The Obama coalition in 2016

[Oregreen]

I know that it may be unpredictable right now, but it still is worth asking: Will the Obama coalition turn out again for Hillary Clinton in 2016 (assuming she is the nominee)? Or will turnout among minorities and young people drop (which would hurt Democrats' chances)? Turnout is key for their success in every swing state except New Hampshire (though that may become a non-competitive state very soon). Even with changing demographics, Democrats STILL need to get out their voters (which did not work as well in 2014 as it did in 2012). Was the Obama coalition really an achievement of the Democratic Party or was it a 'gift' to Obama? I think many people are actually underestimating Obama's incredible ground game in 2008 and 2012, though that would not change the Republicans' demographic problems in 2016.

[Oregreen]

I suppose that depends on whether the witch drops the ball or not. If she does the dumb, yet slimy and opportunistic thing she is capable of, she could run away from Obama and strangle the Obama realignment in it's cradle.

Well, she is a Clinton, so she will find a way to appeal to everyone at the same time

Not sure. The polls seem to indicate a decent number of bitter AA's, there is usually a 5-10% drop off in support from Biden to Hillary among them in general election match ups.

Such a drop-off (also by Hispanics) would be disastrous for Democrats in Ohio and Florida. It would make states like Georgia and North Carolina non-competitive.