CA-Sen: California Quake

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

If Feinstein goes for another, she's a lifer.

Strom Thurmond made it to 100 without dying in office, though.

[IceSpear]

If DiFi runs again, I wonder if any Dem would run against her. Only 2 strong Democrats would eliminate the risk of an R vs. R race, so that wouldn't be a deterrent.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

If Feinstein goes for another, she's a lifer.

She'll live well into her 90's barring any significant health problems, so I wouldn't be so sure on that timetable.

[RogueBeaver]

Villaraigosa very likely to run.

[Free Bird]

Villaraigosa very likely to run.

YAY

[Miles]

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Interesting parallel to the Hawaii primary last cycle.

[moderatevoter]

Adding to the Hawaii parallel, didn't Warren endorse Schatz too?

[Miles]

^ Yep.

[SPC]

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Interesting parallel to the Hawaii primary last cycle.

The Obama candidate narrowly prevailed despite incumbency and Obama winning the state in a landslide. As an open race in a Clinton state, should we expect Villar to prevail?

[Miles]

^ Well, I'm not sure we should extrapolate that much from it. Its just a quirk I wanted to throw out there.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

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Interesting parallel to the Hawaii primary last cycle.

The Obama candidate narrowly prevailed despite incumbency and Obama winning the state in a landslide. As an open race in a Clinton state, should we expect Villar to prevail?

If Harris focuses her campaign in SoCal, she should be able to chip away at AV's advantage. Bay area voters will probably more fiercely loyal to Harris than LA voters to him.

[Miles]

^ Turnout also generally seems to be higher up north.

[RogueBeaver]

PPP found McClintock 28, Harris 27, Kashkari 12, everyone else in single digits. No Becerra/Villaraigosa/Steyer.

Steyer's team calls him Cincinnatus. In the fine self-funding tradition, of course.

[SPC]

McClintock is not crazy enough to give up a safe carpetbagged House seat for yet another longshot bid for statewide office.

[Maxwell]

Why did they poll the head to head as Garcetti v. Harris? What kind of ish is that?

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Why did they poll the head to head as Garcetti v. Harris? What kind of ish is that?

This was a PPP internal. The questions were set by the one who paid for the poll, which in this case was not PPP.

PPP found McClintock 28, Harris 27, Kashkari 12, everyone else in single digits. No Becerra/Villaraigosa/Steyer.


Steyer's team calls him Cincinnatus. In the fine self-funding tradition, of course.

Look Closer, they included Steyer.

[justfollowingtheelections]

PPP found McClintock 28, Harris 27, Kashkari 12, everyone else in single digits. No Becerra/Villaraigosa/Steyer.

Steyer's team calls him Cincinnatus. In the fine self-funding tradition, of course.

I don't think they had a good sample for their survey:

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[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

PPP found McClintock 28, Harris 27, Kashkari 12, everyone else in single digits. No Becerra/Villaraigosa/Steyer.

Steyer's team calls him Cincinnatus. In the fine self-funding tradition, of course.

I don't think they had a good sample for their survey:

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It may be too Republican leaning, but that means it's good news for Democrats in terms of avoiding a primary disaster.

[RogueBeaver]

Missed Steyer, but I'm sure that changes when he starts moneybombing. What are the chances of any Congresscritters jumping in?

[IceSpear]

Poll is worthless until we know the field. Oddly, it was also conducted in December, before Boxer announced her retirement.

[justfollowingtheelections]

PPP found McClintock 28, Harris 27, Kashkari 12, everyone else in single digits. No Becerra/Villaraigosa/Steyer.

Steyer's team calls him Cincinnatus. In the fine self-funding tradition, of course.

I don't think they had a good sample for their survey:

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It may be too Republican leaning, but that means it's good news for Democrats in terms of avoiding a primary disaster.

With Harris running there's absolutely no chance of a primary disaster for the Dems.  A D vs D general election seems far more likely IMO.

[henster]

Villaraigosa left office very unpopular with many personal scandals why do people think he will automatically lock up the SoCal/Hispanic vote?

[Maxwell]

PPP found McClintock 28, Harris 27, Kashkari 12, everyone else in single digits. No Becerra/Villaraigosa/Steyer.

Steyer's team calls him Cincinnatus. In the fine self-funding tradition, of course.

I don't think they had a good sample for their survey:

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It may be too Republican leaning, but that means it's good news for Democrats in terms of avoiding a primary disaster.

With Harris running there's absolutely no chance of a primary disaster for the Dems.  A D vs D general election seems far more likely IMO.

A D v. D general? That's a joke.

[Maxwell]

Loretta Sanchez is seriously considering, from her facebook page

I don't think Harris has this locked down quite yet. Sanchez would be more formidable as a Hispanic opposition than Villarigosa.

[justfollowingtheelections]

PPP found McClintock 28, Harris 27, Kashkari 12, everyone else in single digits. No Becerra/Villaraigosa/Steyer.

Steyer's team calls him Cincinnatus. In the fine self-funding tradition, of course.

I don't think they had a good sample for their survey:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

It may be too Republican leaning, but that means it's good news for Democrats in terms of avoiding a primary disaster.

With Harris running there's absolutely no chance of a primary disaster for the Dems.  A D vs D general election seems far more likely IMO.

A D v. D general? That's a joke.

How is it a joke?  If no prominent Republicans run, I think there's a good chance that a Democrat will win second place in the primary.
And I agree that it's far from a done deal that Harris will win.  If the general election is Harris vs Sanchez, Sanchez could win.