The Obama coalition in 2016

[porky88]

In presidential years since 1992, the share of the white vote has consistently dropped. We’re heading toward less than 70 percent within the next couple of cycles. 2008 and 2012 were part of a larger trend. I think 2016 will confirm it. I guess maybe President Obama accelerated this to an extent, and I agree that he tapped into it more than any modern candidate has, but this is where the country is heading.

Therefore, yes, the Obama coalition will turnout. However, the republicans could just as easily tap into it by nominating the right candidate, and shifting the party to the center. It wasn’t long ago that President Bush won about 40 percent of the Hispanic vote. I imagine Mitt Romney would've been elected president if he got that large of a share of the Hispanic vote.