Guatemalan general election - 13 September 2015/25 October Run-Off/Morales wins
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  Guatemalan general election - 13 September 2015/25 October Run-Off/Morales wins
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Author Topic: Guatemalan general election - 13 September 2015/25 October Run-Off/Morales wins  (Read 8074 times)
ag
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« Reply #50 on: September 07, 2015, 12:59:04 PM »

930,590 for Torres vs. 928,110 for Baldizon. Very unexpected!

But it looks like it could be a proper  left/right second round.

Does Jimmy Morales have specifically right-wing positions?

No. An article in this week's ever-excellent Semana magazine quoted a Guatemalan academic who described him as a 'clown without a team or a credible manifesto',

Pretty common description of political candidates in Guatemala.
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ag
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« Reply #51 on: September 07, 2015, 01:08:27 PM »

Anyway, so far, with 19,127 precincts reporting (97.67%) it is

Jimmy Morales FCN 1,156,611 votes (23.95% of  valid votes)
Sandra Torres UNE 947,396 votes (19.62%)
Manuel Baldizon LIDER 944,561 votes (19.56%)
Alejandro Giammattei FUERZA 314,457 votes (6.51%)
Zury Rios VIVA 286,590 votes (5.94%)
Blank  266,682 votes
Lizardo Sosa TODOS 258,009 votes (5.34%)
Mario Garcia PP 222,163 votes (4.60%)
Invalid 221,964 votes
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ag
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« Reply #52 on: September 07, 2015, 01:17:16 PM »

Congress. National PR List (w/ 97% reporting)

LIDER 19.00% (pretty big group to wind up leaderless)
UNE 14.69%
TODOS 9.77%
PP 9.40%
FCN 8.82%
EG 6.32%
CREO-UNIONISTA 5.70%
UCN 5.42%
WINAQ-URNG-MAIZ 4.29%
CONVERGENCIA 3.85%
VIVA 3.69%
PAN 3.44%
FUERZA 2.10%

Everybody else - peanuts
8.41% of votes are blank
5.31% are invalid
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ag
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« Reply #53 on: September 07, 2015, 02:59:51 PM »
« Edited: September 07, 2015, 03:04:08 PM by ag »

Getting every closer again. With 19,155 precincts reporting (97.82%) it is

Jimmy Morales FCN 1,157,041 votes (23.93% of  valid votes)
Sandra Torres UNE 948,715 votes (19.62%)
Manuel Baldizon LIDER 947,293 votes (19.59%)
Alejandro Giammattei FUERZA 314,569 votes (6.51%)
Zury Rios VIVA 286,832 votes (5.93%)
Blank  267,348 votes
Lizardo Sosa TODOS 259,205 votes (5.36%)
Mario Garcia PP 222,370 votes (4.60%)
Invalid 222,358 votes
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ag
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« Reply #54 on: September 08, 2015, 12:39:19 PM »

With 19,292 precincts reporting (98.52%) it is

Jimmy Morales FCN 1,161,282 votes (23.87% of  valid votes)
Sandra Torres UNE 959,782 votes (19.73%)
Manuel Baldizon LIDER 954,501 votes (19.62%)
Alejandro Giammattei FUERZA 315,023 votes (6.48%)
Zury Rios VIVA 287,597 votes (5.91%)
Blank  269,414 votes
Lizardo Sosa TODOS 259,894 votes (5.34%)
Invalid 223,918 votes
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ag
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« Reply #55 on: September 09, 2015, 11:05:37 AM »

They are still counting Smiley

With 19,370 precincts reporting (98.92%) it is

Jimmy Morales FCN 1,165,846 votes (23.85% of  valid votes)
Sandra Torres UNE 964,996 votes (19.74%)
Manuel Baldizon LIDER 960,329 votes (19.65%)
Alejandro Giammattei FUERZA 315,593 votes (6.46%)
Zury Rios VIVA 288,307 votes (5.90%)
Blank  270,657 votes
Lizardo Sosa TODOS 260,639 votes (5.33%)
Mario Garcia PP 225,933 votes (4.62%)
Invalid 224,859 votes
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ag
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« Reply #56 on: September 10, 2015, 03:56:45 PM »

Baldizon is claiming fraud. Pretty much the only thing that can save him now: with less than 1% of precincts left the margin is over 6,000 votes.

With 19,402 precincts reporting (99.08%) it is

Jimmy Morales FCN 1,166,972 votes (23.85% of  valid votes)
Sandra Torres UNE 967,182 votes (19.76%)
Manuel Baldizon LIDER 961,149 votes (19.64%)
Alejandro Giammattei FUERZA 315,763 votes (6.45%)
Zury Rios VIVA 288,425 votes (5.89%)
Blank  270,961 votes
Lizardo Sosa TODOS 260,792 votes (5.33%)
Mario Garcia PP 226,354 votes (4.63%)
Invalid 225,011 votes
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Famous Mortimer
WillipsBrighton
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« Reply #57 on: October 25, 2015, 11:25:19 PM »

Morales in a landslide. 72% to Torres' 28%.
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ag
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« Reply #58 on: October 26, 2015, 01:12:02 AM »

Morales in a landslide. 72% to Torres' 28%.

Yep. Did not have time to write much today, but when I saw Prensa Libre earlier in the evening I was shocked: even though I had no doubts whatsoever of the identity of the winner, this is still a huge landslide.

Any bets on when he will be arrested for corruption?
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