CA-Sen: California Quake
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Author Topic: CA-Sen: California Quake  (Read 48760 times)
Panda Express
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« Reply #175 on: January 12, 2015, 08:28:03 PM »

This isn't a "once in a generation opportunity". There will be two more spots opening up in 2018. (One for gov, one for Feinstein's seat).
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All Along The Watchtower
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« Reply #176 on: January 12, 2015, 08:39:09 PM »

Came here to post the news. Regardless, good luck to California's awesome Attorney General! Cheesy
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #177 on: January 12, 2015, 08:40:44 PM »

This isn't a "once in a generation opportunity". There will be two more spots opening up in 2018. (One for gov, one for Feinstein's seat).

Plus the seat will open up again in 2025 after Harris' inauguration as President.
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Vosem
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« Reply #178 on: January 12, 2015, 08:59:17 PM »

This isn't a "once in a generation opportunity". There will be two more spots opening up in 2018. (One for gov, one for Feinstein's seat).

Feinstein doesn't strike you as a lifer? And you don't think it might help a pol to raise their name recognition by running now, to help with possible later runs?
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DrScholl
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« Reply #179 on: January 12, 2015, 09:00:54 PM »

The DSCC is getting their candidate. I expect other Democrats to run, but Harris is definitely the front runner.
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Sbane
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« Reply #180 on: January 12, 2015, 09:09:51 PM »

If there is any person who can lose this senate race for the Democrats, it is Steyer. He will win the bay area but he will collapse in the central valley among hispanics (water and jobs issue) and quite possibly could in southern california as well. Rich, white liberals are not the swing vote in California, it is moderate to conservative minorities. A generic democrat wins that vote easily in this environment but things get interesting if it is an out of touch billionaire vs a moderate like Kashkari or Swearingen. In any case, California is more likely to vote in a Republican governor before a senator barring unusual circumstances.

It's California in a presidential year. There's no scenario outside of an R vs. R race that Democrats lose.

An out of touch billionaire obsessed with the climate could make it happen. It would take a realignment in California, of course, with minorities voting Republican in dramatically higher numbers. It will likely happen with the Governor's race way before the Senate though, since the local candidates don't have all the baggage of the idiotic national Republican party.
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Sbane
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« Reply #181 on: January 12, 2015, 09:56:20 PM »


I hope Swalwell runs because he will get absolutely crushed. A good way to get rid of him in congress too. That bigot (against atheists/agnostics) doesn't deserve to be in congress.
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LeBron
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« Reply #182 on: January 12, 2015, 11:19:53 PM »


I hope Swalwell runs because he will get absolutely crushed. A good way to get rid of him in congress too. That bigot (against atheists/agnostics) doesn't deserve to be in congress.
To be fair, although there's some on the forum who dislike him because of that, there was that one redeeming quality where he posted on social media his enthusiastic "nay" vote on the House vote on a 20 week abortion ban. Overall though, he does hold some great views and I'd like to see him stay in the House.

Anyways, it's awesome to see Harris is running! There's still going to be those trying to ruin it for her like Steyer, but she's got the resources/support needed to make the top 2, and should be a nice successor to Boxer.
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« Reply #183 on: January 12, 2015, 11:57:46 PM »


I hope Swalwell runs because he will get absolutely crushed. A good way to get rid of him in congress too. That bigot (against atheists/agnostics) doesn't deserve to be in congress.

Exactly.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #184 on: January 13, 2015, 12:04:05 AM »

I don't recall Swawell attacking atheists. He did defeat one (a crazy one), but that certainly doesn't qualify him as being a bigot. Stark needed to go, as he is actually crazy.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #185 on: January 13, 2015, 12:42:22 AM »

It doesn't surprise me too much that Newsom didn't want to run - He seems more obviously aimed at the Governorship.
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Miles
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« Reply #186 on: January 13, 2015, 10:56:06 AM »

And we're off!

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Morning in Atlas
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« Reply #187 on: January 13, 2015, 10:57:08 AM »

Glorious news!
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #188 on: January 13, 2015, 12:22:03 PM »

I just don't understand why Steyer would feel the need to run for Senate. It's not like Harris is going to be any less progressive on environmental issues than Boxer was. He's better off staying out and donating to candidates to help get more Boxer's and Harris' into office.
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retromike22
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« Reply #189 on: January 13, 2015, 12:22:13 PM »

YAY!
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hopper
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« Reply #190 on: January 13, 2015, 02:10:06 PM »

If there is any person who can lose this senate race for the Democrats, it is Steyer. He will win the bay area but he will collapse in the central valley among hispanics (water and jobs issue) and quite possibly could in southern california as well. Rich, white liberals are not the swing vote in California, it is moderate to conservative minorities. A generic democrat wins that vote easily in this environment but things get interesting if it is an out of touch billionaire vs a moderate like Kashkari or Swearingen. In any case, California is more likely to vote in a Republican governor before a senator barring unusual circumstances.

It's California in a presidential year. There's no scenario outside of an R vs. R race that Democrats lose.
If your the Republicans let the Democrat win. Its basically a watch and learn race for the Republicans since I don't think a Republican can win here and may not even have a candidate in the top 2 final.

]
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justfollowingtheelections
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« Reply #191 on: January 13, 2015, 02:29:43 PM »

If the Democrats don't win the presidency in 2016, she could be their presidential candidate in 2020.  It would be interesting to see a Harris vs Booker primary.
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RR1997
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« Reply #192 on: January 13, 2015, 07:20:52 PM »

Harris is one of the better Democrats, so I wouldn't mind a Senator Harris.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #193 on: January 13, 2015, 08:09:28 PM »

Harris is one of the better Democrats, so I wouldn't mind a Senator Harris.

Basically. She can't be as bad as Feinstein at the very least
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #194 on: January 13, 2015, 10:38:42 PM »

This isn't a "once in a generation opportunity". There will be two more spots opening up in 2018. (One for gov, one for Feinstein's seat).

Feinstein doesn't strike you as a lifer? And you don't think it might help a pol to raise their name recognition by running now, to help with possible later runs?

     I'd be very surprised if Feinstein retires. The assumption around here is that she's as certain a lifer as they come.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #195 on: January 14, 2015, 01:17:47 AM »

Well, obviously Harris begins as a favorite. Personally she is way to the left of me, but she turned to be good AG, and, probably, will be a good Senator...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #196 on: January 14, 2015, 03:19:51 AM »

56-44 Harris
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All Along The Watchtower
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« Reply #197 on: January 14, 2015, 12:37:02 PM »

This isn't a "once in a generation opportunity". There will be two more spots opening up in 2018. (One for gov, one for Feinstein's seat).

Feinstein doesn't strike you as a lifer? And you don't think it might help a pol to raise their name recognition by running now, to help with possible later runs?
I'd be very surprised if Feinstein retires. The assumption around here is that she's as certain a lifer as they come.

She'll be 85 in 2018, FWIW.
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Miles
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« Reply #198 on: January 14, 2015, 03:13:26 PM »

E-Warren is endorsing Harris.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #199 on: January 14, 2015, 04:06:30 PM »

If Feinstein goes for another, she's a lifer.
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