Israel General Election Thread: March 17 2015

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I don't know if this has been posted already but, has Yesh Atid and Lapid say who they would form a coalition with? And with regards to the increase in Arab voters participating in the election, my cousin (who is Israeli Arab) said that many Arabs who didn't vote last election planned to do so this time around, may not be that many extra, but it seems it would have a big impact on who gets what.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Polling by Arutz Sheva from the 8th of March has:

Likud (Netanyahu) at 26 seats
Zionist Union (Herzog) at 21 seats
Jewish Home (Bennet) at 13 seats
Yesh Atid (Lapid) at 12 seats
Joint List (Odeh) at 12 seats
Kulanu (Kachlon) at 8 seats
Shas (Deri) at 8 seats
UTJ (Litzman) at 8 seats
Yisrael Beiteinu (Liberman) at 7 seats
Meretz (Gal-On) at 5 seats
Yachad (Yishai) at 0 seats


I'd obviously take this with a grain of salt as Arutz Sheva is a right-leaning media source.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Polling by Arutz Sheva from the 8th of March has:

Likud (Netanyahu) at 26 seats
Zionist Union (Herzog) at 21 seats
Jewish Home (Bennet) at 13 seats
Yesh Atid (Lapid) at 12 seats
Joint List (Odeh) at 12 seats
Kulanu (Kachlon) at 8 seats
Shas (Deri) at 8 seats
UTJ (Litzman) at 8 seats
Yisrael Beiteinu (Liberman) at 7 seats
Meretz (Gal-On) at 5 seats
Yachad (Yishai) at 0 seats


I'd obviously take this with a grain of salt as Arutz Sheva is a right-leaning media source.

This poll wasn't done by Arutz Sheva, it was published by i24news, which is not a right wing source. The problem though, is the company actually doing the poll, Geocartograhy, which is trash and regularly gets ridiculous results. you should always ignore Geocartography polls.

Thank you for letting me know, I apologize as I am not as familiar with polling agencies in Israel, thank you for informing me about it.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

IMO, if the right wants to win, they should consolidate their vote around Likud/YB and JH, and avoid some of the smaller parties like Yachad (who may not even pass the threshold) and Kulanu (as it is still up in the air who Kahlon may recommend for PM).

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Is it more likely that Kahlon will recommend Netanyahu or Herzog, because at this point it looks like he will be the Kingmaker

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Map of the results:

http://z.ynet.co.il/short/content/2015/elections_map2015/

My Hebrew isn't perfect, what colors represent which party?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I have a cousin in Nir Oz who was probably one of the only people to vote for the Arab list lol

ZU got 45.5%
Meretz 35.4%
YA 9.1%
Likud 3%
JH 2%
Kulanu 2%
JL 1%
Other 2%

Surprised to see places where Meretz came in 1st or 2nd place or even above 25%, I'm even more surprised to see areas around Gaza not vote for Likud or a right-wing party, given the rockets and all, I would have expected them to support Netanyahu or Bennett, but I guess assumptions are never facts lol.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Again, what gets to me isn't so much Netanyahu's hawkishness in general as the specific fact that a major plank of his platform is, essentially, outright refusing to try to take advantage of a situation that could, if played right, give him a fighting chance of finally putting his country at peace. How come this man has yet to be run out of the Knesset on a rail?!

I think we have to question whether a plurality of Isreali people care about that.

I have to believe that a plurality of Israeli people would rather live in a democracy at peace than a hybrid regime at perpetual war. I have to.

I think you are correct, but he did some good fear mongering to try to consolidate the right wing base of his to turn out for him, look how Bennet and Lieberman's support fell and Yachad didn't even cross the threshold, he got lucky I'll say that.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Well, we definitely won't have a Palestinian state now if and when Netanyahu gets confirmed for PM again after what he said about Arabs and the Palestinian state today...at least while he is PM.