last ex confederate state where a dem presidential candidate won white vote

[freepcrusher]

My guess is Clinton in AR in 1996. Not sure if he won a majority though.

[Rockefeller GOP]

I assume you mean a Democrat...

[Boston Bread]

Clinton won whites only in AR.
Carter won whites in only GA, TN, AR probably.
1964 and before whites lagged only slightly behind the statewide vote. It's plausible that whites in FL haven't gone democratic since 1948.

[TDAS04]

Clinton won whites only in AR.
Carter won whites in only GA, TN, AR probably.
1964 and before whites lagged only slightly behind the statewide vote. It's plausible that whites in FL haven't gone democratic since 1948.

This is probably accurate. 

[freepcrusher]

here are the last times a dem presidential candidate won a majority white vote in these states:

AL - 1956
AR - 1996 or 1976
FL - 1944
GA - 1976 or 1980
LA - 1952
MS - 1956
NC - 1976
SC - not sure. Carter winning all six CDs indicates he did. Before that, 1944.
TN - 1976
TX - 1964
VA - 1964

[TDAS04]

here are the last times a dem presidential candidate won a majority white vote in these states:

AL - 1956
AR - 1996 or 1976
FL - 1944
GA - 1976 or 1980
LA - 1952
MS - 1956
NC - 1976
SC - not sure. Carter winning all six CDs indicates he did. Before that, 1944.
TN - 1976
TX - 1964
VA - 1964

I doubt that Carter carried the white vote in the Carolinas.

[freepcrusher]

here are the last times a dem presidential candidate won a majority white vote in these states:

AL - 1956
AR - 1996 or 1976
FL - 1944
GA - 1976 or 1980
LA - 1952
MS - 1956
NC - 1976
SC - not sure. Carter winning all six CDs indicates he did. Before that, 1944.
TN - 1976
TX - 1964
VA - 1964

I doubt that Carter carried the white vote in the Carolinas.

well SC I'm not sure about because there is a large black population. But NC doesn't have as large a black population and Ford didn't win that many counties in the state.

[TDAS04]

here are the last times a dem presidential candidate won a majority white vote in these states:

AL - 1956
AR - 1996 or 1976
FL - 1944
GA - 1976 or 1980
LA - 1952
MS - 1956
NC - 1976
SC - not sure. Carter winning all six CDs indicates he did. Before that, 1944.
TN - 1976
TX - 1964
VA - 1964

I doubt that Carter carried the white vote in the Carolinas.

well SC I'm not sure about because there is a large black population. But NC doesn't have as large a black population and Ford didn't win that many counties in the state.

Both states have several rural counties with large black populations.  In SC, the black population is fairly evenly distributed throughout the state.  In North Carolina, Ford carried Wake county.  Also the state was 22% black during the 1970s, so blacks could have easily provided the winning margin for Carter in the state (where he took 55% overall).  It was probably close, though.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

here are the last times a dem presidential candidate won a majority white vote in these states:

AL - 1956
AR - 1996 or 1976
FL - 1944
GA - 1976 or 1980
LA - 1952
MS - 1956
NC - 1976
SC - not sure. Carter winning all six CDs indicates he did. Before that, 1944.
TN - 1976
TX - 1964
VA - 1964

I suspect Carter managed to win all six CDs by winning a larger share of the white vote in the Northwest than he did in the (less white) rest of the state.

[Nichlemn]

Interesting that Florida may have been the first state for Republicans to permanently win whites, given that it's swingy today and the whites aren't as Republican as the Deep South states.

[TheElectoralBoobyPrize]

Clinton won the white vote in AR 49-41 and even won the white male vote in the state 46-43. This site won't let me post the link because I haven't reached 20 posts.

[Calthrina950]

here are the last times a dem presidential candidate won a majority white vote in these states:

AL - 1956
AR - 1996 or 1976
FL - 1944
GA - 1976 or 1980
LA - 1952
MS - 1956
NC - 1976
SC - not sure. Carter winning all six CDs indicates he did. Before that, 1944.
TN - 1976
TX - 1964
VA - 1964

I'm pretty certain Virginia was 1948 for Democrats. I've read elsewhere that Johnson would not have carried the state without the black vote. This was certainly the case for Florida. Two of the sources I've read also state that Johnson lost whites in Arkansas and Tennessee, and may have lost them in North Carolina.

[RINO Tom]

here are the last times a dem presidential candidate won a majority white vote in these states:

AL - 1956
AR - 1996 or 1976
FL - 1944
GA - 1976 or 1980
LA - 1952
MS - 1956
NC - 1976
SC - not sure. Carter winning all six CDs indicates he did. Before that, 1944.
TN - 1976
TX - 1964
VA - 1964

I'm pretty certain Virginia was 1948 for Democrats. I've read elsewhere that Johnson would not have carried the state without the black vote. This was certainly the case for Florida. Two of the sources I've read also state that Johnson lost whites in Arkansas and Tennessee, and may have lost them in North Carolina.

I would be interested to hear ACTUAL analysis and not just conjecture, but I find it very hard to believe Johnson didn't win Whites in Arkansas.

[Calthrina950]

here are the last times a dem presidential candidate won a majority white vote in these states:

AL - 1956
AR - 1996 or 1976
FL - 1944
GA - 1976 or 1980
LA - 1952
MS - 1956
NC - 1976
SC - not sure. Carter winning all six CDs indicates he did. Before that, 1944.
TN - 1976
TX - 1964
VA - 1964

I'm pretty certain Virginia was 1948 for Democrats. I've read elsewhere that Johnson would not have carried the state without the black vote. This was certainly the case for Florida. Two of the sources I've read also state that Johnson lost whites in Arkansas and Tennessee, and may have lost them in North Carolina.

I would be interested to hear ACTUAL analysis and not just conjecture, but I find it very hard to believe Johnson didn't win Whites in Arkansas.

One of the sources to which I am referring is this: https://www.crmvet.org/docs/6411_src_election.pdf. I have posted it before, but it was a report written by the Southern Regional Council shortly after the election (November 15, 1964). The report also discusses some of the House results in the South at the same election. I too, am of the belief that Johnson must have won whites in Arkansas, Tennessee, and North Carolina, but I'm not fully sure about that.

[morgankingsley]

here are the last times a dem presidential candidate won a majority white vote in these states:

AL - 1956
AR - 1996 or 1976
FL - 1944
GA - 1976 or 1980
LA - 1952
MS - 1956
NC - 1976
SC - not sure. Carter winning all six CDs indicates he did. Before that, 1944.
TN - 1976
TX - 1964
VA - 1964

That is very intriguing to look at actually. And while I like know it's true, I still think it is interesting Florida was the first to do so. I always thought Virginia was