LA and NC 2016 Congressional Races

[Miles]

The last time he was on the ballot there:

[Heisenberg]

^Interesting how the top three candidates were all named David.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

^Interesting how the top three candidates were all named David.

Monica Monica is a cooler name though.

[Heisenberg]

^Interesting how the top three candidates were all named David.

Monica Monica is a cooler name though.

I honestly missed that at first. Thanks for pointing it out.

[Mike Thick]

lol she has an IMDb page

http://www.imdb.com/name/nm2007965/

[Miles]

^ When I posted that map on Twitter, I by far got the most comments about Monica Monica!

[Miles]

LA-Sen: The Landrieu wing of the Democratic Party is pretty hard at work for Fayard, as she's claiming to have raised $1.1 million this last quarter.

[Maxwell]

Why are democrats raising so much in Louisiana of all places? Post-JBE enthusiasm?

[Miles]

^ Well, Louisiana has one of the better state Democratic parties in the south

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

^ No one really knows whether 2015 Governor was a fluke because of Vitter or whether it means the state is purple (or purple-atlas blue) aside from the presidential race. The senate race will give us the answer.

[IceSpear]

^ No one really knows whether 2015 Governor was a fluke because of Vitter or whether it means the state is purple (or purple-atlas blue) aside from the presidential race. The senate race will give us the answer.

Uh, yes we do? It was obviously a fluke. That's like saying we don't know if Massachusetts is still a blue state or not because they elected Baker.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

^ No one really knows whether 2015 Governor was a fluke because of Vitter or whether it means the state is purple (or purple-atlas blue) aside from the presidential race. The senate race will give us the answer.

Uh, yes we do? It was obviously a fluke. That's like saying we don't know if Massachusetts is still a blue state or not because they elected Baker.

Massachusetts electing a republican governor is nothing new. The only reason Deval Patrick got in is because Romney left office very unpopular. That state just LOVES republican governors.

With Louisiana, everyone was declaring the state to be "Finally, completely republican!" after a decent challenger against Vitter in 2010 went nowhere, Jindal won in an historic landslide in 2011, and Landrieu finally went down in 2014, and by a lot. But then Edwards emerges out of nowhere, and wins by the same margin Landrieu lost. Even with all of Vitter's baggage, Edwards was clearly a good candidate in his own right and did very good divorcing himself from the national party. When I try to think about how Edwards vs. Angelle would have gone, I'm honestly not confident giving an answer. Maybe 2010-2014 was just a string of good races for the state R party that actually don't mean much in the long run.

[Kingpoleon]

^ No one really knows whether 2015 Governor was a fluke because of Vitter or whether it means the state is purple (or purple-atlas blue) aside from the presidential race. The senate race will give us the answer.

Uh, yes we do? It was obviously a fluke. That's like saying we don't know if Massachusetts is still a blue state or not because they elected Baker.

Massachusetts electing a republican governor is nothing new. The only reason Deval Patrick got in is because Romney left office very unpopular. That state just LOVES republican governors.

With Louisiana, everyone was declaring the state to be "Finally, completely republican!" after a decent challenger against Vitter in 2010 went nowhere, Jindal won in an historic landslide in 2011, and Landrieu finally went down in 2014, and by a lot. But then Edwards emerges out of nowhere, and wins by the same margin Landrieu lost. Even with all of Vitter's baggage, Edwards was clearly a good candidate in his own right and did very good divorcing himself from the national party. When I try to think about how Edwards vs. Angelle would have gone, I'm honestly not confident giving an answer. Maybe 2010-2014 was just a string of good races for the state R party that actually don't mean much in the long run.

How would Edwards v. Dardenne go in your opinion?

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

^ No one really knows whether 2015 Governor was a fluke because of Vitter or whether it means the state is purple (or purple-atlas blue) aside from the presidential race. The senate race will give us the answer.

Uh, yes we do? It was obviously a fluke. That's like saying we don't know if Massachusetts is still a blue state or not because they elected Baker.

Massachusetts electing a republican governor is nothing new. The only reason Deval Patrick got in is because Romney left office very unpopular. That state just LOVES republican governors.

With Louisiana, everyone was declaring the state to be "Finally, completely republican!" after a decent challenger against Vitter in 2010 went nowhere, Jindal won in an historic landslide in 2011, and Landrieu finally went down in 2014, and by a lot. But then Edwards emerges out of nowhere, and wins by the same margin Landrieu lost. Even with all of Vitter's baggage, Edwards was clearly a good candidate in his own right and did very good divorcing himself from the national party. When I try to think about how Edwards vs. Angelle would have gone, I'm honestly not confident giving an answer. Maybe 2010-2014 was just a string of good races for the state R party that actually don't mean much in the long run.

How would Edwards v. Dardenne go in your opinion?

I'm pretty sure that would be a Dardenne landslide. Edwards wouldn't have had much of an argument against the guy.

[Miles]

Bevin endorsing Maness in LA-Sen.

[Kingpoleon]

Fayard and Cao are my favorites here. Campbell and Kennedy seem a little old.

[Miles]

With one more day left of filing in Louisiana, no less than 21 (!) candidates are running for Senate. It looks like all of the big names, except for Maness, have filed.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

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Well, I wasn't expecting to see a Landrieu file. Interesting.

[Miles]

^ He's the cousin of Mary/Mitch, but he's nowhere in their league politically. He's run for LA-02 the past two cycles but got crushed.

[MT Treasurer]

Burr pledges to retire after one more Senate term

[RogueBeaver]

Duke is running for Senate.

[heatcharger]

Duke is running for Senate.

There's no way he can win... right???

[windjammer]

Duke isnt going to finish 1st or 2nd lol, it's not the 1990's anymore. He will get 5% no more!

[Boston Bread]

With so many candidates in the race, I can't rule out Duke making the runoff with ~20%. Especially considering that the other GOP candidates are likely establishment or tea party types instead of Trumpists.

[Miles]

Well, I always said that this seat was more vulnerable for Republicans than most people had assumed. That being said, I don't think Duke will win the GOP primary. A generic R vs. Campbell runoff will be competitive anyway, though.

There's no GOP primary.