Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 33,215
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« on: December 09, 2014, 07:27:14 PM » |
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The answer is actually much simpler than you think: He's incumbent.
The media can and will tear down any incumbent they can and will always strike the question of "What if X opponent won, we'd be elsewhere wouldn't we?"
In '05, you can bet Gore or Kerry also would've beat Bush, even though Gore probably would've done everything Obama is doing now at best.
The way everything has been since 1988 when the League of Women Voters stopped moderating the debates and when Bush went Willie-Horton has pretty much polarization can and will be rampant.
Because of this an incumbent can only count on 40-50% approval under normal circumstances, another 40% is gonna be dead-set against him, and the remaining 10-20 will be moderates/centrists that will simply always support the underdog "just cuz"
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