Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
Posts: 4,600
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« on: December 20, 2014, 08:03:03 PM » |
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Missouri and Kentucky have already/are in the process of shifting R.
The evidence that Pennsylvania is trending R isn't that convincing. In 2012, its PVI was D + 1.48, which is the lowest its been since 1996, when it was D +0.7. The PVI has been decreasing since 2004, but its not clear if this is a real trend or random fluctuations.
Iowa is interesting. Its demographics would tell you that its a Republican leaning state, yet its consistently been a swing state. I don't think that's going to change, but I suppose we'll have to see how 2016 will play out.
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