Could North Carolina be more Democratic than Florida in 2016? (user search)

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Could North Carolina be more Democratic than Florida in 2016? (search mode)

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Will North Carolina be more Democratic than Florida in 2016?

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Topic: Could North Carolina be more Democratic than Florida in 2016? (Read 1095 times)

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xingkerui
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Could North Carolina be more Democratic than Florida in 2016?

« on: December 16, 2014, 03:11:55 PM »

Assuming a generic R candidate and a generic D candidate, do you think it's possible that North Carolina could end up being more Democratic than Florida? North Carolina definitely seems to be trending Democratic (R+13 in 2000, R+6 in 2012), while Florida has pretty consistently been a few points more Republican than the nation as a whole, recently. Discuss.

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xingkerui
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 30,282

Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

Re: Could North Carolina be more Democratic than Florida in 2016?

« Reply #1 on: December 16, 2014, 10:50:14 PM »

Quote from: Miles on December 16, 2014, 10:18:02 PM

Also, FWIW, NC's PVI was actually R+7 in 2000, and its down to R+3 now.

I wasn't referring to PVI, I was referring to how the vote totals in North Carolina compared to the popular vote (2000: Bush won by 13, ~13 points more Republican than the popular vote, 2012: Romney won by 2, ~6 points more Republican than the popular vote.)

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