AR Congressional Races 2014

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

At Clinton.Rally in ARK, plenty of Blks turned ouy.

[moderatevoter]

Are we seriously using the rally argument?

Isn't that what Republicans said in 2012? "Oh, Romney had big rallies!!1"

Please.

[KCDem]

Pryor isnt going anywhere. Voter ID law struck.

That doesn't effect the race much.  Black turnout is going to be horrible no matter what.  It could actually hurt Pryor.  Those poor whites could now come out in droves to get him out of office.

That's not true at all. The DSCC's ground game will shellshock Cotton.

[JerryArkansas]

Pryor isnt going anywhere. Voter ID law struck.

That doesn't effect the race much. Black turnout is going to be horrible no matter what.  It could actually hurt Pryor.  Those poor whites could now come out in droves to get him out of office.

That's not true at all. The DSCC's ground game will shellshock Cotton.

Not what I'm seeing on the ground.  Many democrats, including Blacks aren't voting now.

[Brittain33]

Pryor isnt going anywhere. Voter ID law struck.

That doesn't effect the race much.  Black turnout is going to be horrible no matter what.  It could actually hurt Pryor.  Those poor whites could now come out in droves to get him out of office.

Republican voting correlates heavily with wealth in southern states like Arkansas and Mississippi, as opposed to states like Connecticut where the relationship is flat.

[KCDem]

Pryor isnt going anywhere. Voter ID law struck.

That doesn't effect the race much. Black turnout is going to be horrible no matter what.  It could actually hurt Pryor.  Those poor whites could now come out in droves to get him out of office.

That's not true at all. The DSCC's ground game will shellshock Cotton.

Not what I'm seeing on the ground.  Many democrats, including Blacks aren't voting now.

I'm sure you have a great pulse on the voting behavior of blacks in Arkansas...

[JerryArkansas]

Pryor isnt going anywhere. Voter ID law struck.

That doesn't effect the race much. Black turnout is going to be horrible no matter what.  It could actually hurt Pryor.  Those poor whites could now come out in droves to get him out of office.

That's not true at all. The DSCC's ground game will shellshock Cotton.

Not what I'm seeing on the ground.  Many democrats, including Blacks aren't voting now.

I'm sure you have a great pulse on the voting behavior of blacks in Arkansas...

I have a better idea than you.  Now don't act like you are some omniscient being who can see everything happening in the nation.  You can't, you are some little troll who doesn't know his ass from his mouth.

[RogueBeaver]

Dems feeling more pessimistic about Pryor, though they say the race is tied and Pubs say Cotton leads outside MOE.

[RogueBeaver]

Brummett says one top Dem is so hysterical that he's blaming Brummett's columns for depressing base enthusiasm, and that a Hutchinson/Cotton victory would be Brummett's fault. Also says he's sensing that the public sees Dem attacks on Cotton as shrill.

[IceSpear]

With Pryor getting Blanched tonight (seriously, DAYUM) you have to wonder if this race was ever actually competitive.

[Miles]

Yes, I thought Pryor would carry CD2 but my assumption was that he'd be competitive (as in within 10%). 'Brutal result for Democrats, there's really no way around that:



And considering how much more help Pryor got, poor Blanche Lincoln's loss really doesn't look that bad. 

[Panda Express]

At long last Arkansas is now a solid Republican state

[IceSpear]

Yeah, I thought of that as well, Miles. Somewhere in her lobbyist office Blanche Lincoln is smiling, knowing it wasn't all her fault...

It's funny because the conventional wisdom was that if she never got primaried, she still would've lost badly, but she might've been able to keep it to a 10 point or so loss rather than a 21 point one. Pryor didn't get primaried and only performed marginally better.

[Miles]

Pryor's farewell speech.