The Mikado
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« on: December 20, 2014, 11:53:15 PM » |
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« edited: December 20, 2014, 11:55:14 PM by The Mikado »
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Kentucky is racing towards the GOP and was already redder than WV to begin with. WV may have passed it in terms of the extinction of state Democrats, but Kentucky will get there.
Missouri is slowly becoming a lost cause for Democrats, but it'll never be so to the same extent. My gut is that Missouri putters out at R+7-ish and remains a solidly Republican state by reasonably small margins. That is, even when the Democrats win nationally, the Republican can dependably get his ~52%. McCatskill is going to need even more of her ridiculous luck to pull a third term out of this situation.
It's too early to tell re: Iowa. I think Iowa's just a really, really swing-y state.
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