CA-Sen: California Quake (user search)
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Author Topic: CA-Sen: California Quake  (Read 48206 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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« on: January 09, 2015, 04:41:39 AM »

^ Last precedent for this, IIRC, was when John Garamendi was elected to Congress while serving as LG. From what I gather, Brown would appoint a replacement who would have to be confirmed by the Assembly.
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Miles
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« Reply #1 on: January 09, 2015, 05:37:10 PM »

^ Last precedent for this, IIRC, was when John Garamendi was elected to Congress while serving as LG. From what I gather, Brown would appoint a replacement who would have to be confirmed by the Assembly.
She's not resigning, just retiring at the end of her term.  But I guess you're talking about whoever replaces her.

I think the question was about Harris, not Boxer. Harris' term ends in 2018, ergo, she'd have to resign as AG to be Senator. Boxer would obviously just be retiring.
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Miles
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« Reply #2 on: January 12, 2015, 11:39:54 AM »

DKE has a laundry list of everyone thinking of running.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #3 on: January 12, 2015, 12:32:32 PM »

Newsom isn't running.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #4 on: January 12, 2015, 08:21:22 PM »

Steyer will reportedly have a decision by the end of the week.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #5 on: January 13, 2015, 10:56:06 AM »

And we're off!

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #6 on: January 14, 2015, 03:13:26 PM »

E-Warren is endorsing Harris.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #7 on: January 15, 2015, 01:31:10 PM »

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Interesting parallel to the Hawaii primary last cycle.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #8 on: January 15, 2015, 01:55:46 PM »

^ Yep.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #9 on: January 15, 2015, 02:35:49 PM »

^ Well, I'm not sure we should extrapolate that much from it. Its just a quirk I wanted to throw out there.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #10 on: January 15, 2015, 02:39:03 PM »

^ Turnout also generally seems to be higher up north.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #11 on: January 16, 2015, 03:14:55 PM »

Not that she looked particuarly eager to run, but Karen Bass isn't running.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #12 on: January 21, 2015, 02:08:42 PM »

Well, we know were Josh Kraushaar's bias is and here is promoting Villaraigosa in his last piece.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #13 on: January 23, 2015, 05:37:55 PM »

Full article.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #14 on: January 26, 2015, 02:35:04 PM »

There's probably more local factors invloved here, but I don't think this is good for Villaraigosa:

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Miles
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« Reply #15 on: February 03, 2015, 02:09:40 PM »

GHY poll:

Swearingin (R)- 31%
Harris (D)- 28%
Villaraigosa (D)- 18%
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #16 on: February 18, 2015, 12:17:01 PM »

This is a sort of a roundabout way to poll, but instead of running head-to-heads, the Field Poll asked respondents who they'd be 'inclined' to support. Condi (49/39) and Harris (46/37) were the highest overall.

With Democrats, 74% are 'inclined' to support Harris, with Villaraigosa at 57%.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #17 on: February 24, 2015, 02:19:40 PM »

Republicans are trying to draft David Dreier.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #18 on: February 24, 2015, 05:02:59 PM »
« Edited: February 24, 2015, 05:11:01 PM by Miles »

More good news for Harris, if true:

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Edit: Yep, he's not running.
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Miles
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« Reply #19 on: February 28, 2015, 01:57:56 PM »

I think she'd be a better candidates for Republicans than Dreier, but Ashley Swearengin isn't running.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #20 on: February 28, 2015, 08:21:17 PM »

^ The GOP doesn't have a demographic situation that's conductive to its (long-term) success, as the Dems do in TX.   

Good call for Swearengin not to run. She would have gotten 40-45% against Harris in almost any outcome.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #21 on: May 14, 2015, 01:56:12 PM »

Sanchez is (really) running now.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #22 on: May 20, 2015, 01:44:57 PM »

I don't think this poll deserves its own thread (58% are undecided), but the Field Poll has Harris and Sanchez making a runoff. Harris leads by a whopping 19-8 margin.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #23 on: February 28, 2016, 01:21:59 AM »

The state Democratic Party endorsed Harris.
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