2016 : Walker vs Hillary
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Author Topic: 2016 : Walker vs Hillary  (Read 2331 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« on: December 16, 2014, 01:37:24 AM »



Walker: 258
Clinton : 253
Tossup : 27
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Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #1 on: December 16, 2014, 01:39:49 AM »


I agree. A computer using 1989 demographics would get this result.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: December 16, 2014, 01:59:18 AM »

At this point, Walker and Kasich are probably the only plausible Republican nominees I see outperforming Romney 2012.



Clinton - 307
Walker - 231
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #3 on: December 16, 2014, 02:25:05 AM »


I agree. A computer using 1989 demographics would get this result.


How thats Basically Romney's Map plus Florida,Virginia, Wisconson. Also its really diffucult winning 3 consecutive elections
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #4 on: December 16, 2014, 04:18:58 AM »

How thats Basically Romney's Map plus Florida,Virginia, Wisconson. Also its really diffucult winning 3 consecutive elections

Democrats have won the popular vote in 5 out of the 6 last elections.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #5 on: December 16, 2014, 05:44:24 AM »

How thats Basically Romney's Map plus Florida,Virginia, Wisconson. Also its really diffucult winning 3 consecutive elections

Democrats have won the popular vote in 5 out of the 6 last elections.

And?
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porky88
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« Reply #6 on: December 16, 2014, 06:05:21 AM »


Not sure if Walker can overcome the demographics of Florida and Colorado. Wisconsin could go for him, but it'd be a nail bitter.
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Türkisblau
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« Reply #7 on: December 16, 2014, 06:30:29 AM »

The fact that you didn't even put VA in "tossup" is pretty funny to me.
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Cory
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« Reply #8 on: December 16, 2014, 10:04:36 AM »



Clinton: 347

Walker: 191
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Oregreen
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« Reply #9 on: December 16, 2014, 12:06:20 PM »
« Edited: December 16, 2014, 12:16:55 PM by Oregon16 »

If it's a competitive race, that's probably what the map would look like:


Clinton (D) - 260 EV
Walker (R) - 175 EV

Walker can only afford to lose either Iowa or Colorado, he must win his home state of Wisconsin and all the other swing states.
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Ljube
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« Reply #10 on: December 16, 2014, 02:13:26 PM »

If it's a competitive race, that's probably what the map would look like:


Clinton (D) - 260 EV
Walker (R) - 175 EV

Walker can only afford to lose either Iowa or Colorado, he must win his home state of Wisconsin and all the other swing states.


This is the objective map. All other maps are biased one way or another. There are two possible victories for Walker:

1) Run the table
2) Win all but Iowa (but I think he is winning Iowa if he wins Colorado)

A third, sort of victory, a tie really, would be winning all but Colorado.

In this setup, Florida is the tipping point state.

Popular vote would probably be 1-2% in Walker's favor.
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porky88
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« Reply #11 on: December 16, 2014, 03:56:41 PM »

The fact that you didn't even put VA in "tossup" is pretty funny to me.

Northern Virginia has stubbornly put Obama (2012), McAuliffe (2013), and Warner (2014) over the top. I think it'd do the same for Hillary, though it'd take a while to call.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #12 on: December 16, 2014, 11:23:28 PM »

The fact that you didn't even put VA in "tossup" is pretty funny to me.

Northern Virginia has stubbornly put Obama (2012), McAuliffe (2013), and Warner (2014) over the top. I think it'd do the same for Hillary, though it'd take a while to call.

Incumbent
Against a bigoted neocon
It's Mark [inks]ing Warner
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Xing
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« Reply #13 on: December 17, 2014, 12:24:10 AM »



As an aside, I don't think Walker could take Wisconsin for granted. There's a real chance he could lose there.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #14 on: December 17, 2014, 02:04:00 AM »

If it's a competitive race, that's probably what the map would look like:


Clinton (D) - 260 EV
Walker (R) - 175 EV

Walker can only afford to lose either Iowa or Colorado, he must win his home state of Wisconsin and all the other swing states.


This is the objective map. All other maps are biased one way or another. There are two possible victories for Walker:

1) Run the table
2) Win all but Iowa (but I think he is winning Iowa if he wins Colorado)

A third, sort of victory, a tie really, would be winning all but Colorado.

In this setup, Florida is the tipping point state.

Popular vote would probably be 1-2% in Walker's favor.


Now if It Was Bill vs Walker it would be Bill in a landslide
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