CA-Sen: California Quake

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Laura Capps won't run for her moms seat

Republicans have a non-joke candidate here too, so look out for this one now.

Both the Democrats currently in the race are arguably stronger than Capps would have been, Salud Carbajal especially. This just makes it less likely for two Republicans to slip into the general.

Also Republicans thinking that they'll pick up this seat in a presidential year is cute. Run a non-joke GOP candidate in 2018.

[Maxwell]

Laura Capps won't run for her moms seat

Republicans have a non-joke candidate here too, so look out for this one now.

Both the Democrats currently in the race are arguably stronger than Capps would have been, Salud Carbajal especially. This just makes it less likely for two Republicans to slip into the general.

Also Republicans thinking that they'll pick up this seat in a presidential year is cute. Run a non-joke GOP candidate in 2018.

I mean, it's not very likely. But Republicans do need to spread their eggs into as many baskets as possible. This one has been close for a long time (even in Presidential years, where Capps ran behind the President), so it doesn't make sense to just not even try for it.

[RogueBeaver]

Schiff confirms he's out.

[smoltchanov]

Schiff confirms he's out.

So, only Loretta remains?

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

From Wikipedia:

Democratic Party

Declared

Stewart Albertson, attorney and Army veteran[5]
Kamala Harris, California Attorney General[6]

Potential

Xavier Becerra, U.S. Representative and candidate for Mayor of Los Angeles in 2001[7][8]
Louis Caldera, former Director of the White House Military Office, former United States Secretary of the Army, and former State Assemblyman[9]
Tony Cárdenas, U.S. Representative[10]
John Garamendi, U.S. Representative, former Lieutenant Governor of California, former California Insurance Commissioner and former Deputy Secretary of the Interior[11][12]
Jane Harman, Director, President and CEO of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, former U.S. Representative and candidate for Governor in 1998[13][14]
Kevin Johnson, Mayor of Sacramento and former professional basketball player[15]
Sam Liccardo, Mayor of San Jose[14]
Gloria Molina, former Los Angeles County Supervisor[10]
Janet Napolitano, President of the University of California, former United States Secretary of Homeland Security and former Governor of Arizona[3]
Alex Padilla, Secretary of State of California and former State Senator[4][16]
Raul Ruiz, U.S. Representative[11][16]
Linda Sánchez, U.S. Representative[17]
Loretta Sanchez, U.S. Representative[18][19][20]
Hilda Solis, Los Angeles County Supervisor, former United States Secretary of Labor and former U.S. Representative[16]
Jackie Speier, U.S. Representative and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2006[22][16][23]

Republican Party

Declared

Rocky Chavez, State Assemblyman[50][51][52]
Tom Del Beccaro, former Chairman of the California Republican Party[53][54][55]
John Estrada, businessman and candidate for California's 20th congressional district in 1994 and 1998[56]
Mark Hardie, attorney and author[57][58]
Don Krampe, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[59]
Tom Palzer, retired urban planner[60]

Potential

Mary Bono, former U.S. Representative[16]
Carl DeMaio, former San Diego City Council member, candidate for Mayor of San Diego in 2012 and candidate for California's 52nd congressional district in 2014[61]
Tim Donnelly, former State Assemblyman, Minuteman founder and candidate for Governor in 2014[34][62]
David Dreier, former U.S. Representative[63]
Larry Elder, talk radio host and attorney[64][65]
Abel Maldonado, former Lieutenant Governor of California, candidate for California State Controller in 2006, for CA-24 in 2012 and for Governor in 2014[10]
Kevin McCarthy, U.S. Representative and House Majority Leader[31]
Doug Ose, former U.S. Representative[29]
Steve Poizner, former California Insurance Commissioner and candidate for Governor in 2010[14]
Al Ramirez, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2012[66]
George Sundheim, former Chairman of the California Republican Party[53][67]
Meg Whitman, CEO of Hewlett-Packard and nominee for Governor in 2010[14][2]
Phil Wyman, former State Senator, former State Assemblyman and perennial candidate[68]

Independent

Potential

Angelina Jolie, actress, filmmaker and former Goodwill Ambassador for the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees[82][83]

[RogueBeaver]

Sanchez will announce her decision this week.

[RogueBeaver]

Sanchez is in.

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

Sanchez is in.

Are the Vietnamese going to try to take this seat from her too?

[Zioneer]

I imagine Lou Correa is probably going to replace Sanchez in her district, then?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Hell no to the Blue Dog!!!!!!!! It's bad enough that we have 1 terrible Senator, it had better not become 2.

[smoltchanov]

Hell no to the Blue Dog!!!!!!!! It's bad enough that we have 1 terrible Senator, it had better not become 2.

