LA and NC 2016 Congressional Races

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Just wondering, if Kennedy wins, who becomes Treasurer? Is there a special election, or does the governor appoint someone?

The Governor appoints someone temporarily until a special election occurs, if I understand correctly. As it stands, he might appoint Rosalind Peychaud, who was the former deputy chief of staff for Cao.

Why wouldn't he appoint an actual Democrat?

[smoltchanov]

Honestly,
I think Kennedy's lead is mostly because of name recognition, I'm not sure it's him who will win the race in the end.

May be. But it's 3 month plus few days before election, so his opponents have little time to prove themselves. He fundraises decently too...

[Kingpoleon]

Just wondering, if Kennedy wins, who becomes Treasurer? Is there a special election, or does the governor appoint someone?

The Governor appoints someone temporarily until a special election occurs, if I understand correctly. As it stands, he might appoint Rosalind Peychaud, who was the former deputy chief of staff for Cao.

Why wouldn't he appoint an actual Democrat?

Peychaud is a Democrat - a former State Representative. Cao's tenure in the House was strange ideologically.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Just wondering, if Kennedy wins, who becomes Treasurer? Is there a special election, or does the governor appoint someone?

The Governor appoints someone temporarily until a special election occurs, if I understand correctly. As it stands, he might appoint Rosalind Peychaud, who was the former deputy chief of staff for Cao.

Why wouldn't he appoint an actual Democrat?

Peychaud is a Democrat - a former State Representative. Cao's tenure in the House was strange ideologically.

Let me rephrase that: a Democrat who didn't work for a House Republican and would be a strong GE candidate.

[Miles]

^ Well, Mary Landrieu started out as Treasurer. I wouldn't mind seeing her go the Mike DeWine route now

[windjammer]

^ Well, Mary Landrieu started out as Treasurer. I wouldn't mind seeing her go the Mike DeWine route now

She's considering???

[Miles]

^ No, just throwing that out there.

[smoltchanov]

Miles, can you elaborate about candidates for LA-04 and their ideological positions? This is an area i know relatively little of...

[Miles]

^ From what I gather there's not much ideological difference between them. Johnson seems like the most socially conservative to me, and seems to have the most tea party support. Baucum probably has the most appeal with Libertarian-ish types. Reminds me of Gary Palmer in AL-06. Jenkins served in the Iraq War, which is helpful here. The district is home to both Barksdale ABF (right outside of Shreveport) and Fort Polk (in Vernon Parish), so he could make the best case that he'll look after military interests in the district.

[Miles]

LA-Sen: Another ex-Gov., Mike Foster (R) backs Kennedy. This probably hurts Boustany the most; Foster actually lives in LA-03 and this shows Kennedy is consolidating establishment support.

LA-Sen: UNO poll has awful numbers for Duke. His statewide favorables are 14/82, 13% would vote for him in the primary, and he'd lose a runoff 74/16 to a Democrat.

Edwards is also popular after the better part of a year in office, and coming out of the chaos in Baton Rouge. He has a solid 49/36 approval rating.

[Kingpoleon]

After doing some quick read throughout of Louisiana Democrats for a potential Treasurer, Marc Morial, former NO Mayor and current President of the National Urban League, has a bachelor's degree in Economics and is only 58. Morial serves on the Presidential Advisory Council on Financial Accountability. He also was a member of the Debt Reduction Task Force for the Bipartisan Policy Center.

[smoltchanov]

^ From what I gather there's not much ideological difference between them. Johnson seems like the most socially conservative to me, and seems to have the most tea party support. Baucum probably has the most appeal with Libertarian-ish types. Reminds me of Gary Palmer in AL-06. Jenkins served in the Iraq War, which is helpful here. The district is home to both Barksdale ABF (right outside of Shreveport) and Fort Polk (in Vernon Parish), so he could make the best case that he'll look after military interests in the district.

Thanks!

[Miles]

LA Senate candidate forum video held a week or so ago, FWIW.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Officially endorsing Caroline Fayard.

[publicunofficial]

Officially endorsing Caroline Fayard.

I couldn't handle the suspense.

[Maxwell]

I've been watching bits of this - John Fleming is incredibly low energy and did a bad job, I bet Rob Manness beats him in the polls. Fayard is also kinda low energy, which is why Wulfric supports her I bet.

Loving Campbell, and Kennedy did a good job.

Kennedy seems like the Republican favorite and seems to be running a much stronger campaign than he has in previous times.

[syntaxerror]

What are the chances of Foster Campbell pulling a JBE? Probably 0 right?

[Miles]

Officially endorsing Caroline Fayard.

 

Thanks - was just dying to get your take.

[windjammer]

Officially endorsing Caroline Fayard.

 

Thanks - was just dying to get your take.

Miles, I like you, but seriously, Wulfric has said nothing wrong, he has the right to say he endorses Caroline Fayard.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

What are the chances of Foster Campbell pulling a JBE? Probably 0 right?

Against Kennedy? 20-30%. Against any other Republican? 50% at least. Of course it won't happen if control of the Senate is at stake.

That's only true if the R isn't David Duke.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

FWIW, I endorsed Cassidy in 2014 and originally Dardenne in 2015 (endorsed JBE in the runoff).

[Miles]

Officially endorsing Caroline Fayard.

 

Thanks - was just dying to get your take.

Miles, I like you, but seriously, Wulfric has said nothing wrong, he has the right to say he endorses Caroline Fayard.

Sure, we're all free support whomever we want.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Miles is just sad that I don't support Campbell.

[syntaxerror]

What are the chances of Foster Campbell pulling a JBE? Probably 0 right?

Against Kennedy? 20-30%. Against any other Republican? 50% at least. Of course it won't happen if control of the Senate is at stake.

Thats surprising, though this Seat would be Safe R. Wonder how split the R vote will be in the jungle primary.

[Miles]

Miles is just sad that I don't support Campbell.

Er, I don't care who you support...