How would past elections go if the electorates had foresight? (user search)
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  How would past elections go if the electorates had foresight? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How would past elections go if the electorates had foresight?  (Read 2961 times)
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« on: December 09, 2014, 11:26:05 AM »
« edited: December 09, 2014, 07:04:28 PM by SPC »

Suppose you went back in time to every leap year after 1789 plus 1800 and 1900 and published an American History book containing all important events until today. Also suppose that the populace is extremely credulous and would take such a history book at face value, rather than question how a man from the future got there and published his history book (dum dum dum dum dum). How do you think each election would have gone if the electorate knew the outcome of the route taken IRL?

My guesses (going backward):
2012: Romney
2008: McCain
2004: Kerry
2000: Gore
1996: Clinton
1992: Clinton
1988: Bush
1984: Reagan
1980: Reagan
1976: Ford
1972: McGovern
1968: Humphrey
1964: Johnson
1960: Kennedy (assuming he would still run under these circumstances)
1956: Eisenhower
1952: Eisenhower
1948: Dewey
1944: Dewey (see 1960)
1940: Roosevelt
1936: Roosevelt
1932: Roosevelt
1928: Smith
1924: Coolidge
1920: Harding
1916: Hughes
1912: Roosevelt
1908: Taft
1904: Roosevelt
1900: McKinley (see 1960)
1896: McKinley
1892: Harrison
1888: Cleveland
1884: Cleveland
1880: Hancock (see 1960)
1876: Tilden
1872: Grant (see 1960)
1868: Seymour
1864: Lincoln (see 1960)
1860: Douglas
1856: Buchanan
1852: Pierce
1848: Cass
1844: Polk
1840: Van Buren (see 1960)
1836: Harrison
1832: Jackson
1828: Jackson
1824: Jackson

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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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Posts: 10,003
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« Reply #1 on: December 09, 2014, 06:02:59 PM »

Don't kid yourself Hagel, no one would've voted for Harding with foresight. Any historian could tell you Cox was the better candidate.

I think it definitely would have been closer that IRL if knowledge of what was to come was available, but Wilson pissed off too many German and Irish Americans for Cox to prevail. Plus, electorates tend to be shortsighted, so saying your opponent will be unprecedented prosperity for nine years followed by a horrific depression probably would not be that persuasive.
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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Posts: 10,003
Latvia


« Reply #2 on: December 11, 2014, 10:37:51 AM »

Is everyone ignoring that with the contiuities you're all creating, Kerry would primary Gore, right?

I had intended for each election to be evaluated separately, with each electorate knowing what happens in the future until 2014.
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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Posts: 10,003
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« Reply #3 on: December 11, 2014, 11:16:33 AM »
« Edited: December 11, 2014, 02:15:35 PM by SPC »

...do the electorates have foresight about how the alternate presidency would go?

No, since that would require information that the posters on here (or anyone else in this universe) do not have access to.
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