The Latino Vote 2014

[hopper]

Arizona Governor D 74-23%. Latina Women actually voted more R for Ducey(30%) than Latino Men did for Ducey at 18%.

FL Governor D 52-45%

KS Governor D 66-31%(Latina Women voted a little more R for Brownback (33%) than Latino Men did(28%.)
KS Senate I 64-35%

CA Governor D 73-25%

CO Senate D 77-23%
CO Gov D 70-28%

GA Senate D 69-29%
GA Governor D 70-27%(Deal got 33% of the Latina Women Vote compared to the 22% that the Latino Men gave Deal.)

Ill Gov D 77-22%
Ill Sen D 81-16%

NC Sen D 63-33%(I am actually surprised Tillis got this much of the Latino Vote, got 40% of the Latino Male vote.)

NV Governor D 52-47%

TX Gov D 68-32%
TX Sen D 69-30%

I got this info off of Latino Decisions website. They also have US House Results broken down by state but I didn't get into that on this thread.

[Matty]

Other sources were saying that abbott got a much higher % of latino vote than what this is saying.

[hopper]

Other sources were saying that abbott got a much higher % of latino vote than what this is saying.

What was it like 47% of the Hispanic Vote I think the the other sources say Abbot got.

[moderatevoter]

I remember reading that several Latino groups went after Kay Hagan on immigration.

[ElectionsGuy]

Exit polls say TX Latino vote went 55-44 Davis and 48-47 Cornyn. Keep in mind that southern TX Hispanics are much more Democratic than Hispanics in the rest of the state.

[Boston Bread]

Exit polls say TX Latino vote went 55-44 Davis and 48-47 Cornyn. Keep in mind that southern TX Hispanics are much more Democratic than Hispanics in the rest of the state.

Obama likely got high 60's with Texas latinos in 2012 (no exit poll) and lost the state by 16. Now given the turnout changes alone, the electorate that showed up in 2014 likely voted Romney by over 20 points, so close to the margin Abbott won by. If the white and black margins stayed about the same, then it's quite likely that Latinos went for Davis in the high 60s, and around 60% Alameel. There is no way a republican can get 44% of the latino vote in TX and stay under 60%.

Unless Davis improved significantly among whites (I doubt it), the hispanic vote for governor is certainly closer to what Latino Decisions has it than the exit polls. Although why they have Alameel so high is a mystery.

[KCDem]

Exit polls say TX Latino vote went 55-44 Davis and 48-47 Cornyn. Keep in mind that southern TX Hispanics are much more Democratic than Hispanics in the rest of the state.

"Hispanics" in rural Northwest Texas who vote Republican aren't real Hispanics.

[Boston Bread]

"Hispanics" in rural Northwest Texas who vote Republican aren't real Hispanics.

Ughhh
Not that they would skew the latino vote right by much since it's a small voter block. Aren't many of them non-citizen agriculture workers who don't vote?

[hopper]

Exit polls say TX Latino vote went 55-44 Davis and 48-47 Cornyn. Keep in mind that southern TX Hispanics are much more Democratic than Hispanics in the rest of the state.

Obama likely got high 60's with Texas latinos in 2012 (no exit poll) and lost the state by 16. Now given the turnout changes alone, the electorate that showed up in 2014 likely voted Romney by over 20 points, so close to the margin Abbott won by. If the white and black margins stayed about the same, then it's quite likely that Latinos went for Davis in the high 60s, and somewhat less than that for Alameel. If Abbott actually came close to winning the Hispanic vote he should have gotten 65% of the vote.
Unless Davis improved significantly among whites (I doubt it), the hispanic vote is certainly closer to what Latino Decisions has it than the exit polls.

Well close actually Obama got 70% of the Latino Vote compared to Romney's 28% according to Latino Decisions.

[Boston Bread]

Well close actually Obama got 70% of the Latino Vote compared to Romney's 28% according to Latino Decisions.

Just guessing. Obama got 71% nationwide but I think the Texas hispanics who vote are republican than average. But if Obama did get 70% with them then Davis would have gotten almost as high so my point still stands re: the exit polls showing a close hispanic vote in 2014.

[ElectionsGuy]

Exit polls say TX Latino vote went 55-44 Davis and 48-47 Cornyn. Keep in mind that southern TX Hispanics are much more Democratic than Hispanics in the rest of the state.

"Hispanics" in rural Northwest Texas who vote Republican aren't real Hispanics.

Wow, this is the most racist thing on this forum since Dixie's comment.

[KCDem]

Exit polls say TX Latino vote went 55-44 Davis and 48-47 Cornyn. Keep in mind that southern TX Hispanics are much more Democratic than Hispanics in the rest of the state.

"Hispanics" in rural Northwest Texas who vote Republican aren't real Hispanics.

Wow, this is the most racist thing on this forum since Dixie's comment.

Hahaha yes enjoy your faux outrage.

Hispanics who vote Republican aren't real Latino's. They've assimilated and betrayed their race.

[Holmes]

Sandoval didn't even win latinos? That's problematic, but Republicans should take solace in the fact that the Nevada Democratic Party is such a dud.

Also Democrats won the latino vote decisively in Colorado and still lost the senate race, so latino turnout was probably low. It's bittersweet for Democrats if they turnout in Presidential years, but not midterms.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Interesting that Beauprez ran ahead of Gardner among latinos.

[CatoMinor]

sometimes I cannot tell whether to laugh at or weep at how ridiculously stupid and hackish KCDem's comments can be.

[Adam Griffin]

Other sources were saying that abbott got a much higher % of latino vote than what this is saying.

What was it like 47% of the Hispanic Vote I think the the other sources say Abbot got.

There were also similar numbers being batted around in polls out of GA, but these all were polls that had Latinos (perhaps not in TX, though) as a sliver of those polled. Latino Decisions is the gold standard for Latino polling, in large part because their polls are Latino-exclusive and conducted in a bilingual fashion.

It's no surprise that the sliver of Latinos who bothered to vote in a mid-term, who have a landline and who aren't working all hours of the day are a) oversampled in surveys by most pollsters and b) skew more Republican than the actual electorate in any situation.