Blue Dog in name only. I am very amused by many "progressives" reaction on this: they are almost as predictable and as foolish as tea-partiers are.. "True believers", nothing more to say. And essentially - the same....

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Hell no to the Blue Dog!!!!!!!! It's bad enough that we have 1 terrible Senator, it had better not become 2.

LOL. Feinstein is not a conservadem.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Hell no to the Blue Dog!!!!!!!! It's bad enough that we have 1 terrible Senator, it had better not become 2.

LOL. Feinstein is not a conservadem.

A blue dog and a Feinstein are crappy Senators wherever they are, but are especially bad if they represent California.

[smoltchanov]

Hell no to the Blue Dog!!!!!!!! It's bad enough that we have 1 terrible Senator, it had better not become 2.

LOL. Feinstein is not a conservadem.

A blue dog and a Feinstein are crappy Senators wherever they are, but are especially bad if they represent California.

Glorious speech of "bold progressive" utterly unable to change the tune....

[Miles]

Sanchez is (really) running now.

[Gass3268]

Has any polling been done for this race? If not, this should be done ASAP!

[justfollowingtheelections]

I suspect it will be Sanchez vs Harris.  Sanchez will try to appeal to moderates in the general election, as well as Hispanics.  I could see her winning if she campaigns well.

[Sbane]

I suspect it will be Sanchez vs Harris.  Sanchez will try to appeal to moderates in the general election, as well as Hispanics.  I could see her winning if she campaigns well.

If she tries to play the Latino card too much, she will lose. She needs to do it covertly, and make sure it is not being printed in the LA times. In the top two primary, Latinos won't make up more than maybe 20% of the vote.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

I suspect it will be Sanchez vs Harris.  Sanchez will try to appeal to moderates in the general election, as well as Hispanics.  I could see her winning if she campaigns well.

If she tries to play the Latino card too much, she will lose. She needs to do it covertly, and make sure it is not being printed in the LA times. In the top two primary, Latinos won't make up more than maybe 20% of the vote.

Although with the amount of Republicans that will be on the ballot, 20% might be enough to get a runoff spot. Obviously 100% of Latinos won't vote for her, but she could probably muster enough support for 20% of the vote if things go her way.

[Beet]

Loretta Sanchez apparently prepping to enter after Easter.

Too bad. I wish she would wait until 2018 instead.

Yeah I agree. I like both Harris and Sanchez, and I don't think Sanchez really thinks she can win this... Hopefully it's just a trial run for 2018.

[CountryClassSF]

Very seriously considering a tactical vote for Rep. Sanchez in the open primary race to defeat winger-leftist San Fran lib Kamala Harris-- Particularly if no other Democrats run. Will lib establishment force Xavier Becerra in to try to split the Hispanic vote?

Loretta can very well win if she advances to the general with a coalition of moderates, Hispanics, and GOPers.

Realistically, Republicans have no shot at winning here - especially with the candidates who are running.  With multiple Republicans running, it is highly possible that the two Democrat candidates advance to the general.  And Republicans have to think tactically IF no other D's run.

[Beet]

Very seriously considering a tactical vote for Rep. Sanchez in the open primary race to defeat winger-leftist San Fran lib Kamala Harris-- Particularly if no other Democrats run. Will lib establishment force Xavier Becerra in to try to split the Hispanic vote?

Loretta can very well win if she advances to the general with a coalition of moderates, Hispanics, and GOPers.

Realistically, Republicans have no shot at winning here - especially with the candidates who are running.  With multiple Republicans running, it is highly possible that the two Democrat candidates advance to the general.  And Republicans have to think tactically IF no other D's run.

Lol your going to disappointed. Sanchez is a left-liberal who similar to Gillibrand voted more centrist only because of her district. As Senator she'd be just as liberal as Harris and more so than Feinstein.

[CountryClassSF]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Aware of that. But Loretta didn't do this: http://www.sfgate.com/crime/article/SAN-FRANCISCO-D-A-won-t-pursue-death-in-cop-2767716.php.

And tactical voting is used only to defeat an outcome that's undesirable (Sen. Kamala Harris).

[DrScholl]

Loretta Sanchez is not a conservative or a substitute for a Republican. It's not like there is anything Republicans gain from voting tactically.

[CountryClassSF]

Loretta Sanchez is not a conservative or a substitute for a Republican. It's not like there is anything Republicans gain from voting tactically.

What do we have to gain by not voting tactically? Kamala is a left-wing ideologue with rumored presidential aspirations.

Aside from this election, it would perhaps finally mean the repeal of Prop 14 if the Democrat Party chosen candidate is defeated