Amanda Curtis's future?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 03:12:28 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Amanda Curtis's future?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Amanda Curtis's future?  (Read 1302 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 27, 2014, 03:48:41 PM »

In context of the wave, Curtis did a lot better than expected. She lost 58-40 despite having no outside help, barely any money, running against a popular incumbent statewide officeholder, having to step in three months before the election due to the implosion of the Democratic incumbent, and being way too liberal for the state. Her point spread ended up being identical to Pryor's (lost 57-39), who had tons of money and support, ground game, incumbency, and a famous last name.

Could she be a good candidate for statewide office in the future? Or is the Democratic floor in Montana just unexpectedly high?
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,685
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 27, 2014, 03:51:50 PM »

She has no future, she's just too liberal. The path to 40% in Montana is easy, the path to ~50% requires a moderate democrat like Tester.
Logged
🦀🎂🦀🎂
CrabCake
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,243
Kiribati


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 27, 2014, 03:55:42 PM »

revolutionary leader.

No, but sadly the best candidate of 2014 has no higher elected future - in Montana or otherwise.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 27, 2014, 03:56:13 PM »

She has no future, she's just too liberal. The path to 40% in Montana is easy, the path to ~50% requires a moderate democrat like Tester.

Tell that to Gore and Kerry. Tongue

Interestingly, Tester actually didn't crack 50% in either 2006 or 2012.
Logged
free my dawg
SawxDem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,144
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 27, 2014, 04:07:06 PM »

She has no future, she's just too liberal. The path to 40% in Montana is easy, the path to ~50% requires a moderate democrat like Tester.

Wouldn't say moderate. Populist would be the better word (see: Tester, Schweitzer). Actually, left-libertarian minded Democrats generally do very well in Montana.

Basically, someone like me (left-wing on economics, but has a strong libertarian flavor) would do better than someone like LeBron.
Logged
dmmidmi
dmwestmi
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,095
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 28, 2014, 08:49:59 AM »

Logged
user12345
wifikitten
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,135
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 28, 2014, 08:58:31 AM »

Hypothetically speaking, if she had been chosen to fill the senate seat, would she have been elected by the people?
Logged
Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,096
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.29, S: -5.04


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 28, 2014, 11:49:50 AM »

I was also going to say "MSNBC." In particular, the Melissa Harris Perry Show.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 28, 2014, 05:17:04 PM »

Maybe in a super wave year, she could win the At-Large House seat, and then promptly lose re-election or run for Governor/Senator under pressure.

And I think a large chunk of that 40% was an "anti-Daines" vote.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 28, 2014, 09:01:07 PM »

Continue her job as a State Senator I guess? She doesn't have a shot at anything big like governor or even MT-AL. Any D will get around 40% in Montana, it takes a skilled politician to get close to 45 or 50 (which MT Dems seem to have a lot of)
Logged
International Brotherhood of Bernard
interstate73
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 651


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 28, 2014, 10:50:06 PM »

Continue her job as a State Senator I guess? She doesn't have a shot at anything big like governor or even MT-AL. Any D will get around 40% in Montana, it takes a skilled politician to get close to 45 or 50 (which MT Dems seem to have a lot of)
She was a state rep and one who was already headed out the door after her district was mashed together with another incumbent, so she'll need new employment.
Logged
badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 28, 2014, 11:11:22 PM »

Is Arne Duncan going to quit soon?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.039 seconds with 11 queries.