2016 Republican Nomination Poll - December 2014

[Senator Cris]

Blue = formed an exploratory committee.

I will probably remove the names of who ruled out a presidential bill (Pawlenty, Rice, Thune) in the next polls.

[Senator Cris]

Results of November (Top 9)

Rand Paul   20.6%
Scott Walker 19.6%
Jeb Bush 12.4%
Chris Christie 11.3%
John Kasich 7.2%
Mike Pence 4.1%
Mitt Romney 4.1%
Ted Cruz 3.1%
Brian Sandoval 3.1%

Graphic:

[BlueSwan]

I have switched from Christie to Paul this month. The guy appears to be willing to say whatever needed to get himself elected and he does so with charm and charisma, which could be enough to bypass accusations of flip-flopping. He is a high risk/high reward candidate so he could easily crash and burn, but as of right now, I gotta go with him.

[Likely Voter]

This month I will go with Kasich. Still convinced he and/or Pence will be in the top tier by this time next year

[Oak Hills]

I still say Bush.  Kasich or Pence if he doesn't run.

[IceSpear]

Still Walker

[Abraham Reagan]

I'm still holding out for Romney, but if that's not possible, I'll take Bush.

[Phony Moderate]

Kasich comes down the middle and wins.

[SPC]

Opted for Romney this time, although I think its a legitimate tossup between him, Paul, Bush, Christie, and Perry. I suspect that one or both of Bush or Christie will prove to be a dud, and I am still skeptical of the willingness of the party establishment to idly acquiesce to a Paul nomination.

[Lincoln Republican]

Jeb

[Ljube]

Walker, this time.

[JRP1994]

Leans Bush

[RogueBeaver]

Walker.

[Suburbia]

Pence.  But watch out for Cruz and Jindal.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Kasich - my vote put him ahead of Christie.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

This month I will go with Kasich. Still convinced he and/or Pence will be in the top tier by this time next year

I tend to agree with this.

[LeBron]

Gotta go with Walker. He has a strong machine on his side of donors and has appeals to the establishment and Tea Party base. And of course the impressive resume - elected 3 times as a staunch conservative in an Obama state.

Kasich's just not Presidential material - terrible speaker, very bland, refuses to debate (or even recognize) his opponents, and his Huntsman-style pandering won't work when his legislative agenda in Ohio would say otherwise. Christie may very well end up behind prison bars by primary time and even then if he doesn't Christie's all of a sudden transformation from moderate to conservative isn't fooling anyone. Bush has the problem of his last name and embracing immigration reform. Romney and Ryan won't run. Paul has no choice really except to run for re-election and I have a feeling he'll pass the hat off to Cruz who obviously can't get by the primary. As for the others, they won't run or stand little chance of winning the primary.

[Ljube]

Gotta go with Walker. He has a strong machine on his side of donors and has appeals to the establishment and Tea Party base. And of course the impressive resume - elected 3 times as a staunch conservative in an Obama state.

Kasich's just not Presidential material - terrible speaker, very bland, refuses to debate (or even recognize) his opponents, and his Huntsman-style pandering won't work when his legislative agenda in Ohio would say otherwise. Christie may very well end up behind prison bars by primary time and even then if he doesn't Christie's all of a sudden transformation from moderate to conservative isn't fooling anyone. Bush has the problem of his last name and embracing immigration reform. Romney and Ryan won't run. Paul has no choice really except to run for re-election and I have a feeling he'll pass the hat off to Cruz who obviously can't get by the primary. As for the others, they won't run or stand little chance of winning the primary.

Nothing to add here. A very concise and substantive analysis.

[morgieb]

Went with Rand, think the holes he needs to jump over are less than most in the party.

But I don't see anyone having more than say a 25% chance at this stage.

[MATTROSE94]

Scott Walker or Ted Cruz at this point.

[Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends]

Walker this time.

[ShadowRocket]

Voted Christie again. Unless he implodes due to either scandal or temperment, I think he'll wind up being the establishment's candidate. I don't think Jeb will ultimately run and I have a hard time seeing Walker or Rubio standing out.

[CountryClassSF]

Blue = formed an exploratory committee.

I will probably remove the names of who ruled out a presidential bill (Pawlenty, Rice, Thune) in the next polls.

Cris, the wording of this -- do you want us to vote for who we would vote for as of today in the list, or who we think will win?

[Senator Cris]

Blue = formed an exploratory committee.

I will probably remove the names of who ruled out a presidential bill (Pawlenty, Rice, Thune) in the next polls.

Cris, the wording of this -- do you want us to vote for who we would vote for as of today in the list, or who we think will win?

For who you think will win

[Mr. Illini]

Went with Jeb Bush