing to give real-life losing candidate 50.01%). Assume that 100% of the swing comes from actual 2014 voters voting for the opposite candidate (total # of votes stays the same compared to RL election). In contests where there were three fairly competitive candidates, feel free to do so for one or both losing candidates.



Rather "impressed" with how little the overall map changes in terms of counties won. Carter picked up 10 counties with a paltry combined population of 127,732. Carter also wins the state while still losing Gwinnett by 1 point.
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Illuminati Blood Drinker
phwezer
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E: -9.42, S: -7.30

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« Reply #1 on: November 24, 2014, 04:38:32 AM »

What font does Atlas use in the boxes? I'm trying to do something similar to what you did.
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Adam Griffin
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Posts: 20,091
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

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« Reply #2 on: November 24, 2014, 05:24:16 AM »

What font does Atlas use in the boxes? I'm trying to do something similar to what you did.

Times New Roman (12pt)
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Illuminati Blood Drinker
phwezer
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« Reply #3 on: November 24, 2014, 10:47:47 PM »

Right. Well, here's Checkpoint Charlie taking down the criminal. Literally the only county to change on the map is a 70%+ Scott county in the Panhandle that goes down to 60%+ Scott.

The result is slightly less closer than Bush/Gore 2000.



(Sorry about the lower left getting sliced out and the crappy pie chart.)
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #4 on: December 06, 2014, 04:49:49 AM »

If only...



Hagan flips a handful of counties:

- Columbus
- Nash
- New Hanover
- Lenoir
- Caswell
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #5 on: December 06, 2014, 04:07:01 PM »

And in an ideal world, today is just another regular day...




Landrieu would be getting 98% (!) in Olreans Parish and over 60% in EBR/Caddo.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #6 on: December 25, 2014, 08:29:48 PM »

If only...
If only...



Hagan flips a handful of counties:

- Columbus
- Nash
- New Hanover
- Lenoir
- Caswell
That almost certainly would've gone to a recount.

Hagan flips a handful of counties:

- Columbus
- Nash
- New Hanover
- Lenoir
- Caswell
And how do you get these images?
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